Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Newcastle vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         33   70  +38      80.10     2.63    43.97    87.90    97.64    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   63  +32      73.43     3.20    35.40     6.00    46.38    93.98    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   61  +32      73.54     2.78    39.23     6.10    54.70    95.74    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.67     3.13    23.78     0.00     1.05     8.42    78.46    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.33     3.20     9.34     0.00     0.23     1.87    21.57    98.91     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   49   +7      57.95     2.86    10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    84.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +6      53.18     2.82     4.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.21     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.63     3.19     2.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       33   40   +1      46.58     2.72     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.16R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   40  -12      46.96     2.80   -12.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.25R    0.00  
West_Brom       33   39  -15      44.41     2.85   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     3.19R    0.06  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.88     3.17     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.93R    0.01  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.59     3.06    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.46R    0.05  
Birmingham      32   38  -10      43.73     2.77   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.08R    0.10  
Sunderland      33   38  -12      45.27     2.88   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.81R    0.05  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.68     2.86   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.95R    4.66  
Wigan           33   34  -21      39.07     2.74   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.81R   16.40  
Blackpool       33   33  -22      37.65     2.61   -27.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.63R   31.26  
West_Ham        33   32  -19      37.26     2.62   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.77R   33.07  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.21     3.13   -21.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.97R   14.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Burnley vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              42   83  +38      89.17     2.62    39.01    97.46    99.79   100.00    99.86P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   75  +24      81.54     2.63    25.59     2.01    50.89   100.00    65.36P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   74  +19      80.47     2.62    20.47     0.38    27.10    99.99    44.09P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   72  +26      79.24     2.57    28.65     0.15    20.49    99.93    45.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   70  +18      76.26     2.55    19.15     0.00     1.73    97.84    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   65  +10      70.37     2.63     9.76     0.00     0.00    35.78     6.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63  +10      69.75     2.56    11.94     0.00     0.00    29.23     6.52P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   63   +6      68.88     2.56     6.64     0.00     0.00    13.91     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          42   63   +3      68.49     2.66     2.90     0.00     0.00    12.16     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   61  +12      67.35     2.62    13.29     0.00     0.00     8.28     1.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   60   +2      65.92     2.64     2.69     0.00     0.00     2.13     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   59   +2      64.27     2.57     1.74     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58  +11      63.82     2.64    11.45     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       42   55   -6      60.67     2.65    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   54   -6      59.15     2.62    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52   -3      56.98     2.51    -3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   51  -11      56.04     2.57   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    42   50   -9      55.43     2.54    -9.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Derby            42   49   -7      53.48     2.49    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   45  -23      49.90     2.59   -23.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   42   43  -23      47.54     2.53   -24.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.32R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       42   40  -39      43.66     2.40   -41.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.39R   10.73  
Preston          42   39  -21      43.20     2.54   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.43R    9.30  
Sheff_Utd        42   35  -33      39.45     2.43   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R   79.82  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Tranmere vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         42   93  +47      99.35     2.63    48.24   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   77  +38      86.41     2.80    41.96     0.00    78.84   100.00    87.95P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   77  +25      83.52     2.55    26.55     0.00    16.40   100.00    43.10P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   74  +27      81.23     2.58    29.93     0.00     4.64   100.00    32.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   71   +8      76.94     2.64     8.66     0.00     0.11    98.92    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      42   66  +21      72.67     2.63    22.78     0.00     0.00    80.02    15.42P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64  +10      69.14     2.63     9.47     0.00     0.00    17.48     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   61   +7      66.47     2.65     6.90     0.00     0.00     2.33     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   61   -7      66.10     2.59    -7.65     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   58   -4      62.55     2.49    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   57   -5      62.74     2.59    -4.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   56   +3      62.00     2.62     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   54   -4      60.64     2.65    -2.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   54  -16      58.20     2.42   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -1      59.77     2.67     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   52   -6      57.42     2.61    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   51  -14      55.25     2.48   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Tranmere         42   49  -12      54.24     2.59   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Notts_County     42   45  -14      49.48     2.50   -15.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.58R    0.29  
Dag_&_Red        42   44  -14      47.94     2.42   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.36R    2.04  
Walsall          42   43  -19      47.20     2.48   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.16R    3.33  
Bristol_Rovers   42   43  -32      46.91     2.46   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.75R    4.86  
Swindon          42   38  -19      43.37     2.60   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.45R   35.77  
Plymouth         41   36  -19      42.34     2.94   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   53.71  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Bradford vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         42   81  +33      87.08     2.67    33.84    93.72   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   74  +32      80.27     2.56    33.20     6.26    96.06   100.00    97.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   70  +13      75.52     2.64    13.07     0.02    37.05    97.49    53.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   69  +17      75.69     2.65    18.75     0.00    47.41    97.59    60.15P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   66  +23      71.79     2.67    23.45     0.00     8.46    78.60    26.93P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65  +19      70.53     2.61    19.11     0.00     2.65    59.96    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65  +15      71.45     2.56    16.44     0.00     4.00    70.24    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   65  +13      71.07     2.62    13.85     0.00     4.27    62.47    14.96P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   62   +3      68.32     2.55     4.29     0.00     0.05    19.61     4.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   61  +14      66.71     2.66    14.35     0.00     0.04    13.21     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   58   +0      63.24     2.57    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   57   -1      62.97     2.64    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   56  +17      62.83     2.57    19.26     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   56   +7      62.31     2.62     8.26     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -12      55.02     2.58   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -14      55.15     2.61   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             42   48  -19      52.81     2.58   -19.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   48  -21      53.50     2.68   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   47  -17      51.49     2.53   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   47  -29      51.23     2.46   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        42   45  -15      49.37     2.55   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.41R    0.03  
Northampton          42   44  -11      49.76     2.66   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.22  
Barnet               42   41  -20      45.20     2.47   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.14R    4.21  
Stockport            42   36  -47      39.69     2.41   -50.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.68R   95.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 April 2011, Hayes_&_Yeading vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       43   98  +58     103.45     2.24    59.94   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   83  +34      88.40     2.28    35.95     0.00   100.00    24.47P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              43   77  +41      83.82     1.91    45.64     0.00   100.00    44.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   74  +14      78.18     2.12    14.13     0.00    95.11    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     43   72  +25      76.39     2.21    25.44     0.00    81.86    12.50P    0.00     0.00  
York               43   69   +6      72.55     2.10     5.27     0.00     6.60     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      43   68  +14      72.93     2.17    15.30     0.00    16.27     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         43   64  +16      69.01     2.26    17.28     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   63  +11      66.89     2.26    10.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            43   59  +10      63.82     2.18    11.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   59   +8      62.60     2.17     7.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          43   58   +0      61.94     2.23    -0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          43   57   +5      60.78     2.24     4.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          43   57   -5      61.94     2.31    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   52  -14      55.70     1.83   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    44   51  -21      52.83     1.71   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -14      50.68     2.15   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   46   -8      50.47     2.19    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   46  -19      50.10     2.19   -19.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -17      48.13     2.18   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.00  
Southport          43   42  -20      44.99     2.14   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.88R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   41  -38      44.58     2.13   -39.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   33  -42      35.54     1.96   -45.30     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.75  
Histon             43   27  -44      29.02     1.88   -47.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.25  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5