Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.35     3.17    44.31    86.68    97.26    99.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.51     3.71    35.55     8.41    53.71    89.19    99.28   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.87     3.42    26.53     0.09     4.39    21.42    87.38    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.49     3.16    40.22     4.83    44.41    87.58    99.04   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.36     3.44     9.21     0.00     0.23     1.93    13.76    98.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.35     3.41     6.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53    78.14     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.58     3.39     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.16     3.48    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.34     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.55     3.28    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.61R    0.01  
Fulham          31   38   +3      46.40     3.30     1.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60     1.32R    0.02  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.31     3.26    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     1.62R    0.09  
Sunderland      31   38   -9      48.41     3.45    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.67R    0.02  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      42.98     3.31   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    17.91R    1.90  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.25     3.37   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.09R    3.21  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.09     3.35   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    24.18R    3.33  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.92     3.41   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    10.88R    1.55  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.33     3.20   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.84R   13.08  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.78     3.25   -18.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.35R   14.71  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.57     3.41   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.26R    9.18  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.04     3.08   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.08R   52.89  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Reading vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              39   79  +40      91.10     3.47    43.67    98.36    99.92   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.60     3.53    22.50     1.32    57.47    99.01    67.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.17     3.59    19.32     0.20    17.14    92.06    37.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.59     3.46    17.48     0.07    13.67    89.47    32.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.64     3.57    11.95     0.02     2.99    62.73    14.76P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   63  +21      75.13     3.48    24.84     0.02     7.95    82.45    30.65P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      71.00     3.46    12.13     0.00     0.66    34.33     8.98P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +12      68.16     3.53    14.32     0.00     0.07    13.76     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      68.00     3.83     5.99     0.00     0.11    12.57     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.09     3.58    12.60     0.00     0.02     5.46     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +3      65.71     3.41     3.27     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.27     3.51     0.95     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.83     3.52     1.78     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   53   -3      62.13     3.49    -3.63     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   +0      61.79     3.47     0.31     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -12      55.32     3.41   -13.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -7      53.21     3.35    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -8      55.94     3.71    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.06     3.38   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.01  
Doncaster        39   44  -19      52.74     3.46   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.31R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.32     3.37   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.32R    0.16  
Sheff_Utd        39   35  -28      43.34     3.38   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.56R   14.39  
Preston          39   34  -23      41.59     3.41   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   26.72  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      39.98     3.18   -46.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   58.70  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.91     3.47    45.40    95.45    99.86   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.61     3.22    26.10     0.18    17.61    99.94    44.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   71  +37      86.26     3.62    43.78     4.36    75.51    99.99    86.24P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   70  +26      80.31     3.22    29.45     0.01     6.90    99.43    33.65P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.91     3.29     6.98     0.00     0.08    72.80    12.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      40   63  +20      72.97     3.23    22.59     0.00     0.03    70.29    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   61  +10      70.00     3.50     9.07     0.00     0.00    28.52     4.72P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   60  +10      69.80     3.55    10.20     0.00     0.01    26.70     4.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.45     3.41    -4.59     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.66     3.25   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.62     3.20    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         40   53   -3      62.45     3.30    -1.19     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.60     3.52     0.97     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.64     3.03   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -1      59.60     3.23     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.04     3.23    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.39     3.41   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   43  -14      52.17     3.43   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.81R    0.25  
Bristol_Rovers   40   43  -29      48.89     3.00   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.90R    1.28  
Notts_County     38   42  -10      51.69     3.70   -11.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.81R    0.39  
Dag_&_Red        39   41  -13      48.03     3.23   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.58R    3.70  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.89     3.37   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.24R    4.52  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.85     3.21   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.71R   34.39  
Plymouth         39   33  -20      41.63     3.49   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.39R   55.47  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.25     3.24    38.07    98.03   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +13      76.91     3.28    14.02     0.46    53.14    96.37    64.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.50     3.21    21.45     0.26    54.41    96.35    65.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.63     3.44    30.11     1.23    59.26    96.85    69.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.08     3.23    20.28     0.01    10.96    70.35    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   63  +13      72.26     3.28    14.50     0.01    10.70    68.82    21.72P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.72     3.28    20.70     0.01     5.66    55.58    18.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.89     3.20    13.45     0.00     3.96    52.51    17.51P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.86     3.19     4.05     0.00     0.87    25.70     6.24P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.36     3.29    15.68     0.00     0.99    27.71     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.43     3.18    -1.16     0.00     0.01     1.46     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.68     3.20    22.06     0.00     0.04     7.91     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.08     3.21    -4.12     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   52   +3      61.28     3.25     4.59     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   47  -12      55.90     3.48   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.86     3.30   -19.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.55     3.20   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.01  
Macclesfield         40   46  -16      52.45     3.10   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.51R    0.01  
Hereford             40   46  -17      52.76     3.15   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.04     3.02   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.00R    0.01  
Northampton          40   43   -9      51.07     3.24    -9.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44R    0.22  
Burton_Albion        38   41  -15      50.00     3.69   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.05R    0.65  
Barnet               40   38  -19      43.99     3.05   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.82R   14.99  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.19     2.92   -50.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.39R   84.10  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       40   91  +51     101.51     3.23    54.31    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.49     2.98    31.48     0.00    99.99    23.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   72  +36      85.62     3.26    42.74     0.03    99.93    45.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.06     2.81    12.33     0.00    81.10    13.40P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.89     2.88    18.57     0.00    43.10     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.35     3.20    16.75     0.00    61.19     9.76P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   63   +5      71.45     3.10     5.45     0.00    11.36     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   60   +7      66.63     2.90     6.69     0.00     0.48     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   56   +8      63.81     3.18     7.38     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          40   56   -1      63.28     3.15    -2.65     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Darlington         39   55  +13      66.65     3.50    15.96     0.00     1.78     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.33     3.51    10.63     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   53   +4      65.28     3.80     5.91     0.00     0.68     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   52   -7      58.02     2.58    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   50   +2      60.30     3.53     3.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.40     2.92    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.85     3.13   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.70     2.77   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.05R    0.00  
Southport          41   42  -10      46.57     2.69   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.15R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.23     2.84   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.71R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.19     2.90   -19.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.61R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.33     2.75   -37.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.05R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.61     2.99   -38.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R    9.25  
Histon             40   27  -37      31.89     2.86   -42.40     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.74  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5