Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 27 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 27 April 2011, Fulham vs Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.79     2.37    43.41    92.77    99.66   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.50     2.39    40.29     7.05    84.19    98.47   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.09     2.57    33.53     0.17    14.33    81.68    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   59  +21      68.05     2.84    24.41     0.00     1.81    19.57    93.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.74     2.57     7.87     0.00     0.01     0.27     6.24    98.97     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.98     2.56    14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52    95.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.66     2.63     5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          34   46   +1      51.55     2.65     1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          34   42   +4      46.90     2.54     3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
Stoke           34   42   +0      46.96     2.49    -0.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.02     2.30    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.49     2.56   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.09     2.45   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.86     2.63   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.63     2.40   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.60R    0.09  
Blackburn       34   35  -15      39.63     2.53   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.37R    5.30  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.42     2.21   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.32R   24.65  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.15     2.43   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.19R   19.53  
Wolverhampton   34   33  -23      37.88     2.53   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.76R   19.20  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.94     2.49   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.41R   31.24  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              44   85  +38      88.28     1.85    38.80    98.18   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.27     1.83    24.80     1.80    61.36   100.00    70.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.28     1.85    25.80     0.02    38.38   100.00    55.73P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   74  +21      77.22     1.77    21.71     0.00     0.26   100.00    24.05P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   73  +25      76.66     1.80    26.41     0.00     0.00    99.99    28.45P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   69  +12      72.70     1.76    13.48     0.00     0.00    73.40    16.04P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   67  +17      69.86     1.83    17.20     0.00     0.00    16.14     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   67   +5      69.55     1.87     4.64     0.00     0.00     6.58     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   66   +9      68.51     1.81     8.61     0.00     0.00     3.73     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   64   +4      67.16     1.82     4.59     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63   +3      66.27     1.86     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   61  +10      63.83     1.89    10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   59   -5      61.80     1.79    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.09     1.87    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -6      58.74     1.76    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   54   -8      56.59     1.84    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53   -4      54.98     1.73    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -12      54.45     1.81   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   49  -10      51.26     1.73   -10.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47  -22      49.11     1.72   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   47  -23      49.17     1.78   -23.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   41  -31      43.37     1.73   -31.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   12.36  
Scunthorpe       44   41  -40      42.71     1.63   -41.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   30.37  
Preston          44   39  -26      41.24     1.81   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         44   92  +45      95.30     1.85    45.82    98.65   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   83  +41      88.84     2.15    43.66     1.35    88.30   100.00    93.53P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   83  +28      86.05     1.78    28.43     0.00    11.70   100.00    42.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   75  +26      78.63     1.79    27.53     0.00     0.00   100.00    27.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   72  +23      75.22     1.87    23.71     0.00     0.00    98.93    20.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   71   +5      74.14     1.83     5.58     0.00     0.00    93.02    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   67   +9      70.01     1.84     9.39     0.00     0.00     8.05     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   64   +7      66.42     1.83     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   64   -8      66.36     1.78    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   60   -4      61.79     1.66    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   59   +3      62.25     1.85     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   59   +2      62.55     1.85     3.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   59   -6      62.27     1.82    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   57   -3      60.38     1.85    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   55  -18      57.08     1.74   -19.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   53   -8      55.54     1.82    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   53   -8      55.57     1.80    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   53  -14      55.34     1.78   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   49  -13      51.01     1.73   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Walsall          44   45  -19      46.81     1.64   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.12R    0.64  
Bristol_Rovers   44   44  -33      46.00     1.75   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.19R    3.05  
Dag_&_Red        44   43  -17      44.86     1.68   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.67R    9.66  
Plymouth         43   42  -17      45.67     2.23   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.71R    7.86  
Swindon          44   39  -21      41.75     1.83   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.53R   78.78  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnet vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         44   82  +32      84.90     1.87    32.23    70.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   80  +34      82.92     1.84    34.28    29.41   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   74  +15      76.71     1.83    14.97     0.00    46.87    99.99    61.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   73  +19      76.44     1.85    20.00     0.00    50.49    99.99    63.78P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   69  +16      72.32     1.87    16.87     0.00     1.86    89.28    18.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   68  +23      70.69     1.86    22.92     0.00     0.28    74.21    19.66P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   68  +19      70.75     1.84    19.04     0.00     0.30    68.34    17.33P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   68  +14      71.12     1.79    14.55     0.00     0.19    67.95    18.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   62  +13      64.90     1.87    13.24     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   62   +1      65.09     1.85     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   60   +8      63.09     1.80     8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   60   +0      62.75     1.76     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   59  +16      62.78     1.78    17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   57   -3      59.88     1.85    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -13      53.54     1.82   -13.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         44   51  -16      53.26     1.74   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             44   51  -16      53.78     1.85   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           44   51  -20      53.53     1.85   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             44   51  -21      53.42     1.82   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   49  -14      51.16     1.77   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.31R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   47  -32      49.14     1.75   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.32R    0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -11      48.66     1.84   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.17R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -18      47.17     1.77   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.19R    1.22  
Stockport            44   40  -46      41.95     1.71   -47.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       45  104  +63     105.95     1.24    63.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      45   87  +35      88.75     1.31    35.56     0.00   100.00    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   83  +48      85.00     1.23    48.89     0.00   100.00    45.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +17      80.76     1.10    16.11     0.00   100.00    13.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     45   75  +25      76.27     1.28    24.89     0.00   100.00    16.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   71  +14      73.25     1.15    15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               45   70   +5      70.80     1.12     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   68  +17      69.68     1.29    17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   66  +12      67.27     1.30    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   62  +11      63.01     1.24    10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   45   62   +5      63.05     1.22     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   61   +0      62.33     1.33    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          45   60   -6      61.44     1.34    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   57   +3      58.49     1.32     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.85     1.29   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.07     1.27   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   50   -7      51.44     1.30    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   47  -17      48.69     1.32   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   46  -18      47.16     1.28   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.45R    0.00  
Southport          45   46  -19      46.92     1.20   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   46  -22      47.60     1.33   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.07R    0.00  
Altrincham         45   44  -39      45.76     1.32   -38.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.47R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    45   36  -43      37.02     1.25   -43.60     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             45   27  -49      27.57     1.01   -50.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5