Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 2 April 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Arsenal vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         31   66  +36      80.41     3.14    44.35    87.23    97.39    99.94   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         30   59  +30      73.52     3.71    35.57     8.13    54.58    91.96    99.33   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         30   55  +29      72.50     3.18    40.18     4.61    44.99    90.55    99.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.70     3.70    22.15     0.04     2.78    15.30    80.86    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       30   50   +7      62.37     3.48     9.22     0.00     0.26     2.25    19.50    98.55     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       31   45   +4      56.39     3.41     6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10    77.03     0.00     0.00  
Everton         31   41   +1      50.59     3.39     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.37     0.02R    0.00  
Bolton          31   40   +0      49.18     3.48    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.32     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle       31   39   +2      47.49     3.28    -0.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.65     0.67R    0.01  
Stoke           31   38   -2      46.34     3.28    -3.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75     1.70R    0.08  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.36     3.65    -3.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.15     0.42R    0.01  
West_Brom       31   36  -14      43.00     3.32   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.85R    2.03  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.23     3.56    -1.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98     4.84R    0.33  
Blackburn       31   34  -12      42.17     3.38   -14.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    23.37R    3.69  
Birmingham      30   34  -12      42.15     3.34   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    24.38R    3.35  
Aston_Villa     31   34  -14      43.90     3.42   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15    11.70R    1.84  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.16     3.42   -21.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.25R    9.51  
West_Ham        31   32  -15      39.77     3.25   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.40R   15.24  
Wolverhampton   31   32  -17      40.51     3.42   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.77R    9.85  
Wigan           31   31  -22      37.05     3.08   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.53R   54.07  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Bristol_City vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      90.02     3.70    41.42    96.78    99.66   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          39   70  +21      80.52     3.53    22.38     2.49    58.25    99.05    67.66P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          39   66  +17      77.17     3.57    19.33     0.46    18.06    92.54    38.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          39   66  +16      76.58     3.44    17.47     0.17    13.89    89.89    32.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     39   64  +12      73.54     3.57    11.85     0.05     2.99    63.10    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          38   60  +20      74.37     3.70    25.23     0.05     6.27    76.49    28.40P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    39   60  +10      70.99     3.47    12.11     0.00     0.69    35.89     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         39   57  +12      68.19     3.55    14.37     0.00     0.05    14.70     3.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          38   57   +6      68.06     3.84     6.06     0.00     0.13    13.76     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          39   56  +12      66.16     3.59    12.70     0.00     0.02     5.80     1.22P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             39   56   +3      65.71     3.40     3.28     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        39   56   +0      66.23     3.50     0.90     0.00     0.00     4.17     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       39   54   +0      64.78     3.50     1.71     0.00     0.00     1.64     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     39   53   -3      62.13     3.50    -3.62     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          39   52   +0      61.78     3.48     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         39   47  -12      55.31     3.40   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59R    0.00  
Coventry         39   45   -7      53.20     3.34    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    38   45   -8      55.98     3.71    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54R    0.00  
Derby            39   44   -8      52.04     3.38   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.00  
Doncaster        39   44  -19      52.73     3.47   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.82R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   39   42  -21      50.32     3.37   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.92R    0.19  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.19     3.59   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.23R   11.73  
Preston          38   34  -22      42.18     3.58   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.12R   24.80  
Scunthorpe       39   34  -41      40.02     3.17   -46.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   63.25  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Charlton vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         39   84  +42      95.92     3.48    45.45    96.79    99.88   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     40   73  +24      82.52     3.22    25.97     0.25    23.76    99.94    47.57P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   68  +35      85.20     3.85    42.69     2.96    69.33    99.96    82.98P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     39   67  +24      79.03     3.52    27.98     0.01     6.49    98.36    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          40   65   +6      73.92     3.28     7.01     0.00     0.16    77.68    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      39   63  +21      74.66     3.54    24.07     0.00     0.36    86.15    17.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         38   58   +9      68.27     3.77     7.94     0.00     0.01    17.21     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    38   57   +8      68.33     3.81     8.43     0.00     0.01    17.35     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.53     3.39    -4.46     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.15P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter           40   55  -10      62.71     3.24   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       40   54   -3      62.62     3.23    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         39   53   -1      63.35     3.51     0.02     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.64     3.52     1.05     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       40   51  -16      57.56     3.02   -18.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Oldham           40   50   -6      58.01     3.23    -6.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.18R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        39   47   -5      58.25     3.54    -2.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.45R    0.00  
Yeovil           39   47  -13      55.38     3.39   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.72R    0.00  
Tranmere         38   43  -10      53.31     3.69   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.29R    0.12  
Notts_County     37   42   -9      53.13     3.93   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.09R    0.25  
Dag_&_Red        38   41  -11      49.11     3.57   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.13R    2.66  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.86     3.40   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.51R    5.21  
Bristol_Rovers   39   40  -30      46.94     3.28   -34.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.40R    8.13  
Swindon          40   35  -19      42.83     3.21   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.33R   40.24  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.79     3.75   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.72R   43.38  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         40   78  +35      88.24     3.27    38.05    97.64    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              39   67  +13      77.48     3.57    14.28     0.88    59.25    97.12    69.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           40   66  +18      76.54     3.20    21.51     0.24    53.99    96.97    65.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 39   65  +27      76.61     3.44    30.09     1.22    58.92    97.30    69.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            40   63  +19      72.11     3.23    20.33     0.01    10.88    73.18    26.40P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              40   62  +20      70.75     3.28    20.74     0.00     6.00    58.94    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           40   61  +11      70.85     3.20    13.37     0.00     4.04    55.11    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   39   60  +11      70.50     3.54    12.32     0.00     5.02    50.40    13.54P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            40   60   +3      68.80     3.19     3.97     0.00     0.85    27.59     6.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            40   59  +14      68.38     3.28    15.73     0.00     1.00    30.17     8.63P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   56   +0      63.45     3.18    -1.14     0.00     0.01     1.65     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                40   55  +18      65.70     3.20    22.11     0.00     0.04     9.33     2.69P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            40   53   -4      61.03     3.21    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   52   +5      62.77     3.54     6.76     0.00     0.01     2.00     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   47  -19      54.81     3.28   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   46  -13      53.59     3.17   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.01  
Macclesfield         39   46  -15      53.94     3.39   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         40   46  -25      52.07     3.02   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.02  
Hereford             39   45  -17      52.79     3.41   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    0.02  
Bradford             38   44  -13      54.24     3.76   -14.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.00R    0.01  
Northampton          39   42   -9      51.53     3.54    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.66R    0.32  
Burton_Albion        37   40  -15      50.36     3.96   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.97R    0.73  
Barnet               40   38  -19      44.01     3.05   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.32R   14.71  
Stockport            40   35  -45      40.16     2.91   -50.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.41R   84.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 April 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Barrow; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       39   90  +51     101.95     3.51    54.44    99.85   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      41   77  +29      85.43     2.99    31.37     0.00    99.99    22.78P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              38   71  +36      86.91     3.45    44.14     0.15    99.96    45.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            41   70  +12      77.05     2.81    12.33     0.00    78.94    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     41   66  +17      73.90     2.88    18.58     0.00    40.81     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      40   66  +15      75.37     3.18    16.77     0.00    59.00     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
York               39   62   +5      71.75     3.40     5.35     0.00    14.02     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     40   57   +6      64.85     3.23     5.51     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         38   55  +14      68.15     3.75    17.14     0.00     5.03     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          39   55   -1      63.40     3.44    -3.07     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            39   53   +8      64.37     3.51    10.68     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   39   53   +6      62.43     3.47     5.76     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          37   52   +4      66.37     4.06     7.09     0.00     1.68     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          41   51   -7      57.58     2.78    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          38   49   +2      61.03     3.80     3.54     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      41   45   -7      52.39     2.92    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Barrow             40   43  -14      49.84     3.11   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.65R    0.00  
Tamworth           41   43  -17      48.75     2.77   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.54R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    41   42  -28      47.22     2.82   -30.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.92R    0.00  
Southport          40   41  -10      46.24     2.91   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.21R    0.00  
Forest_Green       41   41  -18      47.24     2.90   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.24R    0.00  
Altrincham         41   41  -35      46.38     2.74   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.73R    0.02  
Eastbourne_Boro    40   32  -33      37.55     2.98   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.53R   15.78  
Histon             39   27  -35      32.95     3.15   -40.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.96R   84.18  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5