Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      80.99     2.97    44.78    88.71    98.07    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.34     3.50    36.21     8.18    60.89    95.49    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.70     3.04    38.45     3.11    39.59    92.37    99.26   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.65     3.16    23.72     0.00     1.16     9.72    77.81    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.33     3.20     9.34     0.00     0.28     2.44    22.23    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.85     3.11     9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.97    84.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.21     3.10     3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.91     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.59     3.22     2.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.81     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.39     2.97    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.54R    0.01  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.18     3.07   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.90R    0.04  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.89     3.17     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     1.21R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.64     3.05    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.69R    0.06  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.55     3.16    -9.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.21R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.21     3.11   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.20R    0.22  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.47     3.09   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.57R    2.92  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.20     3.07   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.67R    1.59  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.53     2.95   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.52R   14.61  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.74     2.97   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.20R   18.30  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.16     3.13   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.28R   13.97  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.87     2.99   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.01R   48.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Barnsley vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              41   82  +38      90.26     2.91    40.06    99.05    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          41   72  +21      80.26     2.98    23.08     0.77    44.23    99.76    59.56P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          41   71  +18      79.05     2.95    19.81     0.11    24.07    98.93    41.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          41   70  +19      77.58     2.88    20.10     0.02    12.05    97.69    33.57P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          41   69  +24      78.01     2.92    27.27     0.05    19.57    98.24    43.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     41   64  +10      71.05     3.00    10.23     0.00     0.07    37.12     7.10P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    41   63  +11      70.88     2.89    12.59     0.00     0.07    37.63     8.67P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         41   61  +13      68.75     2.94    14.36     0.00     0.00    16.74     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        41   60   +4      66.92     2.94     4.07     0.00     0.00     4.70     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             41   60   +4      67.64     2.87     5.18     0.00     0.00     5.49     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          41   57  +11      63.94     2.98    10.98     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          40   57   +0      65.43     3.30     0.19     0.00     0.00     2.52     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          41   56   +1      62.42     2.89     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       41   55   -3      61.75     2.93    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     41   54   -5      60.76     2.95    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         41   50  -11      55.94     2.86   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         41   49   -4      55.31     2.83    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    40   49   -7      57.50     3.16    -6.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Derby            41   48   -7      53.22     2.76    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        41   45  -21      50.76     2.85   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.39R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   41   43  -22      49.46     2.87   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.56R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       41   37  -40      41.49     2.68   -43.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.20R   32.19  
Preston          41   36  -23      41.76     2.87   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.32R   24.27  
Sheff_Utd        41   35  -31      40.64     2.79   -32.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   43.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Brighton vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         41   90  +45      97.94     2.95    46.57    99.73   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      40   74  +37      85.83     3.01    42.77     0.27    81.83   100.00    89.77P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.84     2.90    25.48     0.00    12.38    99.99    40.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.25     2.90    30.01     0.00     5.63    99.84    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.31     2.97     7.67     0.00     0.15    91.15    16.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         41   64  +11      70.93     2.96    11.08     0.00     0.00    43.94     7.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      70.99     2.94    20.72     0.00     0.00    52.02     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    41   61   +8      67.95     2.98     8.06     0.00     0.00    11.39     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.51     2.94    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.11     2.92    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        41   55   -5      60.51     2.79    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.06     2.99    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.16     2.74   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         41   53   +0      60.37     2.96     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.65     2.92    -6.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.61     2.98    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Yeovil           41   50  -14      55.70     2.81   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.41     3.21   -12.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.39R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red        41   44  -12      49.10     2.76   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.63R    2.21  
Walsall          41   43  -17      48.27     2.79   -19.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.99R    3.80  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.35     2.67   -35.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.43R    7.69  
Notts_County     40   42  -13      49.01     3.14   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.35R    3.12  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.81     2.94   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.88R   27.04  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.03     3.19   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.82R   56.10  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Bury vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.20     2.96    34.06    91.44    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   71  +30      79.33     2.86    32.26     8.05    88.69    99.93    91.82P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.31     2.98    13.68     0.41    46.53    96.29    59.71P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.85     2.93    18.04     0.06    31.30    91.11    46.68P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.44     2.99    23.85     0.03    12.73    76.52    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.23     2.93    19.60     0.00     5.14    61.35    19.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.33     2.88    17.20     0.01     8.39    72.40    26.83P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.77     2.97    14.33     0.00     6.68    63.50    17.04P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.36     2.87     3.83     0.00     0.31    18.32     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.62     2.99    15.13     0.00     0.27    18.07     5.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.35     2.89    -0.76     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      62.97     2.92    -0.75     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.99     2.87    20.59     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      61.01     2.94     4.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.91     2.85   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.98     2.87   -15.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.78     3.01   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.47     3.19   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.19     2.78   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.82     2.71   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.19R    0.04  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.75     2.94   -11.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.08R    0.59  
Burton_Albion        40   41  -17      48.07     3.19   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.65R    1.79  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.95     2.74   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.18R    5.00  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.33     2.66   -49.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   92.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 April 2011, Crawley_Town vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       42   95  +54     102.32     2.60    56.67   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.17     2.65    32.57     0.00   100.00    22.52P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              41   76  +42      86.29     2.69    47.86     0.00    99.99    46.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.93     2.49    12.63     0.00    74.74    11.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.45     2.53    24.45     0.00    58.32     8.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.30     2.89    17.23     0.00    51.52     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.68     2.79     5.88     0.00    13.00     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         41   61  +16      68.98     2.93    17.63     0.00     2.40     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.56     2.63     6.09     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   57   +8      63.11     2.89     6.91     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          41   56   +7      62.59     2.95     6.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          41   56   -3      62.63     2.93    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   54   +8      63.66     3.22    10.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          40   54   +0      62.31     3.23    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.60     2.20   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             42   47   -9      51.81     2.53   -10.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.88     2.57    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.14     2.51   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.51     2.58   -18.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.78     2.48   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.62R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.96     2.47   -18.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.71R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.34     2.42   -37.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.86R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    42   32  -42      35.45     2.32   -46.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.99R    6.17  
Histon             42   27  -40      29.98     2.25   -44.18     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   93.83  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5