Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 April 2011, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.02     2.96    44.85    90.71    98.13    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         32   63  +32      73.45     3.21    35.42     4.57    45.98    93.92    99.58   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   61  +32      73.57     2.78    39.27     4.72    54.70    95.97    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.65     3.15    23.73     0.00     0.93     8.24    78.06    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.34     3.21     9.33     0.00     0.25     1.89    21.96    98.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       33   49   +7      57.96     2.85    10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    84.11     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +6      53.19     2.83     4.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.24     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.66     3.21     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.97     0.00R    0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   40  -12      47.00     2.80   -12.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.25R    0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.38     2.98    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.37R    0.00  
West_Brom       33   39  -15      44.42     2.85   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.26R    0.05  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.88     3.16     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.81R    0.01  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.57     3.06    -4.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.44R    0.04  
Birmingham      32   38  -10      43.76     2.78   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.12R    0.10  
Sunderland      33   38  -12      45.26     2.89   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.83R    0.08  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.67     2.84   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.52R    4.79  
Wigan           33   34  -21      39.06     2.72   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.48R   16.25  
Blackpool       33   33  -22      37.63     2.60   -27.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.81R   31.81  
West_Ham        33   32  -19      37.25     2.60   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.63R   32.57  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.19     3.12   -21.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.48R   14.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Bristol_City vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.24     2.91    40.03    98.23    99.86   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   75  +24      81.50     2.66    25.51     1.44    50.72   100.00    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   74  +19      80.47     2.62    20.49     0.23    27.23    99.99    44.19P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   72  +26      79.22     2.58    28.65     0.11    20.34    99.91    45.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   70  +18      76.29     2.56    19.20     0.00     1.85    98.06    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   65  +10      70.35     2.63     9.71     0.00     0.00    36.93     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63  +10      69.74     2.56    11.91     0.00     0.00    31.02     7.23P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   63   +7      68.83     2.55     7.56     0.00     0.00    14.82     3.17P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   61  +11      67.31     2.61    12.24     0.00     0.00     8.92     1.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   60   +2      65.96     2.64     2.72     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.44P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   60   +1      67.05     3.00     1.19     0.00     0.00     7.32     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58  +11      63.82     2.65    11.46     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   57   +0      62.19     2.56    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   55   -4      60.25     2.60    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       42   55   -6      60.68     2.65    -5.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52   -2      56.99     2.50    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   51  -12      56.00     2.57   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   50   -6      56.67     2.86    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.22     2.75    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   45  -24      49.83     2.57   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   42   43  -23      47.55     2.54   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.13R    0.14  
Scunthorpe       42   40  -39      43.67     2.41   -41.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.27R   10.57  
Preston          42   39  -21      43.23     2.54   -22.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.42R    9.07  
Sheff_Utd        42   35  -33      39.43     2.44   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.52R   80.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Carlisle vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         42   93  +47      99.30     2.64    48.18   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   77  +38      86.43     2.79    42.00     0.00    78.81   100.00    87.99P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   77  +25      83.53     2.55    26.57     0.00    16.64   100.00    43.27P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   74  +27      81.23     2.57    29.94     0.00     4.47    99.99    32.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   71   +8      76.98     2.62     8.70     0.00     0.09    98.89    17.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      42   66  +21      72.66     2.63    22.78     0.00     0.00    80.09    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64  +10      69.15     2.61     9.48     0.00     0.00    17.29     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   61   +7      66.47     2.64     6.90     0.00     0.00     2.29     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   61   -7      66.10     2.59    -7.64     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   58   -4      62.57     2.50    -5.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   57   -5      62.77     2.58    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   56   +3      62.00     2.63     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   54   -4      60.65     2.66    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   54  -16      58.22     2.41   -18.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -1      59.77     2.67     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   52   -6      57.41     2.61    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   51  -14      55.23     2.48   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   49  -11      55.84     2.93   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        42   44  -14      47.93     2.41   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    1.49  
Walsall          42   43  -19      47.19     2.47   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.39R    3.01  
Bristol_Rovers   42   43  -32      46.89     2.46   -34.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.92R    4.40  
Notts_County     41   42  -15      47.56     2.82   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.64R    4.07  
Swindon          42   38  -19      43.39     2.60   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.23R   34.46  
Plymouth         41   36  -19      42.33     2.94   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.61R   52.58  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         42   81  +33      87.05     2.67    33.82    93.11   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   74  +32      80.33     2.59    33.29     6.88    96.08   100.00    97.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   70  +12      75.50     2.63    12.03     0.02    36.76    97.44    52.86P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   69  +17      75.68     2.64    18.73     0.00    47.88    97.62    60.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   66  +23      71.77     2.66    23.41     0.00     8.52    78.88    26.57P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65  +17      70.41     2.58    16.97     0.00     2.34    56.94    15.44P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65  +15      71.44     2.56    16.43     0.00     4.09    71.04    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   65  +13      71.11     2.61    13.91     0.00     4.25    63.52    15.48P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   62   +3      68.32     2.56     4.30     0.00     0.05    20.08     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   61  +14      66.72     2.66    14.35     0.00     0.03    13.64     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   58   +0      63.28     2.58    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   57   -1      62.98     2.63    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   56  +17      62.82     2.58    19.25     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   56   +7      62.33     2.62     8.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -11      55.07     2.58   -11.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -14      55.10     2.59   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   48  -21      53.48     2.66   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   47  -15      51.57     2.54   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.56R    0.00  
Bradford             41   47  -19      53.37     2.92   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   47  -29      51.22     2.46   -30.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.01  
Northampton          42   44  -11      49.78     2.66   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.93R    0.16  
Burton_Albion        41   44  -15      49.53     2.86   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.55R    0.11  
Barnet               42   41  -20      45.19     2.47   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.22R    4.32  
Stockport            42   36  -47      39.70     2.42   -50.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   95.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       43   98  +58     103.48     2.22    59.98   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   83  +34      88.42     2.27    36.00     0.00   100.00    24.00P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   77  +42      85.43     2.33    47.04     0.00   100.00    44.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   74  +14      78.19     2.12    14.13     0.00    91.26    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     43   72  +25      76.41     2.21    25.47     0.00    74.30    11.55P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   68  +15      74.45     2.55    16.53     0.00    32.68     5.04P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   66   +5      70.64     2.46     3.89     0.00     1.69     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   63  +11      66.87     2.28    10.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         42   61  +15      67.23     2.61    16.08     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   59   +8      62.56     2.16     7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   58   +2      63.47     2.62     1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   57   +7      62.19     2.62     6.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          43   57   -5      61.90     2.31    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   56   +8      62.02     2.58     8.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   52  -14      55.69     1.84   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -23      51.22     2.17   -24.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -14      50.71     2.18   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   46   -8      50.48     2.19    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   46  -19      50.07     2.19   -19.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -17      48.13     2.18   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.25R    0.00  
Southport          43   42  -20      45.01     2.14   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.89R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   41  -38      44.61     2.14   -38.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.43R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   33  -42      35.54     1.97   -45.33     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.75  
Histon             43   27  -44      29.02     1.87   -47.56     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.25  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5