Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 April 2011, Aston_Villa vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.03     2.95    44.81    88.71    98.08    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         31   62  +32      74.38     3.50    36.28     8.23    60.15    92.68    99.52   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.71     3.06    38.48     3.02    38.25    87.79    98.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.90     3.41    26.56     0.03     3.29    17.43    84.19    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.33     3.21     9.29     0.00     0.24     2.14    16.98    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.30     3.41     6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33    72.32     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.17     3.10     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.03     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.54     3.20     1.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.23     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       32   39   +1      46.41     3.00    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.65R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.13     3.07   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     3.00R    0.06  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.91     3.15     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     1.12R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.60     3.04    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     1.73R    0.08  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.53     3.15    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50     1.22R    0.06  
Aston_Villa     32   37  -13      45.30     3.13   -13.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     3.00R    0.18  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.47     3.10   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    23.59R    3.04  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.19     3.08   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    16.96R    1.64  
Blackpool       32   33  -20      39.53     2.95   -24.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.65R   14.84  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.69     2.97   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.85R   19.03  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.18     3.13   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.90R   13.93  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.93     3.01   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.35R   47.11  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              40   79  +37      88.88     3.21    39.40    97.02    99.58   100.00    99.72P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   70  +18      79.32     3.27    19.57     1.18    33.26    98.17    47.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   69  +19      78.71     3.30    21.18     1.17    29.11    97.97    47.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   69  +19      78.16     3.17    20.37     0.43    21.54    96.80    40.81P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   66  +22      76.91     3.21    26.09     0.19    15.30    93.68    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   64  +11      72.50     3.33    11.36     0.00     1.02    52.63    10.96P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   60  +12      69.43     3.24    13.83     0.00     0.08    20.03     3.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   60   +9      69.51     3.19    10.95     0.00     0.08    19.34     4.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59   +4      67.88     3.22     4.92     0.00     0.01     7.87     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   59   +4      67.67     3.15     4.79     0.00     0.01     5.81     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   57   +2      66.58     3.54     1.89     0.00     0.01     5.29     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   56  +11      64.55     3.29    11.33     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       40   55   +0      63.75     3.25     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   54   -3      61.88     3.24    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -1      60.88     3.19    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -11      56.97     3.13   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   48   -6      57.77     3.43    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Coventry         40   46   -6      53.10     3.09    -7.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -8      51.53     3.06   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64R    0.00  
Doncaster        40   44  -21      51.38     3.16   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.48R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   40   42  -22      49.27     3.12   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.58R    0.29  
Scunthorpe       40   37  -38      42.41     2.97   -42.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.27R   30.95  
Preston          40   35  -23      41.85     3.17   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   32.69  
Sheff_Utd        40   35  -29      41.88     3.09   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   36.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         40   87  +44      97.11     3.21    46.79    96.59    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   74  +39      87.65     3.31    45.41     3.39    90.26   100.00    94.59P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.80     2.88    25.42     0.01     6.82    99.99    36.96P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.30     2.89    30.08     0.00     2.87    99.83    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.29     2.96     7.62     0.00     0.06    92.57    16.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.04     2.95    20.79     0.00     0.00    59.83    11.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   61   +9      68.86     3.23     8.40     0.00     0.00    24.63     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   60   +8      68.55     3.31     8.38     0.00     0.00    20.27     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.50     2.93    -8.62     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.09     2.91    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.85     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   -4      61.79     3.09    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.10     2.98    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.16     2.73   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   52   +0      60.54     3.27     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.68     2.92    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.62     2.99    -0.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   47  -15      54.18     3.14   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.67R    0.00  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.38     3.22   -12.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.16R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red        40   44  -11      49.68     2.94   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.14R    1.40  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.32     2.64   -35.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.10R    6.76  
Notts_County     39   42  -12      50.27     3.41   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.98R    1.59  
Walsall          40   40  -18      46.68     3.10   -20.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.68R   12.17  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.76     2.95   -18.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.31R   25.39  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.04     3.18   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.90R   52.65  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Aldershot vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.18     2.95    34.02    93.50    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.36     2.96    13.75     0.49    48.89    96.43    61.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   68  +29      78.40     3.17    32.34     5.90    81.10    99.36    86.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.82     2.92    18.01     0.08    32.58    91.12    47.27P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.45     2.99    23.83     0.03    13.63    76.53    29.86P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.27     2.93    19.63     0.00     6.06    61.38    20.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.38     2.88    17.28     0.01     9.43    73.17    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.81     2.97    14.38     0.00     7.68    63.61    18.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.38     2.88     3.87     0.00     0.33    18.38     3.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.61     2.97    15.12     0.00     0.32    17.55     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.33     2.90    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      63.01     2.92    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.94     2.87    20.50     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      60.99     2.95     4.68     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.92     2.86   -13.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      55.02     2.90   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.80     3.00   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.46     3.20   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.53R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.18     2.77   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.77R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.84     2.72   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.59R    0.05  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.68     2.94   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.87R    0.59  
Burton_Albion        39   41  -16      48.78     3.41   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.02R    1.38  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.90     2.74   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.03R    5.15  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.32     2.66   -49.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   92.82  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       41   94  +54     102.75     2.93    56.76   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.17     2.65    32.57     0.00   100.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   75  +42      86.50     3.01    47.58     0.00    99.98    45.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.99     2.47    12.72     0.00    75.85    11.70P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.43     2.55    24.43     0.00    58.05     9.19P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.27     2.88    17.22     0.00    51.40     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.72     2.78     5.92     0.00    13.18     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.56     2.65     6.12     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         40   58  +15      67.74     3.22    17.18     0.00     1.51     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   57   +8      63.15     2.87     6.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          41   56   -3      62.63     2.93    -3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   54   +8      63.68     3.21    10.21     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   53   +4      61.52     3.24     4.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   53   +0      63.26     3.52     0.87     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.59     2.19   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   46   -9      51.66     2.82   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.85     2.58    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.20     2.50   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.03R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.54     2.57   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.75     2.48   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.87R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.98     2.49   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.36R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.34     2.41   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.22R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   32  -39      36.27     2.63   -44.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R    9.44  
Histon             41   27  -39      30.98     2.59   -43.68     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.56  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5