Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 March 2011 at 21:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.50     3.42    43.38    71.44    91.69    99.70    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.20     3.87    37.88    19.15    61.98    95.04    99.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.58     3.43    41.26     9.37    44.52    92.20    99.19   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.67     3.67    22.11     0.04     1.46    10.25    74.40    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.17     3.74     9.89     0.00     0.35     2.73    23.70    97.87     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.25     3.69     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.18    82.25     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.45     3.76     0.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     6.21     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.53     3.67     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.22     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.31     3.64    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81     0.31R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.97     3.48    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     2.17R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.35     3.55    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.91     2.28R    0.16  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.56    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     3.82R    0.39  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.44     3.49   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.72R    5.45  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.81     3.66   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    11.69R    1.98  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.45   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.45R    7.80  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.84     3.56   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.82R    8.42  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.51     3.47   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.30R   10.19  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.53     3.64   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.97R    5.86  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.52     3.61   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.69R    9.17  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.97     3.34   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.70R   50.45  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.97     3.72    41.33    96.98    99.70   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.40     3.74    17.26     1.71    43.13    96.59    54.65P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.31     3.73    18.97     0.87    32.88    94.47    48.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.98     3.82    16.99     0.35    13.73    84.15    32.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.76     3.86     8.59     0.03     1.76    42.10     9.44P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.53     3.75    15.34     0.02     3.21    54.03    16.74P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.95     3.99    23.51     0.04     4.26    61.99    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.82     4.09     7.66     0.00     0.98    26.04     6.67P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.85     3.86    15.20     0.00     0.19    14.72     3.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.41     3.69     4.74     0.00     0.07     8.34     1.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.35     3.79     0.54     0.00     0.02     5.79     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.26     3.79    12.98     0.00     0.04     6.70     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.96     3.75     3.46     0.00     0.03     4.90     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.76     3.76    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.72     3.72    -1.34     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.47     3.70   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.12     3.64    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.50     3.98    -7.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.82     3.71   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.34     3.61   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.51R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.76     3.64   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.68R    0.92  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.26     3.59   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.55R   10.44  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.83     3.39   -41.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   43.23  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.21     3.80   -28.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.35R   45.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 March 2011, Huddersfield vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         37   80  +41      95.12     4.00    45.10    95.42    99.69   100.00    99.79P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     39   70  +22      81.03     3.50    24.17     0.31    18.46    99.48    42.72P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.86     3.81    28.69     0.12    13.82    98.10    37.64P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.34     4.06    42.78     4.14    65.97    99.78    80.41P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.63     3.49     6.97     0.00     0.94    79.48    14.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.64     3.80    23.41     0.00     1.04    83.10    17.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.40     4.03     9.97     0.00     0.07    24.16     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   54   +7      66.75     4.27     5.56     0.00     0.02    10.73     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.82     3.48    -1.57     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Carlisle         38   52   +2      63.03     3.79     2.08     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        38   52   -5      61.31     3.63    -7.27     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         37   50   -1      63.44     4.06     0.57     0.00     0.00     1.94     0.44P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.63     3.31   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.64R    0.00  
Exeter           38   49  -12      59.78     3.80   -12.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P    0.35R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.63     3.76    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.75R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        37   44   -4      58.73     4.06    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   44  -13      55.47     3.94   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.87R    0.02  
Notts_County     36   42   -7      54.98     4.22    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    7.52R    0.09  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.70     4.17    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.81R    0.14  
Dag_&_Red        36   41   -9      51.16     4.03   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.67R    1.30  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.93     3.38   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.54R    5.57  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.92     3.53   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.53R   25.13  
Swindon          38   34  -18      44.84     3.79   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.01R   22.16  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.77     3.75   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.28R   45.59  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.83     3.55    36.35    95.87    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.72     3.80    13.70     1.88    61.08    95.13    69.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.29     3.75    27.47     1.74    53.88    93.62    64.62P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.78     3.50    19.78     0.02    10.77    62.17    23.67P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   60  +13      73.29     3.77    16.47     0.22    27.68    80.91    40.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           39   60  +11      71.84     3.47    14.30     0.07    14.21    70.57    29.67P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.61     3.53    19.48     0.02     6.70    49.75    17.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   59  +17      71.96     3.85    19.95     0.17    20.05    71.64    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   57   +4      68.77     3.70     5.26     0.00     3.17    33.91     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   56   +3      64.71     3.45     1.75     0.00     0.22     6.26     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   54   +5      67.27     4.09     6.32     0.00     2.16    23.74     5.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                39   52  +11      64.25     3.51    15.26     0.00     0.08     6.34     1.64P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      60.99     3.49    -4.79     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.56     3.81     7.36     0.00     0.10     5.30     1.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           39   47  -12      55.99     3.54   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield         37   46  -11      56.06     3.87   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -22      53.75     3.50   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.23     3.99   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.38R    0.01  
Hereford             37   44  -13      53.93     3.88   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.78R    0.04  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.34     3.45   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.60R    0.15  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.87     3.80    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        35   37  -13      50.86     4.46   -15.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.48R    1.19  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.95     3.31   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.38R   35.82  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.87     3.16   -49.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.34R   62.65  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 27 March 2011, Wrexham vs Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       37   84  +48      99.57     4.00    52.82    95.78   100.00    97.09P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.51     3.25    30.51     0.05    99.80    21.85P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   69  +36      88.96     3.89    46.30     4.17    99.96    47.40P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            39   69  +14      80.00     3.35    16.16     0.00    93.24    17.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.47     3.44    16.38     0.00    55.88     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.89     3.17    18.48     0.00    26.11     3.84P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.09     3.64     5.34     0.00    14.95     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   53  +10      67.52     4.07    13.30     0.00     3.65     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.54     3.73     6.33     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         36   52  +14      67.20     4.24    16.21     0.00     3.93     0.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.87     3.73    -3.98     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     38   51   +4      61.82     3.80     3.81     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.94     3.07    -7.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   49   +5      65.73     4.51     7.39     0.00     1.80     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   49   +4      63.41     4.28     5.00     0.00     0.34     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      52.96     3.20    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30R    0.00  
Barrow             38   42  -12      49.93     3.42   -17.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   42  -16      49.68     3.30   -18.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.03R    0.00  
Southport          38   40   -8      48.61     3.56   -11.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.99R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.72     3.02   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.51R    0.17  
Altrincham         39   39  -35      47.12     3.38   -37.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.28R    0.06  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.29     3.20   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.92R    0.12  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.31     3.22   -41.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   47.45  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.70     3.51   -37.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R   52.20  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5