Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 7 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 31 66 +36 80.35 3.17 44.31 86.68 97.26 99.87 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 59 +30 73.51 3.71 35.55 8.41 53.71 89.19 99.28 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 56 +23 67.87 3.42 26.53 0.09 4.39 21.42 87.38 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 55 +29 72.49 3.16 40.22 4.83 44.41 87.58 99.04 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 50 +7 62.36 3.44 9.21 0.00 0.23 1.93 13.76 98.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 45 +4 56.35 3.41 6.54 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.53 78.14 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 41 +1 50.58 3.39 0.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.57 0.02R 0.00 Bolton 31 40 +0 49.16 3.48 -0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.34 0.15R 0.00 Newcastle 31 39 +2 47.55 3.28 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.79 0.61R 0.01 Fulham 31 38 +3 46.40 3.30 1.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.60 1.32R 0.02 Stoke 31 38 -2 46.31 3.26 -4.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 1.62R 0.09 Sunderland 31 38 -9 48.41 3.45 -7.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56 0.67R 0.02 West_Brom 31 36 -14 42.98 3.31 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 17.91R 1.90 Blackburn 31 34 -12 42.25 3.37 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 22.09R 3.21 Birmingham 30 34 -12 42.09 3.35 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 24.18R 3.33 Aston_Villa 31 34 -14 43.92 3.41 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 10.88R 1.55 Blackpool 31 33 -18 40.33 3.20 -23.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.84R 13.08 West_Ham 31 32 -15 39.78 3.25 -18.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.35R 14.71 Wolverhampton 31 32 -17 40.57 3.41 -18.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.26R 9.18 Wigan 31 31 -22 37.04 3.08 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.08R 52.89Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Reading vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 39 79 +40 91.10 3.47 43.67 98.36 99.92 100.00 99.95P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 70 +21 80.60 3.53 22.50 1.32 57.47 99.01 67.43P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 66 +17 77.17 3.59 19.32 0.20 17.14 92.06 37.36P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 39 66 +16 76.59 3.46 17.48 0.07 13.67 89.47 32.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 64 +12 73.64 3.57 11.95 0.02 2.99 62.73 14.76P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 63 +21 75.13 3.48 24.84 0.02 7.95 82.45 30.65P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 60 +10 71.00 3.46 12.13 0.00 0.66 34.33 8.98P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 39 57 +12 68.16 3.53 14.32 0.00 0.07 13.76 2.84P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 38 57 +6 68.00 3.83 5.99 0.00 0.11 12.57 2.86P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 56 +12 66.09 3.58 12.60 0.00 0.02 5.46 1.16P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 56 +3 65.71 3.41 3.27 0.00 0.00 2.41 0.50P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 39 56 +0 66.27 3.51 0.95 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.99P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 54 +0 64.83 3.52 1.78 0.00 0.00 1.44 0.33P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 39 53 -3 62.13 3.49 -3.63 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 52 +0 61.79 3.47 0.31 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 47 -12 55.32 3.41 -13.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Coventry 39 45 -7 53.21 3.35 -9.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.18R 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 45 -8 55.94 3.71 -8.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Derby 39 44 -8 52.06 3.38 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.64R 0.01 Doncaster 39 44 -19 52.74 3.46 -20.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.31R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 39 42 -21 50.32 3.37 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.32R 0.16 Sheff_Utd 39 35 -28 43.34 3.38 -29.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.56R 14.39 Preston 39 34 -23 41.59 3.41 -26.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.06R 26.72 Scunthorpe 39 34 -41 39.98 3.18 -46.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.33R 58.70League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 39 84 +42 95.91 3.47 45.40 95.45 99.86 100.00 99.91P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 40 73 +24 82.61 3.22 26.10 0.18 17.61 99.94 44.04P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 71 +37 86.26 3.62 43.78 4.36 75.51 99.99 86.24P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 70 +26 80.31 3.22 29.45 0.01 6.90 99.43 33.65P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 65 +6 73.91 3.29 6.98 0.00 0.08 72.80 12.71P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 40 63 +20 72.97 3.23 22.59 0.00 0.03 70.29 14.04P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 61 +10 70.00 3.50 9.07 0.00 0.00 28.52 4.72P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 60 +10 69.80 3.55 10.20 0.00 0.01 26.70 4.30P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 55 -3 63.45 3.41 -4.59 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 55 -10 62.66 3.25 -10.94 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 54 -3 62.62 3.20 -2.32 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.00R 0.00 Charlton 40 53 -3 62.45 3.30 -1.19 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 39 52 +1 61.60 3.52 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.13P 0.00R 0.00 Hartlepool 40 51 -16 57.64 3.03 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 50 -1 59.60 3.23 1.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Oldham 40 50 -6 58.04 3.23 -6.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Yeovil 39 47 -13 55.39 3.41 -14.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.29R 0.00 Tranmere 39 43 -14 52.17 3.43 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.81R 0.25 Bristol_Rovers 40 43 -29 48.89 3.00 -33.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.90R 1.28 Notts_County 38 42 -10 51.69 3.70 -11.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.81R 0.39 Dag_&_Red 39 41 -13 48.03 3.23 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.58R 3.70 Walsall 39 40 -16 47.89 3.37 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.24R 4.52 Swindon 40 35 -19 42.85 3.21 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.71R 34.39 Plymouth 39 33 -20 41.63 3.49 -21.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.39R 55.47 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 40 78 +35 88.25 3.24 38.07 98.03 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 68 +13 76.91 3.28 14.02 0.46 53.14 96.37 64.75P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 66 +18 76.50 3.21 21.45 0.26 54.41 96.35 65.52P 0.00 0.00 Bury 39 65 +27 76.63 3.44 30.11 1.23 59.26 96.85 69.96P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 63 +19 72.08 3.23 20.28 0.01 10.96 70.35 25.69P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 63 +13 72.26 3.28 14.50 0.01 10.70 68.82 21.72P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 62 +20 70.72 3.28 20.70 0.01 5.66 55.58 18.03P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 61 +11 70.89 3.20 13.45 0.00 3.96 52.51 17.51P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 60 +3 68.86 3.19 4.05 0.00 0.87 25.70 6.24P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 40 59 +14 68.36 3.29 15.68 0.00 0.99 27.71 8.10P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 56 +0 63.43 3.18 -1.16 0.00 0.01 1.46 0.24P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 55 +18 65.68 3.20 22.06 0.00 0.04 7.91 2.15P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 53 -4 61.08 3.21 -4.12 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 52 +3 61.28 3.25 4.59 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 47 -12 55.90 3.48 -12.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 47 -19 54.86 3.30 -19.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40R 0.00 Morecambe 40 46 -13 53.55 3.20 -14.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.89R 0.01 Macclesfield 40 46 -16 52.45 3.10 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.51R 0.01 Hereford 40 46 -17 52.76 3.15 -19.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.38R 0.01 Lincoln_City 40 46 -25 52.04 3.02 -28.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00R 0.01 Northampton 40 43 -9 51.07 3.24 -9.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44R 0.22 Burton_Albion 38 41 -15 50.00 3.69 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.05R 0.65 Barnet 40 38 -19 43.99 3.05 -22.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.82R 14.99 Stockport 40 35 -45 40.19 2.92 -50.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.39R 84.10Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 40 91 +51 101.51 3.23 54.31 99.97 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 77 +29 85.49 2.98 31.48 0.00 99.99 23.22P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 72 +36 85.62 3.26 42.74 0.03 99.93 45.00P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 70 +12 77.06 2.81 12.33 0.00 81.10 13.40P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 66 +17 73.89 2.88 18.57 0.00 43.10 6.28P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 40 66 +15 75.35 3.20 16.75 0.00 61.19 9.76P 0.00 0.00 York 40 63 +5 71.45 3.10 5.45 0.00 11.36 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 41 60 +7 66.63 2.90 6.69 0.00 0.48 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 40 56 +8 63.81 3.18 7.38 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 40 56 -1 63.28 3.15 -2.65 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Darlington 39 55 +13 66.65 3.50 15.96 0.00 1.78 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 53 +8 64.33 3.51 10.63 0.00 0.22 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 38 53 +4 65.28 3.80 5.91 0.00 0.68 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 42 52 -7 58.02 2.58 -6.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 50 +2 60.30 3.53 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 45 -7 52.40 2.92 -6.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.00 Barrow 40 43 -14 49.85 3.13 -16.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.64R 0.00 Tamworth 41 43 -17 48.70 2.77 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.05R 0.00 Southport 41 42 -10 46.57 2.69 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.15R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 41 42 -28 47.23 2.84 -30.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.71R 0.00 Forest_Green 41 41 -18 47.19 2.90 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.61R 0.00 Altrincham 41 41 -35 46.33 2.75 -37.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.05R 0.01 Eastbourne_Boro 40 32 -33 37.61 2.99 -38.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.55R 9.25 Histon 40 27 -37 31.89 2.86 -42.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 90.74 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5