Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.03     2.94    44.82    88.96    98.10    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.35     3.49    36.23     7.97    60.73    95.35    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.70     3.04    38.49     3.07    39.77    92.25    99.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.65     3.18    23.72     0.00     1.14    10.08    78.12    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.34     3.19     9.30     0.00     0.26     2.33    22.08    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.86     3.12     9.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.93    85.11     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.19     3.09     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.82     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.57     3.20     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.65     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.38     2.96    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.59R    0.01  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.15     3.06   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.91R    0.06  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.86     3.15     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     1.19R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.57     3.07    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.77R    0.08  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.53     3.15    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.25R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.21     3.11   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.24R    0.23  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.47     3.08   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.83R    3.20  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.18     3.07   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.10R    1.74  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.56     2.95   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.39R   14.70  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.76     2.98   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.36R   18.57  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.19     3.13   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.13R   14.07  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.94     3.00   -26.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.25R   47.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 April 2011, Norwich vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.26     2.90    40.04    98.99    99.93   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          42   74  +19      80.50     2.62    20.53     0.27    36.32    99.97    50.84P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   72  +21      80.20     3.00    23.01     0.66    38.01    99.84    55.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   70  +19      77.60     2.89    20.14     0.02    10.06    98.23    32.02P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   69  +24      77.99     2.91    27.22     0.05    15.61    98.83    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   64  +10      71.06     3.01    10.27     0.00     0.07    42.55     7.87P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    42   63  +10      69.72     2.57    11.90     0.00     0.00    25.13     5.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   61  +12      68.72     2.94    13.30     0.00     0.00    18.72     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   60   +5      67.66     2.87     6.22     0.00     0.00     6.87     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60   +4      66.96     2.93     4.11     0.00     0.00     5.46     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57  +11      63.92     2.97    10.96     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   57   +0      65.38     3.30     0.13     0.00     0.00     2.92     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   55   -3      61.84     2.95    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   55   -3      61.77     2.94    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   54   -1      60.30     2.88    -1.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   50  -12      55.88     2.85   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49   -3      55.32     2.85    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   49   -6      57.57     3.16    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.21     2.74    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   45  -22      50.70     2.85   -23.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43  -22      49.45     2.88   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.83R    0.05  
Scunthorpe       41   37  -40      41.50     2.68   -43.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.13R   32.67  
Preston          41   36  -23      41.82     2.87   -24.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   23.51  
Sheff_Utd        41   35  -31      40.63     2.78   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   43.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Brighton vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         41   90  +45      97.97     2.97    46.61    99.70   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   74  +37      85.83     3.03    42.74     0.30    81.92   100.00    89.73P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.84     2.87    25.48     0.00    12.23    99.99    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.25     2.90    30.03     0.00     5.73    99.83    34.43P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.31     2.96     7.64     0.00     0.12    91.26    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   64  +11      70.92     2.94    11.06     0.00     0.00    43.60     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.01     2.95    20.75     0.00     0.00    52.78    10.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   61   +8      67.90     2.97     8.00     0.00     0.00    10.93     1.80P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.49     2.94    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.09     2.90    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   55   -5      60.52     2.81    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.05     2.98    -1.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.17     2.73   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   53   +0      60.38     2.96     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.67     2.92    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.60     2.99    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   50  -14      55.71     2.81   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.43     3.21   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.40R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red        41   44  -12      49.09     2.74   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.40R    2.08  
Walsall          41   43  -17      48.28     2.79   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.51R    3.76  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.35     2.64   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.45R    7.43  
Notts_County     40   42  -13      48.96     3.15   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.93R    3.38  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.78     2.93   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.20R   27.33  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.05     3.19   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.68R   55.99  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 April 2011, Southend vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.16     2.94    33.99    91.31    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   71  +30      79.36     2.85    32.29     8.19    88.77    99.93    91.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.29     2.97    13.66     0.42    46.16    96.40    59.24P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.87     2.94    18.08     0.05    31.17    91.44    46.22P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.43     2.97    23.82     0.02    12.69    76.60    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.21     2.94    19.55     0.00     5.20    60.48    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.38     2.88    17.28     0.00     8.57    73.20    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.80     2.96    14.39     0.00     6.97    63.57    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.38     2.88     3.88     0.00     0.27    18.26     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.60     2.97    15.11     0.00     0.24    17.54     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.33     2.88    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   56   +7      62.34     2.62     8.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      63.02     2.92    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.98     2.88    20.56     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.92     2.87   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.98     2.88   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.79     2.99   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.17     2.78   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.02  
Bradford             41   47  -19      53.38     2.93   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.84     2.72   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.09R    0.02  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.70     2.94   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.45R    0.60  
Burton_Albion        40   41  -17      48.05     3.19   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.52R    1.86  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.94     2.73   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.91R    5.06  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.35     2.67   -49.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.28R   92.44  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 14 April 2011, Mansfield vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       42   95  +54     102.34     2.60    56.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.18     2.65    32.56     0.00   100.00    22.88P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   76  +42      86.23     2.68    47.78     0.00   100.00    45.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.96     2.48    12.66     0.00    75.34    11.76P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.41     2.53    24.40     0.00    57.68     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.30     2.89    17.26     0.00    51.38     8.00P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.69     2.79     5.88     0.00    13.08     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         41   61  +16      68.96     2.94    17.60     0.00     2.51     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.53     2.63     6.06     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   58   +8      62.99     2.55     7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   57   +2      63.52     2.94     1.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   56   +7      62.61     2.95     6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          42   56   -5      61.69     2.61    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   55   +8      63.00     2.88     9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.57     2.20   -11.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   47   -9      51.79     2.52   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.88     2.57    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.14     2.50   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.54     2.58   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.18R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.76     2.48   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.84R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.97     2.48   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.97R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.37     2.41   -37.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.30R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   32  -42      35.44     2.32   -46.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.98R    6.21  
Histon             42   27  -40      29.98     2.26   -44.16     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.79  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5