Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.48     3.43    43.36    71.30    91.68    99.63   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.20     3.87    37.87    19.06    62.03    95.13    99.44   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.59     3.40    41.28     9.58    44.54    92.15    99.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.69     3.68    22.11     0.05     1.44    10.41    74.54    99.74     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.16     3.74     9.83     0.00     0.30     2.61    23.61    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.26     3.70     8.30     0.00     0.01     0.07     3.16    82.44     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.42     3.77     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.30     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.56     3.65     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.17     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.33     3.66    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.72     0.27R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.96     3.49    -5.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     2.16R    0.13  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.34     3.55    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75     2.24R    0.16  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.19     3.56    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     3.95R    0.34  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.44     3.49   -16.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.15R    5.68  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.76     3.67   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    12.13R    2.10  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.26     3.44   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    31.76R    7.84  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.82     3.55   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.06R    8.40  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.51     3.44   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.23R   10.06  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.52     3.65   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.78R    5.76  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.56     3.61   -17.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.60R    9.18  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.97     3.34   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.58R   50.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.93     3.71    41.26    96.98    99.67   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.39     3.74    17.22     1.64    42.95    96.70    54.67P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.31     3.74    18.98     1.00    33.24    94.54    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.97     3.83    16.94     0.30    13.77    84.03    31.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.85     3.85     8.71     0.03     1.78    43.35    10.08P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.49     3.77    15.26     0.02     3.27    53.68    16.69P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.85     4.01    23.35     0.03     4.14    61.09    21.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.81     4.07     7.64     0.00     0.84    26.07     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.81     3.87    15.14     0.00     0.19    14.66     3.45P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +5      67.40     3.69     5.77     0.00     0.07     8.68     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.45     3.77     0.68     0.00     0.02     6.04     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.05     3.78    11.71     0.00     0.04     5.95     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.94     3.75     3.44     0.00     0.03     4.80     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.99     3.78    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.49     3.71    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.42     3.66   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.08     3.63    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.83R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.59     3.97    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.37R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -19      53.66     3.70   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.56R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.46     3.63   -10.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.14R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.84     3.66   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.53R    0.95  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.22     3.62   -27.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.94R   11.14  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.86     3.41   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.23R   43.44  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.34     3.85   -27.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.02R   44.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Dag_&_Red vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         38   83  +42      96.44     3.76    45.67    97.86    99.90   100.00    99.93P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   70  +22      81.07     3.50    24.21     0.11    19.09    99.38    43.25P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.77     3.81    28.54     0.03    13.53    97.72    37.26P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.24     4.05    42.65     1.99    65.38    99.78    80.17P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.61     3.48     6.91     0.00     0.94    77.65    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.64     3.80    23.40     0.00     1.07    81.17    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.48     4.11    10.09     0.00     0.08    24.07     3.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   57   +9      68.45     4.01     7.73     0.00     0.03    17.15     3.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.44     3.40    -4.57     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.81     3.49    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.61     3.53     0.99     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter           39   52  -11      61.30     3.52   -11.56     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         38   50   -3      62.02     3.79    -1.53     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.65     3.29   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.45R    0.00  
Oldham           39   47   -8      56.02     3.47    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   47  -12      57.19     3.69   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -6      56.76     3.80    -3.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.02  
Tranmere         37   43   -8      54.58     3.94    -9.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.94R    0.07  
Notts_County     36   42   -7      54.84     4.21    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.20R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red        37   41  -10      50.24     3.79   -15.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.67R    1.46  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.93     3.38   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.00R    4.65  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.96     3.52   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.75R   21.86  
Swindon          39   34  -19      43.55     3.52   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.92R   30.58  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.82     3.76   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.34R   41.29  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Hereford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.90     3.54    36.45    96.02    99.92   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.74     3.80    13.74     1.66    58.58    94.58    68.12P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   63  +15      75.27     3.51    19.03     0.51    46.09    91.91    57.81P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.30     3.73    27.50     1.71    51.32    92.85    62.72P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.77     3.50    19.75     0.02     9.59    59.55    22.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   60  +11      71.89     3.49    14.39     0.06    12.96    68.29    28.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   60   +5      69.94     3.43     5.61     0.01     3.94    42.27    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.63     3.55    19.51     0.01     6.02    47.37    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   59  +15      70.30     3.57    17.54     0.01     7.49    53.29    19.56P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   38   57   +9      68.81     3.83    10.23     0.00     3.78    34.01     9.32P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   56   +3      64.59     3.44     1.54     0.00     0.18     5.37     1.14P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   52  +11      64.26     3.52    15.29     0.00     0.06     5.45     1.45P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      61.01     3.48    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.51     3.80     7.28     0.00     0.07     4.51     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   47  -12      56.02     3.55   -13.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Macclesfield         38   46  -12      54.78     3.61   -15.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   46  -23      52.86     3.27   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.28     3.97   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.35R    0.01  
Hereford             38   44  -17      52.60     3.62   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.06  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.40     3.43   -15.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.46R    0.15  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.88     3.81    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        36   40  -12      52.29     4.24   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.64R    0.33  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.98     3.31   -26.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.20R   34.89  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.78     3.14   -49.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   64.42  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Altrincham vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       38   87  +50     100.61     3.79    53.87    98.91   100.00    99.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.51     3.23    30.46     0.01    99.82    21.98P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   70  +36      87.45     3.72    44.34     1.07    99.92    45.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   70  +14      79.38     3.08    15.82     0.00    92.21    16.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.50     3.46    16.43     0.00    57.14     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.79     3.19    18.33     0.00    25.62     3.69P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.02     3.63     5.24     0.00    14.95     2.27P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         37   55  +15      69.18     3.99    17.69     0.00     8.14     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     39   54   +5      63.15     3.50     4.37     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   53   +9      65.79     3.79    11.76     0.00     0.97     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.61     3.75     6.45     0.00     0.23     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.89     3.74    -3.93     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.97     3.08    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   49   +3      64.82     4.30     6.23     0.00     0.79     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          37   49   +3      62.30     4.06     4.38     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      53.02     3.22    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Barrow             39   43  -12      50.62     3.31   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.49R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   43  -16      49.54     3.03   -18.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.51R    0.00  
Southport          39   41   -8      48.37     3.26   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.04R    0.00  
Altrincham         40   40  -35      46.64     3.06   -37.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.47R    0.05  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.68     3.02   -34.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.87R    0.15  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.29     3.19   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.14R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.30     3.22   -41.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   47.82  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.70     3.47   -37.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   51.90  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5