Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 5 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 31 66 +36 80.38 3.16 44.37 86.75 97.15 99.86 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 59 +30 73.53 3.71 35.57 8.53 54.01 89.30 99.23 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 31 56 +23 67.92 3.44 26.61 0.10 4.61 21.70 87.76 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 30 55 +29 72.48 3.18 40.16 4.62 43.98 87.32 99.02 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 50 +7 62.33 3.47 9.19 0.00 0.25 1.81 13.50 98.81 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 45 +4 56.33 3.40 6.51 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.48 78.26 0.00 0.00 Everton 31 41 +1 50.54 3.39 0.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.58 0.03R 0.00 Bolton 31 40 +0 49.16 3.49 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.49 0.16R 0.00 Newcastle 31 39 +2 47.52 3.26 -0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.71 0.57R 0.01 Fulham 31 38 +3 46.36 3.30 1.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54 1.30R 0.03 Stoke 31 38 -2 46.26 3.27 -4.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 1.70R 0.07 Sunderland 31 38 -9 48.35 3.47 -7.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.57 0.73R 0.02 West_Brom 31 36 -14 43.01 3.33 -18.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 18.14R 1.85 Blackburn 31 34 -12 42.21 3.38 -14.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 22.41R 3.42 Birmingham 30 34 -12 42.18 3.33 -16.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 23.52R 3.14 Aston_Villa 31 34 -14 43.94 3.41 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 10.98R 1.64 Blackpool 31 33 -18 40.36 3.20 -23.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.75R 12.93 West_Ham 31 32 -15 39.81 3.23 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.07R 14.45 Wolverhampton 31 32 -17 40.57 3.42 -18.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.44R 9.35 Wigan 31 31 -22 37.06 3.07 -28.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.20R 53.08Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Reading vs Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 39 79 +40 91.06 3.46 43.57 98.39 99.92 100.00 99.94P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 70 +21 80.58 3.53 22.45 1.28 57.94 99.02 67.70P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 66 +17 77.17 3.57 19.32 0.22 17.09 92.35 37.36P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 39 66 +16 76.52 3.45 17.40 0.06 13.34 89.22 31.82P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 64 +12 73.61 3.59 11.98 0.02 2.87 62.80 14.74P 0.00 0.00 Reading 39 63 +21 75.16 3.49 24.87 0.03 7.97 82.62 30.81P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 60 +10 70.97 3.47 12.12 0.00 0.71 34.57 8.98P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 39 57 +11 68.06 3.54 13.19 0.00 0.05 12.94 2.73P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 38 57 +6 67.95 3.84 5.91 0.00 0.10 12.49 2.76P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 56 +12 66.11 3.56 12.64 0.00 0.01 5.42 1.17P 0.00 0.00 Hull 39 56 +4 65.74 3.43 4.35 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.64P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 39 56 +0 66.27 3.52 0.93 0.00 0.00 3.83 0.92P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 54 +0 64.89 3.53 1.88 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.35P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 39 54 -1 63.34 3.49 -1.31 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 50 -2 59.63 3.48 -1.92 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 47 -13 55.21 3.42 -15.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36R 0.00 Coventry 39 45 -6 53.21 3.35 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.17R 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 45 -7 56.09 3.71 -6.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30R 0.00 Derby 39 44 -8 51.99 3.35 -10.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.50R 0.01 Doncaster 39 44 -20 52.67 3.45 -21.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.48R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 39 42 -21 50.34 3.37 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.21R 0.14 Sheff_Utd 39 35 -28 43.27 3.38 -29.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.69R 14.78 Preston 39 34 -23 41.65 3.41 -26.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.92R 26.38 Scunthorpe 39 34 -41 40.00 3.16 -46.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.36R 58.69League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Bristol_Rovers vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 39 84 +42 95.92 3.49 45.46 95.56 99.84 100.00 99.90P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 40 73 +24 82.58 3.22 26.05 0.17 17.51 99.94 43.79P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 71 +37 86.24 3.61 43.73 4.26 75.81 99.98 86.44P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 40 70 +26 80.36 3.20 29.53 0.00 6.75 99.41 33.45P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 40 65 +6 73.95 3.28 7.04 0.00 0.06 73.49 12.98P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 40 63 +20 72.96 3.25 22.57 0.00 0.02 70.33 14.30P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 39 61 +10 70.00 3.50 9.07 0.00 0.01 28.55 4.74P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 60 +10 69.70 3.57 10.07 0.00 0.01 25.99 4.06P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 55 -3 63.47 3.42 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.87 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 40 55 -10 62.67 3.22 -10.95 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 40 54 -3 62.62 3.22 -2.34 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 40 53 -3 62.46 3.28 -1.14 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.00R 0.00 Carlisle 39 52 +1 61.64 3.52 1.02 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.10P 0.00R 0.00 Hartlepool 40 51 -16 57.63 3.05 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 40 50 -1 59.62 3.22 1.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Oldham 40 50 -6 58.04 3.24 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.13R 0.00 Yeovil 39 47 -13 55.36 3.40 -14.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.30R 0.00 Tranmere 39 43 -14 52.20 3.44 -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.72R 0.19 Bristol_Rovers 40 43 -29 48.90 3.01 -33.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.68R 1.14 Notts_County 38 42 -10 51.70 3.69 -11.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.88R 0.36 Dag_&_Red 39 41 -13 48.04 3.26 -17.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.41R 3.81 Walsall 39 40 -16 47.86 3.38 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.49R 4.57 Swindon 40 35 -19 42.82 3.22 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.83R 34.47 Plymouth 39 33 -20 41.61 3.49 -21.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.41R 55.46 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 40 78 +35 88.19 3.26 37.98 97.96 99.99 100.00 99.99P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 40 68 +13 76.91 3.28 14.01 0.41 53.33 96.43 64.97P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 40 66 +18 76.52 3.22 21.49 0.27 54.57 96.32 65.40P 0.00 0.00 Bury 39 65 +27 76.62 3.45 30.09 1.35 59.12 96.84 70.04P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 40 63 +19 72.14 3.23 20.37 0.01 11.03 71.09 26.39P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 40 63 +13 72.21 3.27 14.42 0.00 10.50 68.30 21.46P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 62 +20 70.75 3.26 20.73 0.00 5.76 56.10 18.50P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 40 61 +11 70.87 3.18 13.41 0.00 3.94 52.69 17.21P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 40 60 +3 68.78 3.17 3.92 0.00 0.75 24.94 5.73P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 40 59 +14 68.35 3.28 15.66 0.00 0.94 27.68 7.77P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 40 56 +0 63.42 3.18 -1.17 0.00 0.01 1.40 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 40 55 +18 65.65 3.19 22.05 0.00 0.05 7.82 2.20P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 53 -4 61.02 3.21 -4.18 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Southend 40 52 +3 61.24 3.24 4.55 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 39 47 -12 55.94 3.50 -12.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Cheltenham 40 47 -19 54.89 3.27 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38R 0.01 Morecambe 40 46 -13 53.62 3.20 -14.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.84R 0.01 Macclesfield 40 46 -16 52.46 3.11 -18.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52R 0.01 Hereford 40 46 -17 52.76 3.14 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.01 Lincoln_City 40 46 -25 52.02 3.00 -28.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.90R 0.03 Northampton 40 43 -9 51.07 3.23 -9.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.38R 0.25 Burton_Albion 38 41 -15 50.04 3.70 -18.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.11R 0.71 Barnet 40 38 -19 44.02 3.03 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.99R 14.95 Stockport 40 35 -45 40.20 2.93 -50.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.37R 84.03Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 April 2011, Histon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 40 91 +51 101.46 3.23 54.28 99.96 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 41 77 +29 85.48 2.99 31.46 0.00 100.00 23.30P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 72 +36 85.68 3.25 42.84 0.04 99.95 44.77P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 41 70 +12 77.06 2.82 12.32 0.00 80.93 13.26P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 41 66 +17 73.91 2.89 18.59 0.00 42.95 6.11P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 40 66 +15 75.40 3.18 16.84 0.00 61.67 10.23P 0.00 0.00 York 40 63 +5 71.44 3.10 5.43 0.00 11.36 1.81P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 41 60 +7 66.66 2.92 6.70 0.00 0.53 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 40 56 +8 63.81 3.19 7.41 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 40 56 -1 63.35 3.17 -2.54 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Darlington 39 55 +13 66.61 3.51 15.91 0.00 1.61 0.37P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 39 53 +8 64.32 3.52 10.61 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 38 53 +4 65.27 3.80 5.91 0.00 0.65 0.08P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 42 52 -7 58.02 2.56 -6.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 50 +2 60.31 3.51 3.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 41 45 -7 52.38 2.92 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Barrow 40 43 -14 49.81 3.08 -16.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.71R 0.00 Tamworth 41 43 -17 48.75 2.78 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.89R 0.00 Southport 41 42 -10 46.54 2.67 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.50R 0.00 Hayes_&_Yeading 41 42 -28 47.28 2.85 -30.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.15R 0.00 Forest_Green 41 41 -18 47.18 2.91 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.79R 0.00 Altrincham 41 41 -35 46.35 2.76 -37.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.05R 0.00 Eastbourne_Boro 40 32 -33 37.56 2.99 -38.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.65R 9.34 Histon 40 27 -37 31.83 2.86 -42.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 90.66 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5