Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Blackburn vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         32   69  +38      81.04     2.94    44.80    90.37    98.51    99.97   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.53     3.72    35.57     6.40    53.09    88.98    98.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         31   58  +30      72.66     3.06    38.46     3.20    43.87    88.29    98.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.88     3.41    26.54     0.03     4.19    20.26    84.37    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       31   53   +8      63.33     3.21     9.30     0.00     0.34     2.49    17.31    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.32     3.40     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39    71.96     0.00     0.00  
Everton         32   44   +4      52.16     3.10     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.79     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          32   43   +3      50.52     3.18     1.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.71     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.52     3.28    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.38R    0.00  
West_Brom       32   39  -13      45.16     3.07   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     3.35R    0.07  
Fulham          32   38   +1      45.92     3.16     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     1.02R    0.02  
Stoke           32   38   -3      45.59     3.04    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     1.65R    0.05  
Sunderland      32   38  -10      46.53     3.14    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     1.33R    0.06  
Blackburn       32   35  -12      41.45     3.09   -14.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    24.08R    3.27  
Birmingham      31   35  -12      42.20     3.06   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.19R    1.76  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.88     3.42   -13.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     9.16R    1.24  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.23     3.21   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.25R   11.91  
West_Ham        32   32  -18      38.76     2.97   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.70R   18.96  
Wolverhampton   32   32  -20      39.16     3.14   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.04R   14.43  
Wigan           32   31  -23      36.93     3.02   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.83R   48.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barnsley vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              40   79  +37      88.88     3.22    39.40    96.88    99.57   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          40   70  +18      79.30     3.27    19.56     1.07    33.67    98.23    48.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          40   69  +19      78.73     3.31    21.22     1.33    29.21    97.73    48.10P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          40   69  +19      78.16     3.17    20.38     0.49    21.32    96.77    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          40   66  +22      76.89     3.23    26.06     0.23    15.15    93.77    39.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     40   64  +11      72.53     3.31    11.39     0.01     0.95    52.84    10.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         40   60  +12      69.46     3.25    13.85     0.00     0.06    20.37     4.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    40   60   +9      69.48     3.22    10.91     0.00     0.05    19.06     4.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             40   59   +5      67.73     3.14     5.87     0.00     0.01     6.00     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        40   59   +4      67.93     3.22     4.98     0.00     0.00     7.76     1.68P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          39   57   +2      66.55     3.56     1.83     0.00     0.01     5.16     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          40   56  +11      64.46     3.29    11.20     0.00     0.00     1.76     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       40   55   +0      63.74     3.24     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     40   54   -3      61.88     3.22    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          40   53   -1      60.85     3.18    -1.51     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         40   50  -11      57.02     3.14   -12.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    39   48   -6      57.77     3.44    -5.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Coventry         40   46   -6      53.07     3.07    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Derby            40   45   -8      51.53     3.08   -10.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58R    0.01  
Doncaster        40   44  -22      51.28     3.15   -23.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   40   42  -22      49.30     3.11   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.39R    0.31  
Scunthorpe       40   37  -38      42.40     2.98   -42.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.57R   30.97  
Preston          40   35  -23      41.90     3.17   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.44R   32.12  
Sheff_Utd        40   35  -29      41.86     3.09   -31.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   36.56  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Bournemouth vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         40   87  +44      97.12     3.20    46.78    96.69   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      39   74  +39      87.64     3.30    45.43     3.31    90.05   100.00    94.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     41   74  +24      81.81     2.91    25.43     0.00     6.99    99.99    36.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     41   71  +26      80.30     2.91    30.08     0.00     2.89    99.83    32.64P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          41   68   +7      75.27     2.97     7.60     0.00     0.07    92.27    16.50P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      41   63  +19      71.07     2.97    20.82     0.00     0.00    59.97    11.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         40   61   +9      68.85     3.24     8.40     0.00     0.00    24.51     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    40   60   +8      68.56     3.30     8.39     0.00     0.00    20.62     3.40P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           41   58   -8      64.49     2.92    -8.62     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       41   57   -2      64.08     2.91    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        40   55   -4      61.83     3.11    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         41   54   -3      62.06     2.97    -1.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       41   54  -14      59.15     2.72   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         40   52   +0      60.53     3.25     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           41   51   -6      57.67     2.93    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        41   50   -3      58.57     2.98    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil           40   47  -15      54.14     3.12   -16.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.83R    0.01  
Tranmere         40   46  -13      54.37     3.21   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.19R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red        40   44  -11      49.68     2.94   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.10R    1.49  
Bristol_Rovers   41   43  -31      47.35     2.64   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.80R    6.50  
Notts_County     39   42  -12      50.22     3.41   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.84R    1.64  
Walsall          40   40  -18      46.71     3.10   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.51R   12.25  
Swindon          41   38  -18      44.83     2.93   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.89R   24.99  
Plymouth         40   36  -18      43.04     3.19   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.77R   53.10  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Aldershot vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         41   78  +32      86.17     2.96    34.02    93.58    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              41   69  +13      76.35     2.97    13.76     0.48    48.96    96.50    61.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 40   68  +29      78.34     3.15    32.24     5.81    81.00    99.38    86.07P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           41   66  +15      74.85     2.94    18.04     0.06    32.85    91.19    47.58P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              41   65  +23      72.47     3.01    23.89     0.05    13.97    76.85    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            41   64  +19      71.30     2.95    19.67     0.00     5.98    61.90    20.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           41   64  +15      72.35     2.90    17.23     0.00     9.27    73.05    27.59P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.75     2.97    14.29     0.00     7.39    62.83    17.66P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            41   61   +3      68.34     2.86     3.82     0.00     0.33    18.02     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            41   60  +14      67.58     2.98    15.07     0.00     0.28    17.80     4.71P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   57   +0      63.33     2.90    -0.79     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            41   56   -1      62.99     2.93    -0.71     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                41   55  +17      63.93     2.87    20.47     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   53   +3      60.99     2.93     4.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            41   49  -12      54.94     2.86   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Hereford             41   49  -14      54.95     2.88   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   48  -19      54.75     2.99   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Bradford             40   47  -15      54.49     3.20   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.22     2.78   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.78R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         41   46  -29      50.88     2.74   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.64R    0.05  
Northampton          41   43  -11      49.68     2.95   -11.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.27R    0.66  
Burton_Albion        39   41  -16      48.82     3.41   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.04R    1.28  
Barnet               41   41  -18      45.99     2.74   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.48R    4.81  
Stockport            41   36  -45      40.35     2.66   -49.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   93.19  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 April 2011, Barrow vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       41   94  +54     102.78     2.92    56.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      42   80  +30      87.22     2.64    32.63     0.00   100.00    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              40   75  +42      86.52     3.03    47.64     0.00    99.98    46.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            42   71  +12      76.98     2.47    12.70     0.00    76.39    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     42   69  +23      75.40     2.54    24.38     0.00    57.83     8.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      41   67  +15      75.26     2.91    17.23     0.00    51.17     7.83P    0.00     0.00  
York               41   66   +6      72.69     2.79     5.88     0.00    12.97     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     42   60   +6      65.57     2.62     6.10     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         40   58  +15      67.76     3.24    17.19     0.00     1.62     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   41   57   +8      63.17     2.88     6.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          41   56   -3      62.64     2.92    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            40   54   +8      63.66     3.22    10.19     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          40   53   +4      61.56     3.25     4.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          39   53   +0      63.23     3.53     0.81     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          43   52  -12      56.58     2.20   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barrow             41   46   -9      51.66     2.82   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      42   45   -8      50.90     2.58    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    42   45  -24      49.16     2.51   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.00  
Forest_Green       42   44  -17      48.52     2.58   -18.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           42   43  -20      47.76     2.47   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.67R    0.00  
Southport          42   42  -16      45.97     2.48   -18.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.52R    0.00  
Altrincham         42   41  -36      45.36     2.43   -37.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.08R    0.00  
Eastbourne_Boro    41   32  -39      36.25     2.63   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R    9.19  
Histon             41   27  -39      30.91     2.56   -43.82     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.81  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5