Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.50     3.42    43.36    71.39    91.80    99.69    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.21     3.89    37.89    19.01    62.08    94.92    99.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.57     3.42    41.24     9.54    44.23    91.88    99.14   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.73     3.68    22.19     0.05     1.58    10.67    75.04    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.16     3.75     9.86     0.01     0.31     2.77    23.23    97.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.22     3.68     8.25     0.00     0.00     0.06     3.07    82.16     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.39     3.76     0.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.17     0.05R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.53     3.69     1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.35     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.33     3.64    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.26R    0.00  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.98     3.48    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     2.13R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.32     3.56    -2.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.80     2.30R    0.19  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.56    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47     3.81R    0.34  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.45     3.49   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.04R    5.49  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.78     3.66   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.83R    2.04  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.22     3.42   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.21R    7.67  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.88     3.59   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.81R    8.28  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.49     3.46   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.69R   10.37  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.51     3.65   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.13R    5.95  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.59     3.62   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.19R    9.28  
Wigan           30   30  -22      37.00     3.36   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.54R   50.26  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.99     3.74    41.35    96.87    99.64   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.42     3.76    17.28     1.67    42.55    96.56    54.54P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.27     3.71    18.94     0.89    31.52    94.35    47.26P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.25     4.08    16.84     0.49    15.97    83.60    34.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.84     3.86     8.71     0.03     1.79    42.70     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.52     3.75    15.33     0.00     3.10    53.40    16.58P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.92     4.00    23.48     0.05     4.14    60.94    21.31P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.83     4.12     7.67     0.00     0.87    26.11     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.81     3.87    15.15     0.00     0.20    14.13     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.39     3.71     4.74     0.00     0.06     8.42     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.40     3.78     0.60     0.00     0.01     5.72     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.00     3.74     3.52     0.00     0.02     4.85     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +11      66.59     4.04    12.93     0.00     0.14     9.07     2.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.78     3.75    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.71     3.71    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.50     3.67   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.08     3.62    -8.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.51     3.98    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.78     3.71   -19.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.00  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.34     3.63   -11.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.36R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.78     3.64   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.45R    0.96  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.22     3.60   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.04R   10.84  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.84     3.39   -41.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.18R   43.04  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.24     3.82   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.21R   45.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Dag_&_Red vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         38   83  +42      96.47     3.76    45.70    97.71    99.93   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   70  +22      81.03     3.51    24.15     0.10    18.84    99.42    43.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.77     3.82    28.55     0.04    13.43    97.66    37.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.29     4.07    42.74     2.15    65.77    99.79    80.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.65     3.49     6.94     0.00     0.87    78.17    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.60     3.79    23.35     0.00     1.06    81.14    17.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.46     4.07    10.05     0.00     0.07    24.02     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         37   57   +9      68.42     4.01     7.69     0.00     0.03    16.82     2.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford        39   55   -3      63.47     3.41    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.81     3.50    -1.60     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         39   52   +1      61.61     3.51     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter           39   52  -11      61.37     3.53   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         38   50   -3      62.03     3.78    -1.53     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.64     3.31   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.50R    0.00  
Oldham           39   47   -8      56.03     3.47    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Yeovil           38   47  -12      57.25     3.68   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.39R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        38   44   -6      56.76     3.81    -3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.12R    0.02  
Tranmere         37   43   -8      54.53     3.93    -9.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.17R    0.06  
Notts_County     36   42   -7      54.79     4.20    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.28R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red        37   41  -10      50.23     3.82   -15.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.85R    1.53  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.93     3.39   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.51R    4.80  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.92     3.54   -36.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.44R   22.17  
Swindon          39   34  -19      43.57     3.50   -19.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.86R   29.77  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.76     3.74   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.69R   41.56  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Port_Vale vs Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.81     3.52    36.30    96.03    99.91   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.67     3.80    13.62     1.62    58.60    94.77    67.87P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           39   63  +15      75.21     3.50    18.92     0.53    46.40    92.64    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.25     3.73    27.44     1.69    51.30    93.29    62.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.83     3.48    19.82     0.03    10.18    62.16    23.26P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   60  +11      71.82     3.49    14.26     0.05    12.98    69.35    28.23P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            39   60   +5      69.94     3.43     5.63     0.01     4.44    44.50    12.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.66     3.55    19.55     0.02     6.34    49.20    17.17P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            39   59  +15      70.22     3.58    17.42     0.02     7.59    54.30    19.89P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   56   +3      64.70     3.45     1.71     0.00     0.19     5.96     1.20P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   54   +5      67.16     4.10     6.18     0.00     1.91    22.32     5.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   52  +11      64.24     3.52    15.30     0.00     0.05     5.96     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      61.01     3.44    -4.78     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.50     3.80     7.26     0.00     0.10     4.90     1.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   47  -12      56.03     3.54   -13.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   46  -11      56.15     3.90   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         39   46  -23      52.86     3.27   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.23     3.97   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.42R    0.01  
Hereford             37   44  -13      53.98     3.90   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.73R    0.04  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.38     3.44   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.40R    0.12  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.95     3.82    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35R    0.11  
Burton_Albion        35   37  -13      50.88     4.49   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.30R    1.18  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.99     3.32   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.29R   34.68  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.78     3.13   -49.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.67R   63.86  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 March 2011, Altrincham vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       38   87  +50     100.60     3.78    53.83    98.96   100.00    99.26P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.50     3.26    30.46     0.02    99.83    21.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              37   70  +36      87.46     3.77    44.36     1.02    99.90    45.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            40   70  +14      79.41     3.07    15.84     0.00    92.50    16.44P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.44     3.46    16.34     0.00    56.22     8.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.85     3.18    18.40     0.00    26.06     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.02     3.63     5.26     0.00    14.94     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         37   55  +15      69.23     3.97    17.79     0.00     8.43     1.78P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     39   54   +5      63.10     3.50     4.29     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            38   53   +9      65.87     3.79    11.87     0.00     0.96     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.58     3.73     6.38     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.87     3.73    -3.97     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.90     3.07    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          36   49   +3      64.85     4.32     6.24     0.00     0.77     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          37   49   +3      62.29     4.05     4.39     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      52.98     3.22    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Barrow             39   43  -12      50.67     3.30   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Tamworth           40   43  -16      49.55     3.01   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.00  
Southport          39   41   -8      48.35     3.26   -11.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.03R    0.00  
Altrincham         40   40  -35      46.66     3.06   -37.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.24R    0.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.68     3.01   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.99R    0.12  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.31     3.21   -22.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.34R    0.08  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.32     3.22   -41.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   47.18  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.68     3.49   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   52.57  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5