Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 28 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.53     3.42    43.44    72.26    92.02    99.72    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.15     3.87    37.81    18.46    61.77    94.97    99.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.55     3.43    41.20     9.23    44.38    91.85    99.17   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.68     3.68    22.15     0.04     1.49    10.75    74.67    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.14     3.76     9.84     0.00     0.34     2.63    23.54    97.76     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.25     3.68     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.16    82.22     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.41     3.73     0.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     5.97     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.56     3.67     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.64     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.34     3.65    -3.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.25R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      46.00     3.51    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     2.22R    0.13  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.37     3.54    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     2.19R    0.14  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.54    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     3.94R    0.30  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.44     3.50   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.22R    5.55  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.78     3.65   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.76R    2.09  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.44   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.39R    7.89  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.89     3.56   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.17R    8.18  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.52     3.46   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.12R   10.06  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.50     3.66   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    28.17R    5.79  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.55     3.61   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.49R    9.11  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.96     3.33   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.00R   50.73  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.91     3.71    41.22    97.01    99.68   100.00    99.77P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.37     3.75    17.20     1.69    43.20    96.58    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.27     3.75    18.93     0.90    32.83    94.51    48.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      76.02     3.82    17.02     0.31    13.99    84.47    32.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.80     3.84     8.64     0.03     1.75    43.11     9.90P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.50     3.77    15.30     0.02     3.26    54.12    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.82     4.00    23.33     0.05     4.07    60.58    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.76     4.10     7.60     0.00     0.83    25.84     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.81     3.84    15.16     0.00     0.21    14.39     3.30P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +5      67.47     3.69     5.85     0.00     0.08     8.87     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.45     3.77     0.68     0.00     0.04     6.04     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.08     3.79    11.73     0.00     0.04     6.24     1.55P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.97     3.75     3.45     0.00     0.02     4.86     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.95     3.79    -1.96     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.54     3.70    -3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.40     3.69   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.32R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.11     3.62    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.70R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.58     3.97    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.46R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -19      53.66     3.71   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.68R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.42     3.63   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.23R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.84     3.66   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.40R    0.96  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.25     3.61   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.80R   11.23  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.89     3.40   -41.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.33R   43.20  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.33     3.84   -27.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.97R   44.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 28 March 2011, Oldham vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         37   80  +41      95.18     3.98    45.20    95.48    99.68   100.00    99.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   70  +22      81.02     3.51    24.17     0.32    18.58    99.46    43.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.88     3.82    28.74     0.13    14.14    98.12    37.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.29     4.10    42.72     4.07    65.44    99.79    80.19P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.66     3.49     6.97     0.00     1.02    79.77    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.67     3.78    23.44     0.00     1.06    83.22    18.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.42     4.08     9.99     0.00     0.07    24.28     4.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   54   +7      66.63     4.26     5.43     0.00     0.02    10.21     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.85     3.47    -1.53     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   52   +2      63.04     3.80     2.08     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        38   52   -5      61.35     3.63    -7.25     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         37   50   -1      63.50     4.02     0.63     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.61     3.31   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.65R    0.00  
Exeter           38   49  -12      59.76     3.80   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.42R    0.00  
Oldham           39   47   -8      56.04     3.50    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.85R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        37   44   -4      58.70     4.05    -0.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.97R    0.01  
Yeovil           37   44  -13      55.52     3.96   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.88R    0.04  
Tranmere         37   43   -8      54.54     3.95    -9.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.31R    0.07  
Notts_County     36   42   -7      54.89     4.21    -7.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    7.98R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red        36   41   -9      51.24     4.04   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.60R    1.23  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.92     3.40   -18.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.57R    5.56  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.89     3.53   -36.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.79R   25.23  
Swindon          38   34  -18      44.84     3.76   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.44R   21.90  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.74     3.75   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.49R   45.88  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.81     3.55    36.32    95.75    99.94   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.70     3.81    13.68     1.88    60.97    95.04    69.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.28     3.74    27.45     1.95    53.82    93.45    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.85     3.53    19.86     0.04    11.24    63.37    24.47P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   60  +13      73.27     3.77    16.47     0.18    27.56    80.77    40.75P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   60  +11      71.83     3.48    14.30     0.07    14.45    70.59    29.62P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.63     3.55    19.49     0.02     6.90    50.21    17.64P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   59  +17      71.87     3.85    19.84     0.11    19.43    70.91    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   57   +4      68.79     3.69     5.28     0.00     3.21    34.22     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   56   +3      64.68     3.44     1.70     0.00     0.23     6.21     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   54   +5      67.23     4.08     6.27     0.00     2.10    23.14     5.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   52  +11      64.23     3.51    15.25     0.00     0.06     6.25     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      60.97     3.45    -4.81     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.51     3.81     7.29     0.00     0.11     5.14     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   47  -12      55.98     3.52   -13.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   46  -11      56.11     3.91   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -22      53.81     3.50   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.25     3.97   -13.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.38R    0.01  
Hereford             37   44  -13      53.95     3.89   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.71R    0.03  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.36     3.43   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.55R    0.13  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.89     3.82    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.30R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        35   37  -13      50.86     4.47   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.43R    1.13  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.98     3.30   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.49R   35.39  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.84     3.17   -49.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.50R   63.22  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 March 2011, Wrexham vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       37   84  +48      99.62     4.03    52.90    95.86   100.00    97.24P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.53     3.24    30.52     0.06    99.85    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   69  +36      88.97     3.90    46.30     4.08    99.97    47.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   69  +14      79.96     3.37    16.10     0.00    93.03    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.48     3.45    16.41     0.00    56.58     8.86P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.84     3.19    18.42     0.00    25.83     3.63P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.09     3.66     5.34     0.00    14.96     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   53  +10      67.50     4.06    13.26     0.00     3.57     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.55     3.74     6.34     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         36   52  +14      67.19     4.24    16.21     0.00     3.92     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.90     3.71    -3.97     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     38   51   +4      61.74     3.78     3.67     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.97     3.08    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   49   +5      65.76     4.50     7.42     0.00     1.64     0.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   49   +4      63.39     4.28     4.97     0.00     0.35     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      52.99     3.20    -5.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Barrow             38   42  -12      49.93     3.44   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.93R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   42  -16      49.70     3.30   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.00  
Southport          38   40   -8      48.59     3.55   -11.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.70     3.04   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.96R    0.12  
Altrincham         39   39  -35      47.11     3.35   -37.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.00R    0.08  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.33     3.21   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.66R    0.07  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.31     3.19   -41.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.12R   47.38  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.67     3.49   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.20R   52.34  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5