Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 30 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 63 +34 79.48 3.43 43.36 71.30 91.68 99.63 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 58 +30 75.20 3.87 37.87 19.06 62.03 95.13 99.44 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 54 +29 73.59 3.40 41.28 9.58 44.54 92.15 99.20 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 53 +18 66.69 3.68 22.11 0.05 1.44 10.41 74.54 99.74 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 49 +7 63.16 3.74 9.83 0.00 0.30 2.61 23.61 97.85 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 45 +5 58.26 3.70 8.30 0.00 0.01 0.07 3.16 82.44 0.00 0.00 Bolton 30 40 +1 50.42 3.77 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 6.30 0.07R 0.00 Everton 30 40 +1 51.56 3.65 1.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 9.17 0.02R 0.00 Sunderland 30 38 -4 49.33 3.66 -3.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.72 0.27R 0.01 Stoke 30 37 -2 45.96 3.49 -5.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.38 2.16R 0.13 Newcastle 30 36 -1 46.34 3.55 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.75 2.24R 0.16 Fulham 30 35 +0 45.19 3.56 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.47 3.95R 0.34 Blackburn 30 33 -12 41.44 3.49 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 28.15R 5.68 Aston_Villa 30 33 -14 43.76 3.67 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 12.13R 2.10 Blackpool 30 33 -15 41.26 3.44 -20.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 31.76R 7.84 West_Brom 30 33 -15 40.82 3.55 -20.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 37.06R 8.40 West_Ham 30 32 -13 40.51 3.44 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.23R 10.06 Wolverhampton 30 32 -14 41.52 3.65 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 27.78R 5.76 Birmingham 29 31 -13 40.56 3.61 -17.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 37.60R 9.18 Wigan 30 30 -22 36.97 3.34 -28.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.58R 50.34Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 38 76 +37 89.93 3.71 41.26 96.98 99.67 100.00 99.76P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 67 +15 79.39 3.74 17.22 1.64 42.95 96.70 54.67P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 66 +17 78.31 3.74 18.98 1.00 33.24 94.54 48.74P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 63 +14 75.97 3.83 16.94 0.30 13.77 84.03 31.79P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 61 +9 71.85 3.85 8.71 0.03 1.78 43.35 10.08P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 60 +13 72.49 3.77 15.26 0.02 3.27 53.68 16.69P 0.00 0.00 Reading 37 57 +18 72.85 4.01 23.35 0.03 4.14 61.09 21.79P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 37 57 +7 69.81 4.07 7.64 0.00 0.84 26.07 6.76P 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 56 +14 67.81 3.87 15.14 0.00 0.19 14.66 3.45P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 56 +5 67.40 3.69 5.77 0.00 0.07 8.68 2.12P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 38 55 +0 66.45 3.77 0.68 0.00 0.02 6.04 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 38 54 +10 66.05 3.78 11.71 0.00 0.04 5.95 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 38 54 +2 65.94 3.75 3.44 0.00 0.03 4.80 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 51 -2 61.99 3.78 -1.88 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 47 -3 57.49 3.71 -3.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Barnsley 38 47 -12 56.42 3.66 -14.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Derby 38 44 -5 53.08 3.63 -8.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.83R 0.01 Middlesbrough 37 44 -7 56.59 3.97 -6.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.37R 0.00 Doncaster 38 44 -19 53.66 3.70 -21.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.56R 0.01 Coventry 38 42 -8 51.46 3.63 -10.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.14R 0.05 Crystal_Palace 38 39 -22 48.84 3.66 -23.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.53R 0.95 Sheff_Utd 38 35 -25 44.22 3.62 -27.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.94R 11.14 Scunthorpe 38 34 -35 40.86 3.41 -41.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.23R 43.44 Preston 37 31 -23 40.34 3.85 -27.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.02R 44.39League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Dag_&_Red vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 38 83 +42 96.44 3.76 45.67 97.86 99.90 100.00 99.93P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 39 70 +22 81.07 3.50 24.21 0.11 19.09 99.38 43.25P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 66 +24 79.77 3.81 28.54 0.03 13.53 97.72 37.26P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 36 65 +34 84.24 4.05 42.65 1.99 65.38 99.78 80.17P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 65 +7 74.61 3.48 6.91 0.00 0.94 77.65 14.09P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 38 62 +21 74.64 3.80 23.40 0.00 1.07 81.17 17.77P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 37 57 +10 69.48 4.11 10.09 0.00 0.08 24.07 3.90P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 37 57 +9 68.45 4.01 7.73 0.00 0.03 17.15 3.10P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 55 -3 63.44 3.40 -4.57 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 39 54 -2 63.81 3.49 -1.60 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 39 52 +1 61.61 3.53 0.99 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.07P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 39 52 -11 61.30 3.52 -11.56 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.01P 0.02R 0.00 Charlton 38 50 -3 62.02 3.79 -1.53 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.12P 0.02R 0.00 Hartlepool 39 50 -16 57.65 3.29 -19.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Oldham 39 47 -8 56.02 3.47 -8.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.29R 0.00 Yeovil 38 47 -12 57.19 3.69 -13.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.43R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 44 -6 56.76 3.80 -3.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.98R 0.02 Tranmere 37 43 -8 54.58 3.94 -9.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.94R 0.07 Notts_County 36 42 -7 54.84 4.21 -8.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.20R 0.07 Dag_&_Red 37 41 -10 50.24 3.79 -15.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.67R 1.46 Walsall 39 40 -16 47.93 3.38 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.00R 4.65 Bristol_Rovers 38 37 -31 44.96 3.52 -36.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.75R 21.86 Swindon 39 34 -19 43.55 3.52 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.92R 30.58 Plymouth 38 33 -18 42.82 3.76 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.34R 41.29 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 39 75 +33 86.90 3.54 36.45 96.02 99.92 100.00 99.94P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 38 64 +11 76.74 3.80 13.74 1.66 58.58 94.58 68.12P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 63 +15 75.27 3.51 19.03 0.51 46.09 91.91 57.81P 0.00 0.00 Bury 38 62 +24 75.30 3.73 27.50 1.71 51.32 92.85 62.72P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 60 +18 70.77 3.50 19.75 0.02 9.59 59.55 22.26P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 39 60 +11 71.89 3.49 14.39 0.06 12.96 68.29 28.01P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 39 60 +5 69.94 3.43 5.61 0.01 3.94 42.27 12.12P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 39 59 +18 69.63 3.55 19.51 0.01 6.02 47.37 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 39 59 +15 70.30 3.57 17.54 0.01 7.49 53.29 19.56P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 38 57 +9 68.81 3.83 10.23 0.00 3.78 34.01 9.32P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 56 +3 64.59 3.44 1.54 0.00 0.18 5.37 1.14P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 39 52 +11 64.26 3.52 15.29 0.00 0.06 5.45 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 52 -4 61.01 3.48 -4.76 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.13P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 51 +5 63.51 3.80 7.28 0.00 0.07 4.51 1.31P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 39 47 -12 56.02 3.55 -13.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Macclesfield 38 46 -12 54.78 3.61 -15.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.00 Lincoln_City 39 46 -23 52.86 3.27 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.01 Bradford 37 44 -12 55.28 3.97 -13.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.35R 0.01 Hereford 38 44 -17 52.60 3.62 -20.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54R 0.06 Morecambe 39 43 -14 51.40 3.43 -15.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.46R 0.15 Northampton 38 42 -7 52.88 3.81 -7.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.46R 0.12 Burton_Albion 36 40 -12 52.29 4.24 -14.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.64R 0.33 Barnet 39 35 -22 41.98 3.31 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.20R 34.89 Stockport 39 35 -43 40.78 3.14 -49.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.28R 64.42Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Altrincham vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 38 87 +50 100.61 3.79 53.87 98.91 100.00 99.24P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 40 74 +27 84.51 3.23 30.46 0.01 99.82 21.98P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 70 +36 87.45 3.72 44.34 1.07 99.92 45.01P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 40 70 +14 79.38 3.08 15.82 0.00 92.21 16.61P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 39 65 +15 75.50 3.46 16.43 0.00 57.14 9.09P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 40 63 +16 72.79 3.19 18.33 0.00 25.62 3.69P 0.00 0.00 York 38 61 +5 72.02 3.63 5.24 0.00 14.95 2.27P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 37 55 +15 69.18 3.99 17.69 0.00 8.14 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 39 54 +5 63.15 3.50 4.37 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 53 +9 65.79 3.79 11.76 0.00 0.97 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 38 53 +7 63.61 3.75 6.45 0.00 0.23 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 38 52 -2 61.89 3.74 -3.93 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 40 50 -7 57.97 3.08 -7.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 36 49 +3 64.82 4.30 6.23 0.00 0.79 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 37 49 +3 62.30 4.06 4.38 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 40 44 -7 53.02 3.22 -5.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Barrow 39 43 -12 50.62 3.31 -15.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.49R 0.00 Tamworth 40 43 -16 49.54 3.03 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.51R 0.00 Southport 39 41 -8 48.37 3.26 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.04R 0.00 Altrincham 40 40 -35 46.64 3.06 -37.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.47R 0.05 Hayes_&_Yeading 40 39 -30 44.68 3.02 -34.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.87R 0.15 Forest_Green 40 38 -21 45.29 3.19 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.14R 0.08 Eastbourne_Boro 39 29 -35 35.30 3.22 -41.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.06R 47.82 Histon 38 27 -32 34.70 3.47 -37.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.13R 51.90 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5