Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 April 2011 at 21:15:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.35     3.17    44.30    86.47    97.12    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.57     3.73    35.64     8.65    54.63    89.28    99.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.89     3.41    26.56     0.07     4.54    21.44    87.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.48     3.18    40.15     4.81    43.50    87.44    98.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.34     3.47     9.16     0.00     0.21     1.96    13.82    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.32     3.41     6.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.48    77.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.56     3.40     0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76     0.03R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.20     3.47    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.46     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.54     3.29    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.88     0.56R    0.01  
Fulham          31   38   +3      46.37     3.30     1.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.60     1.25R    0.02  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.29     3.26    -4.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     1.69R    0.09  
Sunderland      31   38   -9      48.37     3.46    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59     0.68R    0.04  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      43.02     3.33   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    17.92R    1.99  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.20     3.38   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.47R    3.31  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.14     3.33   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    23.62R    3.21  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.92     3.42   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    11.15R    1.69  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.35     3.19   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.57R   12.77  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.77     3.23   -18.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.54R   14.63  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.54     3.41   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    41.32R    9.17  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.05     3.07   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.04R   53.06  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Reading vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              39   79  +40      91.15     3.49    43.72    98.52    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.55     3.49    22.43     1.18    57.47    98.99    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.16     3.57    19.28     0.20    17.24    92.07    37.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.56     3.46    17.43     0.07    13.49    89.35    32.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.57     3.57    11.88     0.01     2.89    62.24    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          39   63  +21      75.16     3.48    24.91     0.02     8.15    82.83    31.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      70.98     3.47    12.12     0.00     0.70    34.39     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +12      68.13     3.53    14.28     0.00     0.05    13.43     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      68.02     3.83     6.02     0.00     0.10    12.81     2.97P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.12     3.58    12.65     0.00     0.01     5.69     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +3      65.73     3.42     3.32     0.00     0.00     2.44     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.25     3.52     0.92     0.00     0.01     3.96     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.84     3.52     1.85     0.00     0.00     1.53     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   53   -3      62.11     3.48    -3.64     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   +0      61.75     3.47     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -12      55.35     3.44   -13.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -7      53.17     3.34    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -8      55.94     3.71    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.06     3.38   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.45R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   44  -19      52.73     3.47   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.33R    0.02  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.29     3.36   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.38R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd        39   35  -28      43.38     3.37   -29.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.41R   14.14  
Preston          39   34  -23      41.62     3.40   -26.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.16R   27.05  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      40.03     3.16   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   58.66  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.89     3.49    45.39    95.50    99.78   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.54     3.22    26.00     0.18    17.04    99.94    43.38P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   71  +37      86.26     3.61    43.78     4.31    76.25   100.00    86.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     40   70  +26      80.33     3.23    29.47     0.02     6.83    99.39    34.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.90     3.27     6.97     0.00     0.08    72.92    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      40   63  +20      73.00     3.24    22.62     0.00     0.02    70.63    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         39   61  +10      70.04     3.50     9.14     0.00     0.00    28.66     4.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    39   60  +10      69.77     3.56    10.17     0.00     0.01    26.25     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.49     3.38    -4.52     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.70     3.22   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.63     3.21    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         40   53   -3      62.48     3.27    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.60     3.52     0.95     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.62     3.05   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        40   50   -1      59.63     3.24     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.02     3.25    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.39     3.41   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.00  
Tranmere         39   43  -14      52.16     3.44   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.87R    0.23  
Bristol_Rovers   40   43  -29      48.85     2.99   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.23R    1.25  
Notts_County     38   42  -10      51.66     3.71   -11.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.94R    0.32  
Dag_&_Red        39   41  -13      48.11     3.25   -17.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.62R    3.37  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.89     3.40   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.42R    4.48  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.87     3.21   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R   33.50  
Plymouth         39   33  -20      41.54     3.47   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.63R   56.86  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.19     3.24    37.98    97.99    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              40   68  +13      76.91     3.29    14.01     0.46    53.47    96.36    64.76P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.46     3.22    21.38     0.24    53.55    96.31    64.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.65     3.45    30.13     1.30    59.53    96.98    69.91P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.10     3.23    20.31     0.00    10.85    70.39    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   63  +13      72.27     3.27    14.51     0.00    10.68    69.17    21.77P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.72     3.29    20.69     0.00     5.97    55.81    18.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.90     3.19    13.47     0.00     4.10    52.73    17.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.84     3.19     4.03     0.00     0.90    25.41     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.33     3.29    15.62     0.00     0.94    27.11     7.88P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.41     3.17    -1.18     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.62     3.22    22.00     0.00     0.03     7.94     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.08     3.22    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   52   +3      61.25     3.22     4.54     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             39   47  -12      55.92     3.48   -12.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.90     3.29   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.01  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.56     3.18   -14.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80R    0.00  
Macclesfield         40   46  -16      52.48     3.09   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.01  
Hereford             40   46  -17      52.75     3.14   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.36R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.04     3.03   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.01  
Northampton          40   43   -9      51.11     3.23    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.16R    0.24  
Burton_Albion        38   41  -15      50.02     3.70   -18.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.13R    0.66  
Barnet               40   38  -19      44.00     3.04   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.10R   14.67  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.16     2.93   -50.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   84.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       40   91  +51     101.51     3.26    54.33    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.45     2.99    31.43     0.00    99.99    23.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              39   72  +36      85.66     3.25    42.79     0.03    99.94    44.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.03     2.83    12.29     0.00    81.02    12.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.88     2.90    18.55     0.00    42.97     6.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.38     3.19    16.79     0.00    61.40     9.97P    0.00     0.00  
York               40   63   +5      71.45     3.09     5.43     0.00    11.37     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     41   60   +7      66.64     2.92     6.69     0.00     0.44     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   40   56   +8      63.79     3.18     7.38     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          40   56   -1      63.35     3.16    -2.52     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         39   55  +13      66.65     3.49    15.95     0.00     1.83     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.33     3.52    10.63     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          38   53   +4      65.28     3.78     5.91     0.00     0.66     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          42   52   -7      58.04     2.58    -6.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   50   +2      60.28     3.50     2.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.38     2.92    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.80     3.10   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.78R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.74     2.79   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.17R    0.00  
Southport          41   42  -10      46.54     2.67   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.65R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.27     2.84   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.41R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.21     2.91   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.57R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.39     2.75   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.36R    0.01  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.56     2.97   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R    9.34  
Histon             40   27  -37      31.88     2.87   -42.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   90.65  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5