Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.02     2.96    44.83    88.86    98.09    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.37     3.48    36.25     8.23    61.36    95.74    99.68   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.64     3.06    38.38     2.91    39.23    92.06    99.16   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.58     3.18    23.62     0.00     1.07     9.86    77.24    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.37     3.19     9.34     0.00     0.25     2.35    22.95    99.23     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.84     3.13     9.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.97    84.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.19     3.10     3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.15     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.56     3.21     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.62     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.39     3.00    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.64R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.20     3.08   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.89R    0.05  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.91     3.16     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     1.15R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.60     3.05    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     1.76R    0.08  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.52     3.15    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.19R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.18     3.12   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.35R    0.23  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.50     3.07   -14.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.14R    3.06  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.17     3.05   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.14R    1.64  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.55     2.94   -24.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.59R   14.70  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.79     2.96   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.90R   18.10  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.13     3.14   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.84R   14.51  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.93     3.00   -26.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.43R   47.58  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.27     2.90    40.07    99.09    99.95   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   72  +21      80.24     2.98    23.03     0.68    43.77    99.76    59.13P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   71  +18      79.04     2.96    19.76     0.15    24.31    98.90    41.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   70  +19      77.64     2.90    20.17     0.03    12.42    97.81    34.08P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   69  +24      77.98     2.90    27.22     0.06    19.41    98.41    43.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   64  +10      71.03     3.00    10.22     0.00     0.10    37.31     7.12P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63  +11      70.88     2.89    12.56     0.00     0.04    38.32     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   61  +12      68.68     2.93    13.27     0.00     0.00    15.82     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60   +4      66.94     2.93     4.08     0.00     0.00     4.73     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   60   +4      67.57     2.89     5.09     0.00     0.00     5.29     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57  +11      63.96     2.99    11.03     0.00     0.00     1.20     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   57   +0      65.40     3.30     0.17     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   55   -3      61.87     2.94    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   55   -3      61.74     2.93    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   54   -1      60.32     2.87    -1.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   50  -12      55.88     2.86   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49   -3      55.33     2.84    -3.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   49   -6      57.58     3.17    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.21     2.75    -9.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   45  -21      50.75     2.86   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43  -22      49.45     2.87   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.80R    0.04  
Scunthorpe       41   37  -40      41.52     2.70   -43.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.07R   32.60  
Preston          41   36  -23      41.79     2.88   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.21R   24.20  
Sheff_Utd        41   35  -31      40.66     2.78   -32.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.49R   43.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Brighton vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         41   90  +45      97.97     2.98    46.62    99.68   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   74  +37      85.85     3.01    42.77     0.32    82.05   100.00    90.00P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.83     2.89    25.48     0.00    12.18   100.00    39.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.27     2.90    30.05     0.00     5.63    99.80    34.65P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.26     2.98     7.59     0.00     0.14    91.09    15.99P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   64  +11      70.90     2.95    11.03     0.00     0.00    43.48     7.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.00     2.95    20.72     0.00     0.00    52.90    10.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   61   +8      67.89     2.98     7.98     0.00     0.00    11.00     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.54     2.93    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.11     2.91    -1.55     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   55   -5      60.51     2.80    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.07     2.99    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.17     2.72   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   53   +0      60.35     2.96     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.66     2.94    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.58     2.99    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   50  -14      55.71     2.81   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.36     3.20   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.63R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red        41   44  -12      49.13     2.76   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.86R    2.16  
Walsall          41   43  -17      48.28     2.78   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.16R    3.75  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.35     2.66   -35.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.75R    7.44  
Notts_County     40   42  -13      49.01     3.14   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.35R    3.33  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.83     2.93   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.88R   27.37  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.06     3.19   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.92R   55.90  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Bury vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.22     2.96    34.07    91.69    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   71  +30      79.30     2.86    32.24     7.80    88.45    99.92    91.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.35     2.98    13.75     0.41    46.95    96.53    59.92P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.83     2.92    18.04     0.07    30.81    91.30    46.00P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.44     2.99    23.84     0.04    12.76    76.46    28.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.29     2.92    19.66     0.00     5.22    62.04    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.38     2.90    17.28     0.00     8.67    72.97    27.71P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.76     2.95    14.32     0.00     6.63    63.02    17.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.32     2.87     3.78     0.00     0.27    17.78     3.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.60     2.97    15.09     0.00     0.26    17.65     4.94P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.33     2.89    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      63.01     2.92    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.92     2.86    20.47     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      61.01     2.93     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.94     2.87   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.99     2.89   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.77     3.00   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.46     3.19   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.16     2.76   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.84     2.71   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.02R    0.06  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.71     2.94   -11.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.37R    0.58  
Burton_Albion        40   41  -17      48.06     3.17   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.47R    1.82  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.95     2.74   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.06R    5.20  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.35     2.68   -49.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.35R   92.34  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 13 April 2011, Grimsby vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       42   95  +54     102.34     2.58    56.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.20     2.65    32.60     0.00   100.00    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   76  +42      86.25     2.68    47.80     0.00    99.99    45.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.96     2.48    12.66     0.00    75.36    11.94P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.43     2.55    24.42     0.00    58.03     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.28     2.87    17.26     0.00    51.34     7.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.68     2.79     5.87     0.00    12.78     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         41   61  +16      68.98     2.93    17.61     0.00     2.49     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.54     2.63     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   42   58   +8      63.00     2.55     7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   56   +7      62.58     2.94     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          41   56   -3      62.68     2.93    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            41   55   +8      63.00     2.89     9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   54   +0      62.28     3.26    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.60     2.19   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   47   -9      51.81     2.52   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.91     2.57    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.15     2.50   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.06R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.52     2.58   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.09R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.78     2.48   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.63R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.93     2.47   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.94R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.36     2.42   -37.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.80R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   32  -42      35.46     2.33   -46.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.97R    6.05  
Histon             42   27  -40      29.96     2.25   -44.23     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.95  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5