Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.34     3.15    44.30    86.62    97.17    99.85   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.53     3.73    35.59     8.53    54.11    89.18    99.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.89     3.45    26.58     0.08     4.48    21.50    87.23   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.48     3.17    40.20     4.77    44.00    87.58    99.06   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.35     3.45     9.21     0.00     0.24     1.88    13.95    98.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.33     3.41     6.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55    77.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.56     3.39     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.87     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.15     3.48    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.49     0.16R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.57     3.26    -0.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.58R    0.01  
Fulham          31   38   +3      46.42     3.30     1.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65     1.16R    0.04  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.34     3.27    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82     1.64R    0.09  
Sunderland      31   38   -9      48.38     3.47    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.47     0.71R    0.02  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      43.00     3.32   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    17.97R    1.84  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.21     3.38   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.29R    3.51  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.12     3.33   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    23.86R    3.24  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.91     3.42   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17    11.08R    1.55  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.32     3.19   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.82R   13.12  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.77     3.25   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.48R   14.80  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.54     3.41   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.08R    9.08  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.06     3.06   -28.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R   52.71  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Reading vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              39   79  +40      91.09     3.47    43.60    98.50    99.92   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.53     3.53    22.38     1.21    57.19    98.96    67.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.20     3.57    19.37     0.18    17.73    92.56    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.55     3.45    17.44     0.08    13.54    89.41    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.60     3.57    11.95     0.01     2.86    62.67    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   63  +21      75.11     3.49    24.83     0.02     7.87    82.47    30.68P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      70.97     3.47    12.09     0.00     0.69    34.38     8.95P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +11      68.06     3.52    13.19     0.00     0.06    12.94     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      67.99     3.82     5.94     0.00     0.13    12.35     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.11     3.55    12.63     0.00     0.01     5.50     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +4      65.78     3.42     4.38     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.27     3.53     0.94     0.00     0.00     4.17     0.86P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.84     3.52     1.82     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   54   -1      63.32     3.51    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   50   -2      59.61     3.48    -1.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -13      55.20     3.41   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -6      53.23     3.34    -7.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -7      56.05     3.71    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.03     3.37   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   44  -20      52.68     3.46   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.49R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.32     3.37   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.27R    0.15  
Sheff_Utd        39   35  -28      43.32     3.37   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.72R   14.59  
Preston          39   34  -23      41.65     3.41   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.91R   27.02  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      40.03     3.17   -46.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.41R   58.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.90     3.48    45.41    95.48    99.81   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.56     3.21    26.01     0.19    17.18    99.94    43.32P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   71  +37      86.28     3.60    43.81     4.33    76.06    99.99    86.41P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   70  +26      80.33     3.22    29.48     0.01     6.87    99.37    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.94     3.28     7.04     0.00     0.07    73.26    13.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      40   63  +20      72.98     3.24    22.60     0.00     0.00    70.41    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   61  +10      70.03     3.51     9.10     0.00     0.00    28.81     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   60  +10      69.71     3.55    10.06     0.00     0.00    25.98     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.48     3.38    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.70     3.25   -10.90     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.59     3.22    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   53   -3      62.46     3.29    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.61     3.52     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.62     3.05   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -1      59.60     3.25     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.03     3.24    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.40     3.40   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   43  -14      52.18     3.45   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.92R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers   40   43  -29      48.89     3.00   -33.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.73R    1.25  
Notts_County     38   42  -10      51.65     3.68   -11.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.13R    0.40  
Dag_&_Red        39   41  -13      48.08     3.25   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.11R    3.59  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.86     3.40   -18.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.46R    4.70  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.85     3.22   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.63R   34.21  
Plymouth         39   33  -20      41.62     3.48   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.46R   55.62  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 April 2011, Macclesfield vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.19     3.25    37.98    97.98    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +13      76.89     3.26    13.99     0.44    53.98    96.64    65.46P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.49     3.22    21.44     0.27    54.90    96.43    65.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.67     3.44    30.16     1.30    60.63    97.12    71.00P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   64  +13      71.72     2.95    14.26     0.00     6.96    64.86    18.16P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.14     3.22    20.36     0.01    11.49    71.58    26.68P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.70     3.28    20.67     0.00     6.07    55.98    18.32P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.92     3.19    13.49     0.00     4.12    54.04    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.82     3.17     3.99     0.00     0.88    25.62     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.33     3.30    15.63     0.00     0.93    27.72     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.48     3.18    -1.10     0.00     0.02     1.44     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.68     3.18    22.06     0.00     0.03     8.13     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.04     3.21    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   52   +3      61.25     3.24     4.57     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   47  -12      55.91     3.49   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Macclesfield         41   47  -16      52.23     2.78   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.88     3.29   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.56     3.16   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.01  
Hereford             40   46  -17      52.78     3.13   -19.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.25R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.01     3.01   -28.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.91R    0.02  
Northampton          40   43   -9      51.09     3.25    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.43R    0.23  
Burton_Albion        38   41  -15      49.99     3.68   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.28R    0.67  
Barnet               40   38  -19      43.99     3.05   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.34R   15.14  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.20     2.93   -50.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.35R   83.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       40   91  +51     101.52     3.23    54.34    99.96   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.49     2.99    31.46     0.00    99.99    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   72  +36      85.68     3.27    42.82     0.04    99.95    44.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.03     2.80    12.30     0.00    80.83    12.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.87     2.87    18.53     0.00    42.85     6.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.40     3.19    16.84     0.00    61.71    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   63   +5      71.48     3.11     5.49     0.00    11.46     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   60   +7      66.63     2.91     6.66     0.00     0.53     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   56   +8      63.81     3.17     7.40     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          40   56   -1      63.37     3.16    -2.52     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         39   55  +13      66.61     3.47    15.90     0.00     1.69     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.34     3.51    10.63     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   53   +4      65.24     3.81     5.88     0.00     0.62     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   52   -7      58.05     2.58    -6.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   50   +2      60.34     3.50     3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.37     2.92    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.82     3.11   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.80R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.71     2.78   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.07R    0.00  
Southport          41   42  -10      46.51     2.67   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.77R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.25     2.83   -30.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.45R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.23     2.91   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.22R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.35     2.76   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.76R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.54     2.96   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.67R    9.34  
Histon             40   27  -37      31.86     2.86   -42.45     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.64  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5