Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 April 2011, Chelsea vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   70  +38      80.08     2.62    43.92    88.68    97.79    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         33   64  +34      74.09     2.59    39.54     7.59    64.28    97.61    99.92   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         33   64  +32      72.99     2.89    35.32     3.74    37.08    94.14    99.89   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.66     3.16    23.77     0.00     0.77     7.54    80.51    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       32   54   +8      63.04     2.88     9.43     0.00     0.08     0.72    18.99    99.15     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   49   +7      57.95     2.85    10.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68    84.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +6      53.17     2.83     4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.90     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.63     3.21     2.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   40   +1      46.59     2.71     0.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.11R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   40  -12      46.94     2.80   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.27R    0.00  
West_Brom       33   39  -15      44.37     2.84   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.46R    0.04  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.90     3.16     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.84R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.61     3.06    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.39R    0.05  
Sunderland      33   38  -12      45.27     2.88   -11.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.86R    0.08  
Birmingham      33   38  -12      43.34     2.64   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.13  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.68     2.85   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.42R    4.73  
Wigan           33   34  -21      39.08     2.73   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.17R   16.13  
Blackpool       33   33  -22      37.67     2.60   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.20R   31.48  
West_Ham        33   32  -19      37.26     2.61   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.91R   32.81  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.18     3.12   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.61R   14.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Burnley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              42   83  +38      89.20     2.61    39.05    97.47    99.84   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   75  +24      81.55     2.65    25.58     2.06    51.48   100.00    65.58P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   74  +19      80.47     2.60    20.50     0.34    26.87    99.98    44.28P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   72  +26      79.21     2.58    28.63     0.13    19.98    99.93    45.01P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   70  +18      76.28     2.56    19.19     0.00     1.82    97.91    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   65  +10      70.39     2.65     9.78     0.00     0.00    36.39     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63  +10      69.75     2.57    11.92     0.00     0.00    28.96     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   63   +6      68.85     2.55     6.58     0.00     0.00    13.34     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   63   +3      68.48     2.66     2.92     0.00     0.00    12.38     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   61  +12      67.33     2.63    13.28     0.00     0.00     8.22     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   60   +2      65.91     2.64     2.65     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   59   +2      64.27     2.56     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58  +11      63.83     2.65    11.48     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       42   55   -6      60.63     2.63    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   54   -6      59.18     2.62    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52   -3      56.95     2.49    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   51  -11      56.06     2.57   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   50   -9      55.45     2.52    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Derby            42   49   -7      53.49     2.50    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   45  -23      49.88     2.58   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   42   43  -23      47.56     2.54   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.87R    0.12  
Scunthorpe       42   40  -39      43.66     2.39   -41.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.62R   10.52  
Preston          42   39  -21      43.20     2.51   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.76R    9.06  
Sheff_Utd        42   35  -33      39.44     2.44   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   80.30  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Tranmere vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         42   93  +47      99.31     2.65    48.19   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   77  +38      86.40     2.81    41.95     0.00    78.43   100.00    87.69P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   77  +25      83.52     2.54    26.57     0.00    16.73   100.00    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   74  +27      81.23     2.59    29.96     0.00     4.74   100.00    33.09P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   71   +8      76.93     2.63     8.66     0.00     0.09    98.87    17.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      42   66  +21      72.71     2.62    22.81     0.00     0.00    80.26    15.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64  +10      69.12     2.62     9.42     0.00     0.00    17.22     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   61   +7      66.48     2.65     6.92     0.00     0.00     2.24     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   61   -7      66.09     2.59    -7.65     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   58   -4      62.56     2.49    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   57   -5      62.77     2.60    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   56   +3      62.01     2.64     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   54   -4      60.63     2.64    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   54  -16      58.21     2.43   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -1      59.78     2.66     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   52   -6      57.41     2.62    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   51  -14      55.22     2.48   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Tranmere         42   49  -12      54.24     2.58   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Notts_County     42   45  -14      49.50     2.51   -15.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.17R    0.33  
Dag_&_Red        42   44  -14      47.92     2.43   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.77R    2.02  
Walsall          42   43  -19      47.20     2.46   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.15R    3.38  
Bristol_Rovers   42   43  -32      46.92     2.46   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.73R    4.76  
Swindon          42   38  -19      43.37     2.59   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.51R   35.55  
Plymouth         41   36  -19      42.34     2.95   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.12R   53.96  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Bradford vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         42   81  +33      87.06     2.65    33.83    93.54   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   74  +32      80.27     2.58    33.21     6.44    95.88   100.00    97.06P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   70  +13      75.53     2.65    13.08     0.01    37.11    97.50    53.35P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   69  +17      75.69     2.65    18.76     0.00    47.68    97.39    60.28P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   66  +23      71.79     2.66    23.42     0.00     8.43    78.55    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65  +19      70.50     2.62    19.09     0.00     2.57    59.60    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65  +15      71.47     2.54    16.49     0.00     4.04    70.68    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   65  +13      71.07     2.60    13.85     0.00     4.19    62.46    15.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   62   +3      68.31     2.57     4.28     0.00     0.06    20.00     4.33P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   61  +14      66.71     2.67    14.34     0.00     0.04    13.09     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   58   +0      63.25     2.56    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   57   -1      62.96     2.64    -0.29     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   56  +17      62.82     2.58    19.26     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   56   +7      62.34     2.63     8.26     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -12      55.04     2.59   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -14      55.14     2.60   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             42   48  -19      52.80     2.58   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   48  -21      53.52     2.67   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   47  -17      51.47     2.54   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   47  -29      51.21     2.46   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.92R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   45  -15      49.38     2.55   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.37R    0.06  
Northampton          42   44  -11      49.76     2.67   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.11R    0.20  
Barnet               42   41  -20      45.21     2.48   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.79R    4.22  
Stockport            42   36  -47      39.72     2.42   -50.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.66R   95.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       43   98  +58     103.45     2.23    59.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   83  +34      88.42     2.27    36.01     0.00   100.00    24.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   77  +41      83.83     1.92    45.70     0.00   100.00    45.41P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   74  +14      78.21     2.12    14.14     0.00    95.11    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     43   72  +25      76.41     2.22    25.46     0.00    82.12    12.61P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   69   +6      72.56     2.11     5.26     0.00     6.73     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   68  +14      72.90     2.18    15.27     0.00    15.91     2.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         43   64  +16      69.03     2.25    17.31     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   63  +11      66.89     2.28    10.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   59  +10      63.80     2.19    11.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   59   +8      62.56     2.16     7.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   58   +0      61.95     2.22    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   57   +5      60.79     2.23     4.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          43   57   -5      61.93     2.30    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   52  -14      55.70     1.84   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   51  -21      52.84     1.72   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -14      50.69     2.18   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   46   -8      50.45     2.19    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   46  -19      50.07     2.19   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -17      48.11     2.18   -18.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.00  
Southport          43   42  -20      45.01     2.13   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.72R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   41  -38      44.59     2.14   -38.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.50R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   33  -42      35.55     1.97   -45.32     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.68  
Histon             43   27  -44      29.02     1.88   -47.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.32  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5