Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.03     2.95    44.81    89.01    98.16    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.36     3.48    36.23     7.95    61.30    95.56    99.69   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.66     3.06    38.42     3.04    39.15    92.14    99.22   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.62     3.18    23.69     0.00     1.12     9.86    77.95    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.31     3.22     9.25     0.00     0.26     2.45    22.19    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.84     3.12     9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94    84.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.19     3.11     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.11     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.54     3.21     1.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.57     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.40     2.98    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.61R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.13     3.08   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.21R    0.04  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.89     3.14     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     1.14R    0.01  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.60     3.05    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.77R    0.07  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.53     3.15    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     1.21R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.22     3.10   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.24R    0.21  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.48     3.09   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    3.22  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.18     3.07   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.95R    1.70  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.59     2.96   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.26R   14.44  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.75     2.97   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.64R   18.67  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.21     3.11   -21.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.89R   13.86  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.91     2.99   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.53R   47.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.25     2.90    40.04    98.98    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   72  +21      80.23     2.98    23.03     0.79    44.00    99.76    59.34P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   71  +18      79.04     2.96    19.76     0.12    24.26    98.98    41.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   70  +19      77.61     2.88    20.12     0.03    12.09    97.86    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   69  +24      77.99     2.92    27.19     0.07    19.57    98.35    44.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   64  +10      71.01     2.99    10.19     0.00     0.07    36.91     6.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63  +11      70.86     2.90    12.55     0.00     0.06    38.10     8.90P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   61  +12      68.68     2.94    13.28     0.00     0.00    15.81     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   60   +5      67.63     2.87     6.18     0.00     0.00     5.74     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60   +4      66.97     2.93     4.15     0.00     0.00     4.98     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57  +11      63.95     2.97    11.00     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   57   +0      65.41     3.28     0.18     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   55   -3      61.83     2.97    -2.97     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   55   -3      61.77     2.94    -3.15     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   54   -1      60.34     2.88    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   50  -12      55.90     2.85   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49   -3      55.33     2.84    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   49   -6      57.57     3.17    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.24     2.77    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   45  -22      50.69     2.83   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43  -22      49.46     2.85   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.03  
Scunthorpe       41   37  -40      41.55     2.70   -43.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.12R   32.20  
Preston          41   36  -23      41.78     2.88   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.20R   24.14  
Sheff_Utd        41   35  -31      40.66     2.77   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   43.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Brighton vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         41   90  +45      97.95     2.97    46.59    99.75   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   74  +37      85.81     3.02    42.74     0.25    81.65   100.00    89.61P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.86     2.87    25.52     0.00    12.55    99.99    40.76P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.23     2.90    30.01     0.00     5.64    99.80    34.18P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.26     2.97     7.58     0.00     0.16    90.67    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   64  +11      70.94     2.95    11.07     0.00     0.00    43.65     7.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.03     2.96    20.76     0.00     0.00    53.08    10.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   61   +8      67.88     3.00     7.97     0.00     0.00    11.20     1.71P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.49     2.91    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.12     2.91    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   55   -5      60.52     2.81    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.09     2.98    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.13     2.72   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         41   53   +0      60.37     2.95     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.66     2.93    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.66     2.99    -0.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   50  -14      55.71     2.83   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.43     3.21   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.27R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red        41   44  -12      49.09     2.76   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.44R    2.18  
Walsall          41   43  -17      48.27     2.80   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.04R    3.81  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.33     2.65   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.89R    7.62  
Notts_County     40   42  -13      48.98     3.13   -14.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.54R    3.33  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.81     2.95   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.69R   27.44  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.09     3.19   -20.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.64R   55.57  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Bury vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.18     2.95    34.01    91.48    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   71  +30      79.32     2.87    32.26     7.98    88.55    99.95    91.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.37     2.96    13.78     0.46    47.39    96.61    60.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.83     2.93    17.99     0.06    30.76    91.20    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.44     2.99    23.82     0.01    12.63    76.55    29.21P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.25     2.93    19.61     0.00     5.08    61.74    19.47P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.36     2.90    17.25     0.00     8.50    72.85    27.01P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.76     2.95    14.34     0.00     6.60    62.92    16.96P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.35     2.86     3.83     0.00     0.26    18.05     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.61     2.97    15.11     0.00     0.27    17.70     4.68P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.36     2.90    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      62.99     2.92    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.93     2.88    20.48     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      60.97     2.94     4.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.92     2.86   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.98     2.88   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.79     3.00   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.48     3.20   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.21     2.77   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.84     2.71   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.07R    0.03  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.70     2.94   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.31R    0.62  
Burton_Albion        40   41  -17      48.05     3.19   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.00R    1.87  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.96     2.73   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.80R    5.06  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.35     2.67   -49.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.31R   92.40  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 14 April 2011, Mansfield vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       42   95  +54     102.27     2.58    56.60   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.18     2.65    32.57     0.00   100.00    22.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   76  +42      86.23     2.71    47.77     0.00   100.00    46.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.99     2.48    12.71     0.00    75.70    11.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.42     2.54    24.40     0.00    57.78     8.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.31     2.90    17.29     0.00    51.39     8.02P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.69     2.78     5.87     0.00    12.67     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         41   61  +16      68.96     2.92    17.58     0.00     2.46     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.54     2.61     6.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   58   +8      62.98     2.56     7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          41   57   +2      63.49     2.94     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   56   +7      62.58     2.94     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          42   56   -5      61.67     2.61    -4.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   55   +8      63.03     2.89     9.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.59     2.20   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   47   -9      51.80     2.52   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.88     2.58    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.15     2.50   -26.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.22R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.53     2.58   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.04R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.76     2.47   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.96R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      46.00     2.48   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.05R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.35     2.40   -37.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.17R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   32  -42      35.46     2.32   -46.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    6.02  
Histon             42   27  -40      29.98     2.26   -44.19     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.98  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5