Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 April 2011, Fulham vs Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.40     3.17    44.39    86.79    97.27    99.86   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.57     3.71    35.61     8.61    54.66    89.55    99.15   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        31   56  +23      67.87     3.41    26.52     0.07     4.37    21.26    87.70    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.44     3.17    40.10     4.53    43.45    87.41    99.01   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.31     3.47     9.15     0.00     0.25     1.91    13.57    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.36     3.41     6.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.57    77.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.55     3.42     0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.66     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.21     3.49    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.57     0.16R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.54     3.28    -0.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.58R    0.01  
Fulham          31   38   +3      46.35     3.29     1.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54     1.24R    0.05  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.31     3.26    -4.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75     1.64R    0.08  
Sunderland      31   38   -9      48.40     3.46    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.61     0.69R    0.04  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      43.01     3.33   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    17.95R    1.93  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.16     3.37   -14.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    22.55R    3.54  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.13     3.34   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    24.00R    3.24  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.91     3.42   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    11.01R    1.70  
Blackpool       31   33  -18      40.31     3.19   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.00R   13.18  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.75     3.22   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.79R   14.90  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.61     3.43   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.57R    8.99  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.10     3.08   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.80R   52.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Bristol_City vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      90.01     3.73    41.43    96.51    99.59   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.57     3.54    22.47     2.62    58.66    99.06    68.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.18     3.58    19.33     0.51    17.96    92.63    38.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.54     3.45    17.40     0.23    13.65    89.92    32.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.60     3.58    11.91     0.06     2.97    63.60    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   60  +20      74.38     3.73    25.24     0.08     6.30    76.59    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      70.98     3.46    12.10     0.00     0.66    35.58     9.23P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +12      68.18     3.56    14.38     0.00     0.05    14.70     3.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      67.98     3.84     5.95     0.00     0.15    13.33     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.11     3.57    12.63     0.00     0.02     5.66     1.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +3      65.75     3.42     3.35     0.00     0.01     2.68     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.25     3.51     0.92     0.00     0.01     4.32     0.88P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.85     3.48     1.83     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   53   -3      62.15     3.49    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   +0      61.73     3.47     0.26     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -12      55.30     3.40   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -7      53.18     3.35    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.81R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -8      55.92     3.69    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.56R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.06     3.38   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.69R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   44  -19      52.72     3.46   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.40     3.38   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.69R    0.21  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.20     3.58   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.20R   11.46  
Preston          38   34  -22      42.19     3.58   -26.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.24R   24.42  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      39.98     3.16   -46.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.59R   63.87  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Charlton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.93     3.49    45.44    96.89    99.87   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.53     3.21    26.00     0.19    23.82    99.95    47.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   68  +35      85.20     3.86    42.63     2.92    69.27    99.96    82.56P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   67  +24      79.04     3.52    27.99     0.01     6.47    98.33    31.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.86     3.27     6.92     0.00     0.14    76.79    13.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      39   63  +21      74.74     3.54    24.18     0.00     0.42    86.67    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   58   +9      68.27     3.78     7.95     0.00     0.01    17.44     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   57   +8      68.33     3.85     8.42     0.00     0.00    17.50     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.49     3.41    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.64     3.24   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.63     3.21    -2.32     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   53   -1      63.36     3.51     0.03     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.66     3.53     1.04     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.58     3.05   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.04     3.22    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        39   47   -5      58.22     3.53    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.46R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.41     3.41   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   43  -10      53.30     3.70   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    0.16  
Notts_County     37   42   -9      53.14     3.96   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.43R    0.23  
Dag_&_Red        38   41  -11      49.13     3.56   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.82R    2.63  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.88     3.39   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.51R    5.19  
Bristol_Rovers   39   40  -30      46.92     3.29   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.52R    8.15  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.81     3.22   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.25R   40.23  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.79     3.75   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   43.40  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.20     3.26    37.99    97.46    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   67  +13      77.48     3.57    14.31     0.95    59.42    97.08    69.16P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.50     3.22    21.46     0.27    53.41    96.74    64.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.66     3.47    30.15     1.31    59.17    97.27    70.04P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.13     3.23    20.35     0.01    10.87    73.18    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.72     3.29    20.71     0.00     5.89    58.36    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.89     3.20    13.47     0.00     4.02    55.99    18.31P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   60  +11      70.53     3.56    12.33     0.00     5.28    50.50    13.80P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.81     3.18     3.96     0.00     0.84    27.52     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.39     3.29    15.74     0.00     1.06    30.30     8.56P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.47     3.17    -1.11     0.00     0.02     1.65     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.71     3.19    22.12     0.00     0.04     9.28     2.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.05     3.20    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   52   +5      62.73     3.53     6.72     0.00     0.01     1.93     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.81     3.27   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.55     3.19   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.01  
Macclesfield         39   46  -15      53.96     3.39   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.03     3.02   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.95R    0.02  
Hereford             39   45  -17      52.86     3.41   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.74R    0.03  
Bradford             38   44  -13      54.20     3.75   -14.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.03  
Northampton          39   42   -9      51.47     3.54    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.75R    0.28  
Burton_Albion        37   40  -15      50.35     3.95   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.08R    0.75  
Barnet               40   38  -19      44.02     3.04   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.29R   14.97  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.20     2.93   -50.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.22R   83.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       39   90  +51     101.93     3.52    54.41    99.83   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.45     2.99    31.41     0.00    99.99    23.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   71  +36      86.91     3.48    44.14     0.17    99.96    45.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.08     2.81    12.35     0.00    79.24    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.92     2.89    18.59     0.00    41.01     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.36     3.18    16.76     0.00    58.83     9.47P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   62   +5      71.71     3.39     5.32     0.00    13.81     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   57   +6      64.86     3.20     5.51     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         38   55  +14      68.18     3.74    17.18     0.00     5.00     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          39   55   -1      63.35     3.44    -3.12     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.37     3.51    10.67     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   53   +6      62.44     3.46     5.77     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   52   +4      66.32     4.04     7.02     0.00     1.67     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   51   -7      57.60     2.77    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   49   +2      61.02     3.79     3.56     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.36     2.92    -6.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.86     3.08   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.29R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.78     2.80   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.27     2.83   -30.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.14R    0.00  
Southport          40   41  -10      46.26     2.94   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.82R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.22     2.92   -19.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.68R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.34     2.74   -37.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.53R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.54     2.98   -38.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.57R   15.80  
Histon             39   27  -35      32.95     3.16   -40.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   84.18  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5