Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 14 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 32 69 +38 81.03 2.95 44.81 89.01 98.16 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 62 +32 74.36 3.48 36.23 7.95 61.30 95.56 99.69 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 31 58 +30 72.66 3.06 38.42 3.04 39.15 92.14 99.22 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 56 +20 66.62 3.18 23.69 0.00 1.12 9.86 77.95 99.96 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 53 +8 63.31 3.22 9.25 0.00 0.26 2.45 22.19 99.17 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 48 +7 57.84 3.12 9.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.94 84.90 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 44 +4 52.19 3.11 3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.11 0.00 0.00 Bolton 32 43 +3 50.54 3.21 1.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.57 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 32 39 +1 46.40 2.98 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.61R 0.00 West_Brom 32 39 -13 45.13 3.08 -16.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 3.21R 0.04 Fulham 32 38 +1 45.89 3.14 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 1.14R 0.01 Stoke 32 38 -3 45.60 3.05 -4.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 1.77R 0.07 Sunderland 32 38 -10 46.53 3.15 -9.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 1.21R 0.06 Aston_Villa 32 37 -13 45.22 3.10 -13.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 3.24R 0.21 Blackburn 32 35 -12 41.48 3.09 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.57R 3.22 Birmingham 31 35 -12 42.18 3.07 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 16.95R 1.70 Blackpool 32 33 -20 39.59 2.96 -24.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.26R 14.44 West_Ham 32 32 -18 38.75 2.97 -21.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.64R 18.67 Wolverhampton 32 32 -20 39.21 3.11 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.89R 13.86 Wigan 32 31 -23 36.91 2.99 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.53R 47.71Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 41 82 +38 90.25 2.90 40.04 98.98 99.94 100.00 99.95P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 41 72 +21 80.23 2.98 23.03 0.79 44.00 99.76 59.34P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 41 71 +18 79.04 2.96 19.76 0.12 24.26 98.98 41.44P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 41 70 +19 77.61 2.88 20.12 0.03 12.09 97.86 33.27P 0.00 0.00 Reading 41 69 +24 77.99 2.92 27.19 0.07 19.57 98.35 44.14P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 41 64 +10 71.01 2.99 10.19 0.00 0.07 36.91 6.91P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 41 63 +11 70.86 2.90 12.55 0.00 0.06 38.10 8.90P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 41 61 +12 68.68 2.94 13.28 0.00 0.00 15.81 3.15P 0.00 0.00 Hull 41 60 +5 67.63 2.87 6.18 0.00 0.00 5.74 1.20P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 41 60 +4 66.97 2.93 4.15 0.00 0.00 4.98 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 41 57 +11 63.95 2.97 11.00 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 40 57 +0 65.41 3.28 0.18 0.00 0.00 2.37 0.45P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 41 55 -3 61.83 2.97 -2.97 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 41 55 -3 61.77 2.94 -3.15 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 41 54 -1 60.34 2.88 -1.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 41 50 -12 55.90 2.85 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Coventry 41 49 -3 55.33 2.84 -3.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 40 49 -6 57.57 3.17 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 41 48 -7 53.24 2.77 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Doncaster 41 45 -22 50.69 2.83 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.51R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 41 43 -22 49.46 2.85 -22.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.56R 0.03 Scunthorpe 41 37 -40 41.55 2.70 -43.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.12R 32.20 Preston 41 36 -23 41.78 2.88 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.20R 24.14 Sheff_Utd 41 35 -31 40.66 2.77 -32.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.55R 43.62League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Brighton vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 41 90 +45 97.95 2.97 46.59 99.75 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 40 74 +37 85.81 3.02 42.74 0.25 81.65 100.00 89.61P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 41 74 +24 81.86 2.87 25.52 0.00 12.55 99.99 40.76P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 41 71 +26 80.23 2.90 30.01 0.00 5.64 99.80 34.18P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 41 68 +7 75.26 2.97 7.58 0.00 0.16 90.67 15.93P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 41 64 +11 70.94 2.95 11.07 0.00 0.00 43.65 7.61P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 41 63 +19 71.03 2.96 20.76 0.00 0.00 53.08 10.00P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 41 61 +8 67.88 3.00 7.97 0.00 0.00 11.20 1.71P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 41 58 -8 64.49 2.91 -8.63 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 41 57 -2 64.12 2.91 -1.54 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 41 55 -5 60.52 2.81 -6.86 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 41 54 -3 62.09 2.98 -1.19 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 41 54 -14 59.13 2.72 -16.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 41 53 +0 60.37 2.95 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 41 51 -6 57.66 2.93 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 41 50 -3 58.66 2.99 -0.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Yeovil 41 50 -14 55.71 2.83 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41R 0.00 Tranmere 40 46 -13 54.43 3.21 -12.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.27R 0.04 Dag_&_Red 41 44 -12 49.09 2.76 -15.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.44R 2.18 Walsall 41 43 -17 48.27 2.80 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.04R 3.81 Bristol_Rovers 41 43 -31 47.33 2.65 -35.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.89R 7.62 Notts_County 40 42 -13 48.98 3.13 -14.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.54R 3.33 Swindon 41 38 -18 44.81 2.95 -18.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.69R 27.44 Plymouth 40 36 -18 43.09 3.19 -20.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.64R 55.57 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Bury vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 41 78 +32 86.18 2.95 34.01 91.48 99.97 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Bury 41 71 +30 79.32 2.87 32.26 7.98 88.55 99.95 91.84P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 41 69 +13 76.37 2.96 13.78 0.46 47.39 96.61 60.30P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 41 66 +15 74.83 2.93 17.99 0.06 30.76 91.20 46.01P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 41 65 +23 72.44 2.99 23.82 0.01 12.63 76.55 29.21P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 41 64 +19 71.25 2.93 19.61 0.00 5.08 61.74 19.47P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 41 64 +15 72.36 2.90 17.25 0.00 8.50 72.85 27.01P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 41 64 +13 71.76 2.95 14.34 0.00 6.60 62.92 16.96P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 41 61 +3 68.35 2.86 3.83 0.00 0.26 18.05 3.98P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 41 60 +14 67.61 2.97 15.11 0.00 0.27 17.70 4.68P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 41 57 +0 63.36 2.90 -0.75 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 41 56 -1 62.99 2.92 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.11P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 41 55 +17 63.93 2.88 20.48 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Southend 41 53 +3 60.97 2.94 4.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 41 49 -12 54.92 2.86 -13.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Hereford 41 49 -14 54.98 2.88 -15.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Cheltenham 41 48 -19 54.79 3.00 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Bradford 40 47 -15 54.48 3.20 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.56R 0.00 Macclesfield 41 47 -16 52.21 2.77 -18.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52R 0.00 Lincoln_City 41 46 -29 50.84 2.71 -32.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.07R 0.03 Northampton 41 43 -11 49.70 2.94 -11.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.31R 0.62 Burton_Albion 40 41 -17 48.05 3.19 -18.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.00R 1.87 Barnet 41 41 -18 45.96 2.73 -21.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.80R 5.06 Stockport 41 36 -45 40.35 2.67 -49.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.31R 92.40Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 14 April 2011, Mansfield vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 42 95 +54 102.27 2.58 56.60 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 42 80 +30 87.18 2.65 32.57 0.00 100.00 22.60P 0.00 0.00 Luton 41 76 +42 86.23 2.71 47.77 0.00 100.00 46.13P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 42 71 +12 76.99 2.48 12.71 0.00 75.70 11.94P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 42 69 +23 75.42 2.54 24.40 0.00 57.78 8.83P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 67 +15 75.31 2.90 17.29 0.00 51.39 8.02P 0.00 0.00 York 41 66 +6 72.69 2.78 5.87 0.00 12.67 1.93P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 41 61 +16 68.96 2.92 17.58 0.00 2.46 0.56P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 42 60 +6 65.54 2.61 6.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 42 58 +8 62.98 2.56 7.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 41 57 +2 63.49 2.94 1.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 56 +7 62.58 2.94 6.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 42 56 -5 61.67 2.61 -4.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 55 +8 63.03 2.89 9.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kettering 43 52 -12 56.59 2.20 -11.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barrow 42 47 -9 51.80 2.52 -10.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 42 45 -8 50.88 2.58 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 42 45 -24 49.15 2.50 -26.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.22R 0.00 Forest_Green 42 44 -17 48.53 2.58 -18.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.04R 0.00 Tamworth 42 43 -20 47.76 2.47 -21.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.96R 0.00 Southport 42 42 -16 46.00 2.48 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.05R 0.00 Altrincham 42 41 -36 45.35 2.40 -37.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.17R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 42 32 -42 35.46 2.32 -46.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 6.02 Histon 42 27 -40 29.98 2.26 -44.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 93.98 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5