Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.37     3.17    44.33    86.71    97.31    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.54     3.72    35.55     8.59    54.03    89.31    99.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.91     3.42    26.58     0.08     4.48    21.33    87.51    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.49     3.17    40.19     4.62    43.96    87.60    99.02   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.35     3.48     9.21     0.00     0.23     1.89    13.78    98.80     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.29     3.39     6.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51    77.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.52     3.39     0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.18     3.47    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.48     0.13R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.55     3.29    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.61R    0.00  
Fulham          31   38   +3      46.41     3.32     1.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62     1.22R    0.02  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.29     3.28    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81     1.78R    0.09  
Sunderland      31   38   -9      48.38     3.47    -7.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60     0.70R    0.04  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      43.00     3.33   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    18.04R    1.86  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.16     3.37   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    22.51R    3.44  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.18     3.36   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    23.75R    3.21  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.95     3.43   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    11.15R    1.58  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.31     3.20   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.05R   13.35  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.78     3.23   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.35R   14.56  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.58     3.40   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.72R    9.06  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.08     3.08   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.97R   52.79  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 April 2011, QPR vs Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              39   79  +40      91.11     3.49    43.63    98.36    99.89   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.59     3.54    22.46     1.32    58.37    99.08    68.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.19     3.57    19.35     0.20    17.85    92.71    38.18P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.57     3.46    17.47     0.10    13.80    89.92    32.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.55     3.57    11.86     0.01     2.97    63.11    14.27P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   60  +20      74.37     3.70    25.26     0.02     6.25    76.71    27.88P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      70.97     3.47    12.10     0.00     0.68    36.08     9.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +11      68.06     3.55    13.19     0.00     0.06    13.90     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      68.01     3.83     5.99     0.00     0.11    13.38     3.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.12     3.58    12.65     0.00     0.01     5.94     1.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +4      65.75     3.42     4.34     0.00     0.00     2.71     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.25     3.52     0.93     0.00     0.00     4.37     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.78     3.49     1.73     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   54   -1      63.29     3.51    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   50   -2      59.60     3.47    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -13      55.21     3.42   -15.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -6      53.18     3.34    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -7      56.08     3.71    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.04     3.34   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   44  -20      52.64     3.45   -21.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.36     3.36   -22.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.91R    0.19  
Sheff_Utd        39   35  -28      43.32     3.40   -29.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.02R   15.51  
Preston          38   34  -22      42.25     3.58   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.62R   23.31  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      40.03     3.16   -46.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.43R   60.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Charlton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.94     3.49    45.47    96.72    99.89   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.59     3.22    26.08     0.20    23.72    99.93    48.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   68  +35      85.25     3.87    42.75     3.08    69.47    99.96    82.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   67  +24      79.05     3.51    28.03     0.00     6.47    98.38    31.56P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.89     3.27     6.94     0.00     0.12    77.39    13.61P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      39   63  +21      74.70     3.53    24.12     0.00     0.32    86.54    17.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   58   +9      68.24     3.77     7.88     0.00     0.01    17.18     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   57   +8      68.33     3.85     8.43     0.00     0.01    17.36     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.47     3.39    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.68     3.24   -10.91     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.63     3.23    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   53   -1      63.32     3.53    -0.02     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.62     3.53     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.59     3.05   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.03     3.24    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.16R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        39   47   -5      58.20     3.51    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.44R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.38     3.38   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   43  -10      53.32     3.68   -10.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.35R    0.15  
Notts_County     37   42   -9      53.12     3.95   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.51R    0.27  
Dag_&_Red        38   41  -11      49.10     3.52   -15.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.30R    2.65  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.90     3.39   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.28R    5.15  
Bristol_Rovers   39   40  -30      46.95     3.30   -34.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.17R    7.92  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.83     3.22   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.38R   40.00  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.76     3.76   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.64R   43.85  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.23     3.25    38.02    97.71    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   67  +13      77.53     3.54    14.39     0.82    59.85    97.22    69.75P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.50     3.22    21.46     0.23    53.63    96.78    65.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.61     3.44    30.06     1.23    58.65    97.26    69.61P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.15     3.23    20.38     0.00    11.06    73.50    26.64P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.74     3.29    20.74     0.00     5.89    58.37    18.98P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.88     3.19    13.41     0.00     3.97    55.91    18.20P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   60  +11      70.52     3.55    12.33     0.00     5.12    50.69    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.78     3.16     3.95     0.00     0.82    27.19     6.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.36     3.29    15.70     0.00     0.97    30.11     8.57P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.45     3.16    -1.13     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.70     3.19    22.08     0.00     0.05     9.14     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.05     3.21    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   52   +5      62.74     3.54     6.72     0.00     0.00     2.04     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.84     3.29   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.58     3.18   -14.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.01  
Macclesfield         39   46  -15      53.93     3.40   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.04     3.02   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.09R    0.02  
Hereford             39   45  -17      52.87     3.41   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.02  
Bradford             38   44  -13      54.18     3.73   -14.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05R    0.01  
Northampton          39   42   -9      51.49     3.53    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.60R    0.30  
Burton_Albion        37   40  -15      50.36     3.96   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.29R    0.71  
Barnet               40   38  -19      44.02     3.06   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.27R   14.42  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.16     2.91   -50.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.21R   84.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 April 2011, Gateshead vs Bath_City; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       39   90  +51     102.00     3.52    54.53    99.83   100.00    99.90P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.46     3.00    31.42     0.01    99.98    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   71  +36      86.89     3.48    44.15     0.17    99.95    45.52P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.09     2.80    12.37     0.00    79.23    13.03P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.91     2.89    18.58     0.00    41.03     5.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.33     3.20    16.71     0.00    58.63     9.16P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   62   +5      71.71     3.40     5.32     0.00    13.89     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   57   +6      64.82     3.21     5.44     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          40   56   -1      63.28     3.15    -2.65     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         38   55  +14      68.19     3.78    17.21     0.00     5.06     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.35     3.51    10.64     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   53   +6      62.44     3.45     5.76     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   52   +4      66.38     4.07     7.13     0.00     1.77     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   51   -7      57.59     2.79    -7.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          39   50   +2      60.34     3.52     3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.36     2.91    -6.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.82     3.10   -16.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.73     2.78   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.59R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.26     2.83   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.46R    0.00  
Southport          40   41  -10      46.25     2.93   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.94R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.23     2.89   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.70R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.36     2.76   -37.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.20R    0.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.57     2.98   -38.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.49R   15.85  
Histon             39   27  -35      32.94     3.17   -40.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.11  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5