Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 24 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 April 2011, Bolton vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.80     2.36    43.42    92.95    99.70   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.49     2.41    40.26     6.89    84.24    99.04   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         34   64  +31      71.12     2.56    33.57     0.16    15.02    88.24    99.85   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.65     3.16    23.75     0.00     1.03    12.40    86.61    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.80     2.57     7.95     0.00     0.01     0.33    11.80    98.34     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.97     2.57    14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74    92.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.66     2.63     5.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.15     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          33   46   +4      52.69     2.93     3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.07     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.04     2.29    -0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.47     2.56   -10.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.11     2.45   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.83     2.63   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Fulham          33   39   +1      45.53     2.86     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27R    0.00  
Stoke           33   39   -3      45.73     2.79    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.60     2.41   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.72R    0.17  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.70     2.83   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.80R    3.57  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.40     2.21   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.93R   28.15  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.15     2.43   -25.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.22R   21.71  
Wolverhampton   33   33  -20      38.89     2.82   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.91R   12.09  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.94     2.50   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.70R   34.31  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Cardiff vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              43   84  +38      89.02     2.26    39.32    98.84    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   77  +23      82.29     2.24    24.81     0.96    58.50   100.00    68.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   76  +24      80.97     2.30    25.31     0.20    32.15   100.00    51.62P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   73  +26      78.82     2.17    28.63     0.00     9.04    99.95    37.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   71  +18      76.00     2.19    19.28     0.00     0.34    98.05    22.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   66  +11      71.10     2.20    12.51     0.00     0.00    43.06     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   66  +10      69.99     2.26     9.75     0.00     0.00    24.37     4.26P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   66   +5      70.18     2.30     5.01     0.00     0.00    20.94     3.75P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   64  +16      68.55     2.26    16.66     0.00     0.00    11.69     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   63   +4      67.11     2.19     4.05     0.00     0.00     1.47     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   61  +12      64.96     2.30    11.72     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   60   +1      64.87     2.31     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   59   -2      62.76     2.15    -2.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       43   56   -6      60.19     2.28    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   54   -7      57.91     2.26    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53   -3      55.99     2.13    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   53   -7      57.49     2.20    -6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   51  -12      55.11     2.25   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   49   -9      52.03     2.08   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   46  -23      49.27     2.19   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.74R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   44  -23      47.40     2.17   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.74R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       43   41  -39      43.79     2.08   -41.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   13.49  
Preston          43   39  -25      42.28     2.23   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.25R   24.94  
Sheff_Utd        43   38  -32      41.02     2.03   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   61.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Brighton vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         43   93  +46      97.83     2.28    47.02   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   80  +39      88.08     2.45    43.03     0.00    85.11   100.00    91.57P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   80  +27      85.21     2.15    28.68     0.00    14.85   100.00    43.74P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   74  +26      79.78     2.17    28.81     0.00     0.04   100.00    29.81P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   71   +6      75.52     2.27     6.59     0.00     0.00    98.58    16.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      43   67  +21      72.20     2.25    22.64     0.00     0.00    84.40    15.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   64   +9      67.53     2.25     8.09     0.00     0.00     6.80     1.18P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   64   +8      68.16     2.24     8.05     0.00     0.00     6.51     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   64   -5      67.63     2.22    -5.77     0.00     0.00     3.68     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   59   +4      63.89     2.28     5.12     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   59   -4      62.07     2.10    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   58   -5      62.51     2.24    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   55   -4      60.03     2.28    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   55  -16      57.67     2.03   -18.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -1      59.33     2.28     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   52   -8      56.18     2.25    -7.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           43   52  -14      55.01     2.11   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   50  -12      54.07     2.23   -12.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Notts_County     43   48  -13      51.44     2.16   -13.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        43   44  -15      46.47     1.98   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.02R    2.18  
Walsall          43   44  -19      46.92     2.07   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R    1.92  
Bristol_Rovers   43   44  -32      46.74     2.08   -34.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.64R    2.82  
Plymouth         42   39  -18      44.02     2.60   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.33R   24.19  
Swindon          43   38  -20      41.70     2.22   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.88R   68.89  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         43   82  +33      86.51     2.29    33.57    89.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   77  +33      81.14     2.26    33.03    10.41    98.55   100.00    99.03P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   72  +19      77.14     2.28    20.50     0.00    70.53    99.98    78.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   71  +13      75.29     2.27    13.29     0.00    21.85    99.56    43.35P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   68  +16      72.40     2.26    16.40     0.00     6.88    91.08    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   67  +23      71.25     2.29    23.18     0.00     1.95    84.64    23.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   65  +18      69.35     2.26    18.37     0.00     0.13    55.53    14.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   65  +13      69.31     2.22    13.30     0.00     0.11    45.94    12.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62  +14      66.39     2.29    14.42     0.00     0.00    14.68     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   62   +2      66.23     2.23     2.22     0.00     0.00     7.03     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   59  +18      63.96     2.21    19.47     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   59   +8      63.78     2.26     9.00     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   59   +0      63.07     2.21    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   57   -2      61.25     2.27    -1.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -13      54.13     2.25   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   50  -16      53.38     2.18   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Hereford             43   50  -16      53.92     2.25   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   48  -14      51.33     2.20   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   48  -22      51.85     2.28   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.00  
Bradford             43   48  -22      51.73     2.24   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   47  -30      50.59     2.20   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.50R    0.05  
Northampton          43   45  -11      49.36     2.28   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.95R    0.87  
Barnet               43   44  -18      47.52     2.20   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.92R    2.57  
Stockport            43   39  -46      42.03     2.15   -48.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.46R   96.52  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Altrincham vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       44  101  +62     104.58     1.82    63.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   86  +35      89.43     1.87    36.02     0.00   100.00    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   80  +44      84.17     1.71    46.12     0.00   100.00    44.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   77  +15      79.81     1.66    15.11     0.00    99.61    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     44   72  +24      75.28     1.79    24.80     0.00    69.75    11.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   71  +15      74.34     1.72    15.99     0.00    28.69     4.70P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   69   +5      71.49     1.72     4.63     0.00     1.55     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         44   67  +17      70.37     1.84    17.89     0.00     0.40     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   66  +13      68.38     1.83    12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   62  +12      65.28     1.71    12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          44   60   -4      63.00     1.91    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   59   +4      61.67     1.80     3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   58   -1      61.10     1.87    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   57   +4      59.46     1.82     3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.86     1.28   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.06     1.26   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   49   -7      51.48     1.78    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   47  -16      49.46     1.73   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   46  -20      48.35     1.73   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -18      47.19     1.81   -18.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.19R    0.00  
Southport          44   45  -19      46.95     1.72   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   41  -40      43.32     1.68   -40.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.26R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   33  -45      35.29     1.83   -45.78     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.41  
Histon             44   27  -45      28.19     1.46   -47.65     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.59  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5