Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Birmingham vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.03     2.94    44.88    87.91    97.69    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.37     3.48    36.24     7.85    54.44    95.22    99.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         32   61  +32      73.57     2.78    39.29     4.24    46.97    95.59    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.65     3.17    23.75     0.00     0.73     7.53    78.07    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.31     3.20     9.27     0.00     0.16     1.67    21.69    99.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.85     3.11     9.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89    82.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton         33   47   +6      53.16     2.82     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.51     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.60     3.20     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.28     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa     33   40  -12      46.96     2.78   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.27R    0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.38     2.98    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.41R    0.00  
West_Brom       33   39  -15      44.43     2.84   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     3.20R    0.05  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.90     3.17     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.85R    0.01  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.58     3.06    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.55R    0.05  
Birmingham      32   38  -10      43.70     2.77   -14.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     4.24R    0.10  
Sunderland      33   38  -12      45.28     2.89   -11.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.91R    0.07  
Blackburn       33   35  -14      40.68     2.84   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.87R    4.67  
Wigan           33   34  -21      39.06     2.72   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.72R   16.15  
Blackpool       33   33  -22      37.68     2.62   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.17R   31.35  
West_Ham        33   32  -19      37.27     2.62   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.74R   32.94  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.20     3.11   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.07R   14.59  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Bristol_City vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.21     2.92    39.99    98.17    99.87   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          42   75  +24      81.50     2.65    25.51     1.48    50.82   100.00    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   74  +19      80.47     2.62    20.48     0.25    27.21    99.99    44.44P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          42   72  +26      79.22     2.58    28.66     0.10    20.29    99.92    45.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          42   70  +18      76.29     2.55    19.20     0.00     1.80    98.07    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     42   65  +10      70.35     2.63     9.71     0.00     0.00    36.76     6.48P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63  +10      69.75     2.57    11.92     0.00     0.00    30.88     7.05P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             42   63   +7      68.86     2.55     7.60     0.00     0.00    14.86     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         42   61  +11      67.32     2.62    12.25     0.00     0.00     8.95     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        42   60   +2      65.96     2.64     2.70     0.00     0.00     2.53     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          41   60   +1      67.09     3.00     1.27     0.00     0.00     7.41     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          42   58  +11      63.82     2.65    11.48     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          42   57   +0      62.21     2.56    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     42   55   -4      60.23     2.61    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       42   55   -6      60.69     2.63    -5.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         42   52   -2      56.99     2.50    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         42   51  -12      56.01     2.57   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    41   50   -6      56.65     2.86    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.21     2.74    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        42   45  -24      49.80     2.56   -25.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.56R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   42   43  -23      47.53     2.52   -24.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.27R    0.11  
Scunthorpe       42   40  -39      43.66     2.39   -41.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.44R   10.70  
Preston          42   39  -21      43.24     2.54   -22.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R    9.06  
Sheff_Utd        42   35  -33      39.42     2.43   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.48R   80.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Carlisle vs Colchester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         42   93  +47      99.35     2.65    48.25   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      41   77  +38      86.43     2.81    41.99     0.00    78.98   100.00    88.13P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     42   77  +25      83.52     2.53    26.56     0.00    16.20   100.00    42.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     42   74  +27      81.22     2.58    29.93     0.00     4.70   100.00    33.11P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   71   +8      76.98     2.64     8.72     0.00     0.12    98.97    17.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      42   66  +21      72.70     2.62    22.83     0.00     0.00    80.63    15.30P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   64  +10      69.11     2.61     9.43     0.00     0.00    16.89     2.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   61   +7      66.47     2.64     6.91     0.00     0.00     2.19     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           42   61   -7      66.08     2.58    -7.68     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        42   58   -4      62.57     2.50    -5.27     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       42   57   -5      62.76     2.59    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         42   56   +3      62.01     2.64     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton         42   54   -4      60.63     2.66    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       42   54  -16      58.19     2.43   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed        42   53   -1      59.79     2.66     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           42   52   -6      57.40     2.62    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           42   51  -14      55.23     2.46   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Tranmere         41   49  -11      55.91     2.91   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Dag_&_Red        42   44  -14      47.91     2.41   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.60R    1.66  
Walsall          42   43  -19      47.18     2.47   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.34R    3.14  
Bristol_Rovers   42   43  -32      46.92     2.46   -34.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.10R    4.27  
Notts_County     41   42  -15      47.53     2.81   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.00R    3.88  
Swindon          42   38  -19      43.37     2.59   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   34.37  
Plymouth         41   36  -19      42.35     2.93   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.64R   52.68  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         42   81  +33      87.08     2.68    33.85    93.64   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   74  +32      80.27     2.56    33.18     6.35    96.04   100.00    97.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              42   70  +13      75.53     2.63    13.09     0.02    37.00    97.42    52.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           42   69  +17      75.66     2.65    18.73     0.00    47.23    97.47    60.17P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              42   66  +23      71.77     2.66    23.41     0.00     8.42    78.17    26.49P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            42   65  +19      70.54     2.61    19.13     0.00     2.70    59.85    17.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           42   65  +15      71.45     2.56    16.46     0.00     4.13    70.61    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   42   65  +13      71.13     2.62    13.92     0.00     4.36    63.25    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            42   62   +3      68.31     2.55     4.29     0.00     0.08    19.65     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            42   61  +14      66.72     2.65    14.36     0.00     0.04    12.81     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           42   58   +0      63.29     2.58    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            42   57   -1      62.96     2.63    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                42   56  +17      62.82     2.58    19.23     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   56   +7      62.30     2.62     8.24     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            42   50  -12      55.03     2.58   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Hereford             42   50  -14      55.14     2.61   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Cheltenham           42   48  -21      53.51     2.67   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Macclesfield         42   47  -17      51.50     2.52   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.00  
Bradford             41   47  -19      53.35     2.92   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         42   47  -29      51.22     2.47   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73R    0.00  
Northampton          42   44  -11      49.75     2.66   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.78R    0.18  
Burton_Albion        41   44  -15      49.54     2.87   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.12  
Barnet               42   41  -20      45.19     2.47   -22.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.16R    4.23  
Stockport            42   36  -47      39.70     2.40   -50.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.65R   95.47  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 April 2011, Eastbourne_Boro vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       43   98  +58     103.52     2.23    60.01   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      43   83  +34      88.43     2.27    36.01     0.00   100.00    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              42   77  +42      85.44     2.33    47.05     0.00   100.00    45.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            43   74  +14      78.18     2.12    14.11     0.00    91.16    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     43   72  +25      76.38     2.21    25.43     0.00    73.88    11.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      42   68  +15      74.46     2.55    16.52     0.00    33.21     5.05P    0.00     0.00  
York               42   66   +5      70.60     2.46     3.84     0.00     1.68     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     43   63  +11      66.85     2.26    10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         42   61  +15      67.25     2.59    16.09     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   43   59   +8      62.54     2.16     7.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          42   58   +2      63.52     2.61     1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          42   57   +7      62.18     2.61     6.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          43   57   -5      61.88     2.32    -3.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            42   56   +8      61.98     2.56     8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          44   52  -14      55.68     1.84   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    43   48  -23      51.22     2.18   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Barrow             43   47  -14      50.72     2.18   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      43   46   -8      50.50     2.20    -7.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Tamworth           43   46  -19      50.08     2.19   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Forest_Green       43   45  -17      48.14     2.19   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.00  
Southport          43   42  -20      45.01     2.15   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.77R    0.00  
Altrincham         43   41  -38      44.61     2.14   -38.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.27R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    43   33  -42      35.55     1.97   -45.32     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    1.72  
Histon             43   27  -44      29.02     1.88   -47.55     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   98.28  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5