Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 April 2011, Liverpool vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.02     2.93    44.79    88.93    98.06    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.38     3.50    36.28     8.11    61.34    95.57    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.66     3.05    38.43     2.96    39.24    92.22    99.21   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        32   56  +20      66.63     3.15    23.70     0.00     1.09     9.88    78.05    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.35     3.20     9.36     0.00     0.27     2.33    22.14    99.21     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       32   48   +7      57.83     3.10     9.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.93    84.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.23     3.11     3.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.17     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.57     3.20     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.52     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.37     2.97    -0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.62R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.15     3.07   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.03R    0.06  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.89     3.17     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     1.13R    0.01  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.64     3.06    -3.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     1.72R    0.06  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.51     3.15    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     1.29R    0.05  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.18     3.10   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.27R    0.22  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.46     3.07   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.59R    2.93  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.20     3.06   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.91R    1.54  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.56     2.96   -24.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.70R   14.69  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.78     2.99   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.73R   18.52  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.17     3.12   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.41R   14.06  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.90     3.01   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.60R   47.86  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              40   79  +37      88.87     3.21    39.40    96.90    99.53   100.00    99.67P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   70  +18      79.30     3.26    19.55     1.12    33.17    98.28    47.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   69  +19      78.71     3.30    21.18     1.25    29.14    97.82    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   69  +19      78.17     3.17    20.42     0.54    21.68    96.96    40.85P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   66  +22      76.91     3.19    26.09     0.18    15.24    93.93    39.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   64  +11      72.54     3.32    11.41     0.01     1.10    52.43    10.99P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   60  +12      69.48     3.24    13.88     0.00     0.06    20.19     4.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   60   +9      69.49     3.20    10.92     0.00     0.06    19.04     4.64P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   59   +5      67.69     3.14     5.81     0.00     0.00     5.99     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59   +4      67.94     3.22     5.01     0.00     0.01     7.96     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   57   +2      66.49     3.56     1.77     0.00     0.01     5.13     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   56  +11      64.44     3.29    11.17     0.00     0.00     1.71     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       40   55   +0      63.79     3.26     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   54   -3      61.90     3.22    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -1      60.84     3.20    -1.53     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -11      56.99     3.14   -12.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   48   -6      57.78     3.44    -5.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         40   46   -6      53.09     3.07    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -8      51.54     3.08   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.61R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   44  -22      51.36     3.17   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.75R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   40   42  -22      49.25     3.11   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.69R    0.31  
Scunthorpe       40   37  -38      42.39     2.98   -42.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.52R   31.31  
Preston          40   35  -23      41.94     3.18   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.18R   31.45  
Sheff_Utd        40   35  -29      41.82     3.09   -31.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.76R   36.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         40   87  +44      97.17     3.21    46.87    96.66    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   74  +39      87.67     3.30    45.42     3.34    90.36   100.00    94.63P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.78     2.88    25.39     0.00     6.60    99.99    36.38P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.29     2.90    30.06     0.00     2.98    99.84    32.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.31     2.98     7.65     0.00     0.07    92.77    16.73P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.03     2.96    20.77     0.00     0.00    60.07    11.72P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   61   +9      68.80     3.23     8.35     0.00     0.00    23.90     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   60   +8      68.57     3.29     8.43     0.00     0.00    20.55     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.49     2.92    -8.64     0.00     0.00     1.34     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.08     2.93    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   -4      61.81     3.10    -5.94     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.11     2.99    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.15     2.73   -16.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   52   +0      60.51     3.27     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.66     2.93    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.60     2.98    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   47  -15      54.20     3.13   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.59R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.37     3.21   -12.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.99R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red        40   44  -11      49.72     2.96   -15.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.95R    1.44  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.32     2.64   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.84R    6.97  
Notts_County     39   42  -12      50.20     3.40   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.93R    1.58  
Walsall          40   40  -18      46.69     3.10   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.57R   12.10  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.81     2.94   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.13R   24.95  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.04     3.18   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.91R   52.95  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Aldershot vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.24     2.94    34.10    94.00    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.35     2.97    13.73     0.44    48.71    96.46    61.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   68  +29      78.34     3.15    32.27     5.46    80.88    99.33    85.96P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.84     2.93    18.02     0.05    32.91    91.23    47.52P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.45     2.99    23.84     0.03    13.79    76.69    30.02P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.27     2.96    19.64     0.00     6.23    61.37    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.34     2.90    17.23     0.01     9.22    72.90    27.63P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.78     2.98    14.34     0.00     7.67    63.69    18.16P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.36     2.84     3.84     0.00     0.30    17.92     3.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.62     2.98    15.13     0.00     0.30    17.95     4.74P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.33     2.89    -0.80     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      63.00     2.91    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.94     2.87    20.49     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      60.98     2.95     4.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.96     2.86   -13.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.98     2.89   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.79     2.99   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.48     3.20   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.19     2.78   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.83     2.72   -32.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.76R    0.07  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.70     2.95   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.12R    0.63  
Burton_Albion        39   41  -16      48.81     3.42   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.84R    1.42  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.92     2.72   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R    5.17  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.33     2.68   -49.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   92.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       41   94  +54     102.80     2.93    56.83   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.18     2.64    32.58     0.00   100.00    22.63P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   75  +42      86.53     3.01    47.61     0.00    99.99    46.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.99     2.49    12.72     0.00    76.10    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.45     2.54    24.45     0.00    58.09     9.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.31     2.88    17.29     0.00    51.72     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.68     2.77     5.87     0.00    12.59     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.56     2.63     6.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         40   58  +15      67.72     3.23    17.14     0.00     1.47     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   57   +8      63.11     2.88     6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          41   56   -3      62.62     2.92    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   54   +8      63.66     3.22    10.20     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   53   +4      61.56     3.25     4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   53   +0      63.25     3.53     0.83     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.59     2.20   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   46   -9      51.65     2.82   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.88     2.57    -7.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.19     2.50   -26.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.91R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.53     2.59   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.13R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.76     2.47   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.69R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.95     2.47   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.58R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.33     2.42   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.21R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   32  -39      36.25     2.61   -44.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R    9.13  
Histon             41   27  -39      30.94     2.55   -43.73     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.87  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5