Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 23 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Aston_Villa vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         34   73  +39      80.81     2.35    43.44    91.61    98.66   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         34   67  +37      74.49     2.40    40.27     6.32    69.12    98.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +32      72.94     2.89    35.25     2.07    31.65    94.21    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.68     3.14    23.78     0.00     0.57     6.96    86.80    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       33   55   +8      61.78     2.59     7.91     0.00     0.00     0.14    11.63    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       34   52  +12      58.99     2.57    14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton         34   47   +5      52.66     2.64     5.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.36     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.62     3.21     2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       34   41   +1      46.02     2.30    -0.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      34   41  -10      46.46     2.56   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     34   41  -12      46.11     2.45   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom       34   40  -15      44.85     2.62   -16.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Fulham          33   39   +1      45.52     2.87     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26R    0.00  
Stoke           33   39   -3      45.71     2.79    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.00  
Birmingham      34   38  -17      42.60     2.40   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.41R    0.14  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.72     2.83   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.58R    3.39  
Blackpool       34   34  -22      37.42     2.20   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.96R   27.78  
Wigan           34   34  -23      38.15     2.43   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.85R   22.08  
Wolverhampton   33   33  -20      38.87     2.83   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.44R   12.33  
West_Ham        34   32  -22      36.95     2.50   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.07R   34.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Cardiff vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              43   84  +38      89.01     2.26    39.30    98.83    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   77  +23      82.29     2.25    24.81     0.99    58.49   100.00    68.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          43   76  +24      80.95     2.30    25.26     0.18    32.01   100.00    51.22P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   73  +26      78.80     2.18    28.58     0.00     9.15    99.96    37.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          43   71  +18      75.99     2.20    19.27     0.00     0.37    97.92    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   66  +11      71.10     2.21    12.51     0.00     0.00    43.16     9.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   66  +10      69.97     2.25     9.75     0.00     0.00    23.87     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          43   66   +5      70.21     2.31     5.04     0.00     0.00    21.54     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         43   64  +15      68.53     2.26    15.64     0.00     0.00    11.37     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             43   63   +5      67.14     2.18     5.09     0.00     0.00     1.68     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          43   61  +12      64.96     2.29    11.71     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   60   +1      64.90     2.31     2.16     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   57   -4      60.73     2.16    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       43   56   -6      60.18     2.27    -5.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     43   55   -5      58.94     2.25    -5.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53   -2      55.98     2.12    -3.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    43   53   -6      57.51     2.21    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   51  -13      55.09     2.25   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            43   49   -9      52.00     2.09   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   46  -24      49.26     2.18   -25.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   44  -23      47.39     2.17   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.62R    0.07  
Scunthorpe       43   41  -39      43.80     2.07   -41.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.13R   13.57  
Preston          43   39  -25      42.30     2.22   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R   24.95  
Sheff_Utd        43   38  -32      41.04     2.04   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.08R   61.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Brighton vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         43   93  +46      97.86     2.27    47.06   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      42   80  +39      88.14     2.45    43.10     0.00    85.55   100.00    92.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   80  +27      85.20     2.16    28.66     0.00    14.39   100.00    43.67P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   74  +26      79.77     2.17    28.79     0.00     0.07   100.00    29.14P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   71   +6      75.55     2.27     6.63     0.00     0.00    98.71    16.66P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      43   67  +21      72.20     2.26    22.64     0.00     0.00    84.30    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         43   64   +9      67.51     2.23     8.08     0.00     0.00     6.74     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   64   +8      68.15     2.25     8.01     0.00     0.00     6.62     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   64   -5      67.63     2.21    -5.77     0.00     0.00     3.60     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         43   59   +4      63.93     2.29     5.19     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   59   -4      62.07     2.10    -5.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   58   -5      62.51     2.24    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         43   55   -4      60.03     2.28    -2.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   55  -16      57.65     2.01   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        43   54   -1      59.31     2.28     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   52   -8      56.16     2.26    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           43   52  -14      54.97     2.11   -15.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tranmere         43   50  -12      54.04     2.23   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County     43   48  -13      51.40     2.16   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        43   44  -15      46.46     2.00   -17.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.15R    2.26  
Walsall          43   44  -19      46.93     2.08   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.08R    1.95  
Bristol_Rovers   43   44  -32      46.77     2.09   -34.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.48R    2.91  
Plymouth         42   39  -18      44.02     2.61   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.46R   24.19  
Swindon          43   38  -20      41.71     2.21   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   68.69  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         43   82  +33      86.53     2.30    33.58    89.44   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   77  +33      81.14     2.26    33.04    10.56    98.55   100.00    99.02P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   72  +19      77.14     2.28    20.50     0.00    70.44    99.99    78.14P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   71  +13      75.31     2.28    13.30     0.00    21.93    99.64    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   68  +16      72.39     2.26    16.41     0.00     6.95    91.20    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   67  +23      71.22     2.29    23.16     0.00     1.90    84.50    23.90P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   65  +18      69.32     2.25    18.34     0.00     0.14    55.32    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           43   65  +13      69.31     2.22    13.31     0.00     0.08    45.86    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62  +14      66.39     2.30    14.41     0.00     0.00    15.08     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            43   62   +2      66.21     2.22     2.21     0.00     0.00     6.76     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   59  +18      63.98     2.20    19.51     0.00     0.00     1.26     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   59   +8      63.78     2.26     9.02     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   59   +0      63.09     2.21    -0.01     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            43   57   -2      61.25     2.27    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -13      54.15     2.26   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Macclesfield         43   50  -16      53.37     2.18   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Hereford             43   50  -16      53.90     2.25   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        43   48  -14      51.34     2.19   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67R    0.00  
Cheltenham           43   48  -22      51.83     2.27   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.29R    0.00  
Bradford             43   48  -22      51.74     2.24   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   47  -30      50.58     2.21   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.53R    0.05  
Northampton          43   45  -11      49.37     2.29   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.88R    0.71  
Barnet               43   44  -18      47.51     2.21   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.13R    2.62  
Stockport            43   39  -46      42.01     2.14   -48.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   96.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 April 2011, Altrincham vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       44  101  +62     104.58     1.82    63.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   86  +35      89.45     1.86    36.06     0.00   100.00    24.49P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              44   80  +44      84.17     1.70    46.12     0.00   100.00    44.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            44   77  +15      79.81     1.66    15.11     0.00    99.56    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     44   72  +24      75.29     1.79    24.81     0.00    69.30    11.13P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   71  +15      74.37     1.73    16.03     0.00    29.19     4.63P    0.00     0.00  
York               44   69   +5      71.50     1.72     4.63     0.00     1.52     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         44   67  +17      70.38     1.83    17.91     0.00     0.42     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     44   66  +13      68.39     1.83    12.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            44   62  +12      65.27     1.71    12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          44   60   -4      62.97     1.90    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   59   +4      61.66     1.80     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   58   -1      61.11     1.87    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          44   57   +4      59.45     1.82     3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          45   55  -13      56.86     1.28   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    45   51  -22      52.06     1.26   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      44   49   -7      51.47     1.79    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             44   47  -16      49.47     1.74   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Tamworth           44   46  -20      48.35     1.73   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Forest_Green       44   45  -18      47.18     1.79   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.00  
Southport          44   45  -19      46.95     1.72   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.00  
Altrincham         44   41  -40      43.34     1.68   -40.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    44   33  -45      35.30     1.83   -45.78     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.36  
Histon             44   27  -45      28.18     1.45   -47.66     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.64  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5