Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 April 2011, Chelsea vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   66  +34      75.95     2.66    39.41    74.87    92.61    99.81   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   62  +33      72.06     2.60    38.30    16.73    66.38    96.37    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   62  +30      70.95     2.89    33.20     8.36    39.23    91.69    99.79   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   55  +18      65.52     3.17    21.41     0.04     1.73    11.45    85.11    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   52   +7      60.99     2.90     8.32     0.00     0.05     0.69    14.38    98.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   48   +5      56.85     2.85     7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81    87.81     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   45   +3      51.13     2.81     1.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.04     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   42   +1      49.39     3.19    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland      33   40   -6      47.38     2.88    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.22R    0.00  
Newcastle       33   39   -1      45.48     2.70    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.37R    0.04  
Stoke           32   39   -2      46.53     3.06    -3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.83R    0.02  
Aston_Villa     33   38  -13      44.94     2.81   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.53R    0.38  
Fulham          32   37   +0      44.79     3.12    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     3.30R    0.29  
Birmingham      33   36  -13      41.28     2.62   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.69R    4.98  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.66     2.84   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.79R   11.00  
Blackpool       33   35  -17      39.86     2.64   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.98R   18.18  
West_Brom       33   35  -17      40.26     2.81   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.45R   15.34  
Wigan           33   35  -20      40.06     2.72   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.28R   19.56  
West_Ham        33   34  -14      39.37     2.65   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.48R   21.61  
Wolverhampton   32   34  -14      41.46     3.12   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.07R    8.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2011, Coventry vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              42   83  +38      89.18     2.59    39.01    97.09    99.75   100.00    99.82P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          43   77  +23      82.28     2.25    24.77     0.99    51.93   100.00    63.67P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   75  +24      81.51     2.66    25.55     1.93    39.50   100.00    56.69P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          43   73  +26      78.79     2.17    28.56     0.00     7.85    99.96    36.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   70  +18      76.35     2.56    19.26     0.00     0.97    97.90    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    43   66  +11      71.09     2.21    12.51     0.00     0.00    47.54    10.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     43   66  +10      69.98     2.25     9.76     0.00     0.00    25.11     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   63   +6      68.84     2.57     6.57     0.00     0.00    11.56     2.43P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   63   +3      68.50     2.67     2.93     0.00     0.00    10.52     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   61  +12      67.26     2.62    13.19     0.00     0.00     7.00     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        43   60   +1      64.87     2.32     2.13     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          43   59   -2      62.74     2.17    -2.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58  +11      63.84     2.65    11.49     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       42   55   -6      60.62     2.63    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   54   -6      59.20     2.61    -6.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         43   53   -3      55.97     2.13    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   51  -11      56.06     2.58   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   50   -9      55.49     2.53    -9.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            42   49   -7      53.45     2.50    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Doncaster        43   46  -23      49.28     2.20   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   43   44  -23      47.39     2.16   -23.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.65R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       43   41  -39      43.84     2.09   -41.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.37R    8.21  
Preston          42   39  -21      43.26     2.54   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.64R    9.70  
Sheff_Utd        42   35  -33      39.44     2.42   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.69R   82.04  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2011, Brentford vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         42   93  +47      99.30     2.66    48.17   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     43   80  +27      85.22     2.15    28.68     0.00    31.00   100.00    54.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   77  +38      86.38     2.80    41.89     0.00    68.69   100.00    82.48P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   74  +26      79.75     2.18    28.77     0.00     0.31    99.99    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          43   71   +6      75.52     2.27     6.59     0.00     0.00    97.04    16.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      42   66  +21      72.71     2.61    22.82     0.00     0.00    78.54    14.74P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64  +10      69.14     2.61     9.47     0.00     0.00    16.76     2.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    43   64   +8      68.15     2.25     8.05     0.00     0.00     5.08     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           43   64   -5      67.60     2.22    -5.80     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        43   59   -4      62.08     2.12    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       43   58   -5      62.50     2.24    -4.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   56   +3      62.01     2.63     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       43   55  -16      57.63     2.02   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   54   -4      60.67     2.65    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -1      59.74     2.67     0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   52   -8      56.17     2.25    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Yeovil           42   51  -14      55.23     2.48   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Tranmere         43   50  -12      54.08     2.23   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Notts_County     42   45  -14      49.50     2.51   -15.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.87R    0.59  
Dag_&_Red        43   44  -15      46.48     1.99   -17.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.48R    4.67  
Walsall          42   43  -19      47.21     2.48   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.46R    5.42  
Bristol_Rovers   42   43  -32      46.93     2.46   -34.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.04R    7.56  
Plymouth         42   39  -18      44.04     2.61   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.04R   34.53  
Swindon          42   38  -19      43.37     2.60   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.97R   47.22  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2011, Bury vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         42   81  +33      87.05     2.67    33.82    91.43   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 43   77  +33      81.13     2.26    33.02     8.57    99.24   100.00    99.44P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   71  +13      75.31     2.27    13.31     0.00    33.94    99.16    51.45P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   69  +17      75.66     2.66    18.72     0.01    51.91    98.21    63.91P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              43   67  +23      71.24     2.31    23.20     0.00     3.89    78.74    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   65  +18      69.32     2.25    18.32     0.00     0.46    45.91    11.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65  +15      71.49     2.56    16.51     0.00     5.28    75.01    25.82P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   65  +13      71.09     2.62    13.88     0.00     5.22    67.75    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            43   62  +14      66.34     2.29    14.33     0.00     0.00    10.26     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   62   +3      68.33     2.57     4.29     0.00     0.06    23.40     4.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                43   59  +18      63.96     2.20    19.49     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             43   59   +8      63.78     2.24     9.02     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   58   +0      63.29     2.58    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   57   -1      62.98     2.63    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   50  -13      54.09     2.24   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -14      55.14     2.60   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             42   48  -19      52.78     2.57   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   48  -21      53.52     2.66   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   47  -17      51.48     2.53   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         43   47  -30      50.57     2.20   -30.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.00  
Northampton          43   45  -11      49.40     2.30   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.55R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        42   45  -15      49.36     2.54   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.29R    0.04  
Barnet               42   41  -20      45.20     2.48   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.84R    4.32  
Stockport            42   36  -47      39.68     2.42   -50.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.74R   95.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       44  101  +62     104.59     1.82    63.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      44   86  +35      89.45     1.86    36.05     0.00   100.00    24.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   77  +41      83.81     1.93    45.66     0.00   100.00    45.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   74  +14      78.19     2.12    14.14     0.00    92.85    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     44   72  +24      75.27     1.80    24.78     0.00    66.94    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      44   71  +15      74.36     1.72    16.01     0.00    31.80     4.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   69   +6      72.54     2.10     5.22     0.00     8.20     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         43   64  +16      69.06     2.25    17.34     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   63  +11      66.87     2.26    10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   59  +10      63.81     2.17    11.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   44   59   +4      61.66     1.80     3.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          44   58   -1      61.12     1.86    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   57   +5      60.77     2.24     4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          43   57   -5      61.91     2.30    -3.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   52  -14      55.68     1.83   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   51  -21      52.84     1.72   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -14      50.68     2.17   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   46   -8      50.45     2.20    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   46  -19      50.10     2.18   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.17R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -17      48.14     2.18   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Southport          43   42  -20      44.99     2.14   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.74R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   41  -38      44.58     2.12   -38.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.65R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   33  -42      35.56     1.96   -45.29     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.67  
Histon             43   27  -44      29.02     1.87   -47.54     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.33  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5