Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Blackburn vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.83     2.36    43.46    93.24    99.67   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.50     2.38    40.27     6.59    83.76    98.42   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.14     2.57    33.59     0.16    14.76    82.48    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        33   59  +21      68.02     2.83    24.36     0.00     1.81    18.91    93.35   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.79     2.58     7.95     0.00     0.00     0.19     6.19    98.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.96     2.57    14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63    92.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.65     2.62     5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.06     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          33   46   +4      52.71     2.94     3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.42     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.02     2.28    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.46     2.57   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.12     2.44   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.83     2.61   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Fulham          33   39   +1      45.49     2.86     0.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18R    0.00  
Stoke           33   39   -3      45.68     2.78    -3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51R    0.01  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.62     2.41   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.72R    0.11  
Blackburn       34   35  -15      39.57     2.52   -16.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.68R    5.85  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.41     2.21   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.94R   27.05  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.15     2.44   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.63R   21.53  
Wolverhampton   33   33  -20      38.88     2.83   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.90R   11.84  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.95     2.49   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.88R   33.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnsley vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              44   85  +38      88.27     1.85    38.80    98.26    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          44   80  +24      83.28     1.83    24.80     1.73    61.57   100.00    71.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          44   79  +25      82.27     1.85    25.79     0.02    38.21   100.00    55.62P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          44   74  +21      77.20     1.78    21.68     0.00     0.23   100.00    23.62P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          44   73  +25      76.67     1.80    26.42     0.00     0.00    99.99    28.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    44   69  +12      72.70     1.76    13.49     0.00     0.00    73.25    16.05P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         44   67  +17      69.87     1.83    17.22     0.00     0.00    16.24     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          44   67   +5      69.56     1.87     4.65     0.00     0.00     6.62     1.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     44   66   +9      68.52     1.80     8.63     0.00     0.00     3.75     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             44   64   +4      67.17     1.82     4.60     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        44   63   +3      66.28     1.86     3.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          44   61  +10      63.82     1.89    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          44   59   -5      61.79     1.79    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       44   57   -6      60.08     1.87    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    44   56   -6      58.74     1.75    -6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     44   54   -8      56.57     1.84    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         44   53   -4      54.97     1.73    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   52  -12      54.45     1.81   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            44   49  -10      51.28     1.74   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   44   47  -22      49.11     1.72   -22.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Doncaster        44   47  -23      49.16     1.78   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   41  -31      43.37     1.73   -31.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.39R   12.59  
Scunthorpe       44   41  -40      42.73     1.64   -41.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   29.90  
Preston          44   39  -26      41.24     1.81   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   57.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         44   94  +46      97.32     1.85    46.84   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      43   83  +41      88.87     2.16    43.68     0.00    88.76   100.00    93.71P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     44   83  +28      86.03     1.78    28.40     0.00    11.24   100.00    41.65P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   75  +26      78.64     1.79    27.54     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   71   +5      74.16     1.83     5.60     0.00     0.00    94.34    15.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      44   70  +22      73.20     1.86    22.66     0.00     0.00    93.54    18.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   67   +9      69.99     1.83     9.37     0.00     0.00    12.11     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   64   +7      66.42     1.83     6.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter           44   64   -9      66.36     1.79    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brentford        44   60   -4      61.80     1.67    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         44   59   +3      62.25     1.85     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       44   59   -5      62.29     1.83    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         44   58   -2      61.38     1.84    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        44   57   +1      60.51     1.86     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       44   55  -18      57.11     1.75   -18.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   53   -8      55.55     1.83    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         44   53   -8      55.57     1.80    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           44   53  -14      55.32     1.78   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     44   49  -13      50.99     1.72   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Walsall          44   45  -19      46.80     1.63   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.98R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        44   44  -16      45.87     1.69   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.82R    1.71  
Bristol_Rovers   44   44  -33      46.02     1.74   -34.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.55R    2.64  
Plymouth         43   42  -17      45.66     2.23   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.77R    4.34  
Swindon          44   38  -22      40.74     1.83   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   91.32  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Barnet vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         44   82  +32      84.91     1.87    32.24    70.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   80  +34      82.92     1.84    34.27    29.27   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   74  +15      76.71     1.83    14.97     0.00    47.17    99.99    61.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   73  +19      76.42     1.85    19.99     0.00    50.21    99.97    63.25P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   69  +16      72.31     1.86    16.86     0.00     1.92    89.30    18.96P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              44   68  +23      70.68     1.86    22.90     0.00     0.31    74.01    19.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   68  +19      70.75     1.85    19.04     0.00     0.25    68.52    17.31P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           44   68  +14      71.11     1.80    14.54     0.00     0.15    67.88    19.20P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            44   62  +13      64.90     1.87    13.24     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            44   62   +1      65.09     1.85     1.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   60   +8      63.10     1.81     8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   60   +0      62.75     1.76     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe                44   59  +16      62.80     1.79    17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            44   57   -3      59.89     1.85    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   51  -13      53.55     1.82   -13.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield         44   51  -16      53.27     1.74   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Hereford             44   51  -16      53.78     1.84   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           44   51  -20      53.56     1.84   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             44   51  -21      53.39     1.82   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        44   49  -14      51.17     1.78   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         44   47  -32      49.13     1.75   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.29R    0.00  
Northampton          44   46  -11      48.66     1.86   -11.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.32R    0.00  
Barnet               44   45  -18      47.17     1.76   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.02R    1.22  
Stockport            44   40  -46      41.93     1.70   -47.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.78  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       45  104  +63     105.95     1.24    63.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      45   87  +35      88.74     1.31    35.55     0.00   100.00    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              45   83  +48      85.01     1.23    48.91     0.00   100.00    46.10P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            45   80  +17      80.75     1.10    16.09     0.00   100.00    13.66P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     45   75  +25      76.27     1.28    24.88     0.00   100.00    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      45   71  +14      73.25     1.15    15.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York               45   70   +5      70.80     1.12     4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         45   68  +17      69.68     1.29    17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     45   66  +12      67.26     1.30    11.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            45   62  +11      63.02     1.24    10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   45   62   +5      63.05     1.22     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          45   61   +0      62.33     1.33    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          45   60   -6      61.44     1.34    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          45   57   +3      58.49     1.32     3.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.85     1.28   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.07     1.26   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      45   50   -7      51.45     1.30    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             45   47  -17      48.70     1.32   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       45   46  -18      47.15     1.28   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.47R    0.00  
Southport          45   46  -19      46.91     1.19   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.81R    0.00  
Tamworth           45   46  -22      47.61     1.32   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.01R    0.00  
Altrincham         45   44  -39      45.76     1.32   -38.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.71R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    45   36  -43      37.02     1.25   -43.58     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Histon             45   27  -49      27.57     1.01   -50.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5