Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.46     3.42    43.33    71.23    91.80    99.70    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.20     3.88    37.88    19.07    61.57    94.97    99.54   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.59     3.42    41.27     9.65    44.80    92.00    99.16   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.67     3.69    22.09     0.04     1.48    10.57    74.39    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.17     3.73     9.84     0.01     0.34     2.69    23.76    97.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.24     3.69     8.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.12    82.07     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.41     3.74     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.99     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.57     3.68     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.75     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.33     3.64    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.63     0.27R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.95     3.47    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45     2.13R    0.13  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.38     3.54    -2.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     2.22R    0.14  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.17     3.55    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     3.87R    0.35  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.48     3.50   -16.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.84R    5.52  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.79     3.65   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    11.92R    2.05  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.44   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.55R    8.00  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.87     3.58   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.76R    8.52  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.53     3.44   -17.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.08R    9.99  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.50     3.63   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.92R    5.84  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.54     3.61   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.73R    9.19  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.98     3.34   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.63R   50.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.93     3.73    41.29    97.06    99.65   100.00    99.74P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.36     3.76    17.19     1.68    43.16    96.35    54.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.29     3.72    18.95     0.88    32.94    94.60    48.59P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.97     3.83    16.97     0.32    13.65    84.08    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.84     3.86     8.69     0.02     1.82    43.22    10.10P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.49     3.75    15.27     0.01     3.24    53.87    16.51P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.94     3.99    23.53     0.02     4.30    61.50    21.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.81     4.09     7.62     0.01     0.89    26.10     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.80     3.87    15.15     0.00     0.21    14.53     3.62P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.42     3.69     4.76     0.00     0.06     8.57     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.38     3.76     0.58     0.00     0.01     5.66     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.23     3.78    12.93     0.00     0.03     6.48     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.01     3.75     3.53     0.00     0.03     4.86     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.77     3.76    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.76     3.70    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.51     3.70   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.10     3.61    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.66R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.47     3.96    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.44R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.80     3.73   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.26R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.36     3.63   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.43R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.80     3.64   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.71R    0.89  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.27     3.59   -27.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.33R   10.68  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.85     3.38   -41.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   42.83  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.21     3.82   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.53R   45.52  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Dag_&_Red vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         38   83  +42      96.46     3.77    45.69    97.66    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   70  +22      81.02     3.51    24.15     0.11    18.60    99.44    42.60P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.84     3.80    28.71     0.05    13.97    97.96    37.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.28     4.08    42.73     2.18    65.46    99.78    80.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.63     3.48     6.92     0.00     0.92    78.00    14.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.60     3.80    23.33     0.00     1.06    81.25    17.38P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.49     4.09    10.10     0.00     0.06    23.94     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   57   +9      68.37     4.02     7.60     0.00     0.03    16.64     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.48     3.41    -4.53     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.81     3.48    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.59     3.52     0.98     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           39   52  -11      61.32     3.52   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         38   50   -3      61.99     3.77    -1.58     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.10P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.66     3.33   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Oldham           39   47   -8      56.06     3.50    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.34R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   47  -12      57.20     3.68   -13.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.34R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -6      56.74     3.80    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.01R    0.01  
Tranmere         37   43   -8      54.58     3.95    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.09R    0.06  
Notts_County     36   42   -7      54.85     4.19    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.00R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red        37   41  -10      50.19     3.81   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.46R    1.56  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.97     3.40   -18.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.30R    4.55  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.95     3.53   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.53R   21.98  
Swindon          39   34  -19      43.55     3.50   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.96R   30.20  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.77     3.76   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.46R   41.57  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.84     3.53    36.35    95.84    99.92   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.74     3.79    13.74     1.78    58.56    94.67    68.01P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   63  +15      75.23     3.51    18.96     0.47    45.45    91.80    57.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.32     3.71    27.51     1.75    51.35    92.98    62.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.80     3.50    19.79     0.02     9.77    59.49    22.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   60  +11      71.93     3.48    14.44     0.08    13.32    68.62    28.62P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   60   +5      69.96     3.43     5.65     0.01     4.18    42.20    12.22P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.67     3.55    19.55     0.02     6.05    47.54    16.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   59  +15      70.27     3.55    17.47     0.01     7.19    52.76    19.13P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   57   +9      68.82     3.83    10.24     0.00     3.85    34.18     9.50P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   56   +3      64.66     3.46     1.66     0.00     0.22     5.51     1.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   52  +11      64.32     3.52    15.40     0.00     0.07     5.55     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      61.02     3.47    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.47     3.78     7.25     0.00     0.07     4.14     1.29P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   47  -12      56.00     3.54   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   46  -12      54.86     3.62   -15.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         39   46  -23      52.82     3.27   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.24     3.99   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.40R    0.00  
Hereford             38   44  -17      52.59     3.62   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.05  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.39     3.44   -15.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.12  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.88     3.81    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        36   40  -12      52.31     4.24   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.68R    0.36  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.92     3.30   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.24R   35.80  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.81     3.15   -49.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.16R   63.53  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Altrincham vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       38   87  +50     100.61     3.78    53.86    98.99   100.00    99.30P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.51     3.25    30.49     0.01    99.84    22.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   70  +36      87.45     3.76    44.31     1.00    99.91    45.58P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   70  +14      79.41     3.06    15.83     0.00    92.26    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.52     3.45    16.42     0.00    57.08     9.02P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.84     3.17    18.40     0.00    25.81     3.58P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.05     3.65     5.29     0.00    14.92     2.36P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         37   55  +15      69.14     4.00    17.66     0.00     8.08     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     39   54   +5      63.19     3.51     4.40     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   53   +9      65.81     3.77    11.80     0.00     0.93     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.55     3.75     6.35     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.91     3.74    -3.91     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.97     3.08    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   49   +3      64.79     4.31     6.17     0.00     0.77     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          37   49   +3      62.26     4.03     4.34     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      52.99     3.21    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Barrow             39   43  -12      50.60     3.30   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   43  -16      49.54     3.02   -18.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.36R    0.00  
Southport          39   41   -8      48.35     3.27   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.21R    0.01  
Altrincham         40   40  -35      46.60     3.05   -37.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.71R    0.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.69     3.01   -34.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.03R    0.16  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.34     3.19   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.94R    0.10  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.31     3.21   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   47.71  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.73     3.51   -37.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   51.97  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5