Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.50     3.42    43.38    71.86    91.84    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.14     3.86    37.78    18.54    61.72    94.89    99.50   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.57     3.42    41.27     9.55    44.67    92.12    99.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.73     3.67    22.19     0.05     1.50    10.61    74.90    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.12     3.75     9.78     0.00     0.27     2.62    23.30    97.79     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.25     3.68     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.17    82.10     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.42     3.75     0.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.13     0.08R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.59     3.68     1.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.76     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.32     3.65    -3.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.77     0.25R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.97     3.48    -5.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     2.12R    0.13  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.33     3.54    -2.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71     2.32R    0.14  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.54    -1.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     3.86R    0.33  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.44     3.50   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.33R    5.58  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.78     3.65   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    11.73R    2.07  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.26     3.44   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.07R    7.65  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.88     3.56   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.62R    8.24  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.50     3.45   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.28R   10.09  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.46     3.62   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.14R    5.88  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.57     3.61   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.33R    9.26  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.96     3.34   -28.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.84R   50.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.96     3.73    41.30    97.01    99.65   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.37     3.76    17.19     1.63    42.93    96.49    54.66P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.32     3.74    18.98     0.93    33.25    94.60    48.60P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.94     3.84    16.92     0.38    13.65    83.78    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.80     3.83     8.66     0.01     1.71    42.88     9.84P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.53     3.75    15.33     0.01     3.28    54.06    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.87     3.98    23.39     0.03     4.26    60.98    21.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.82     4.10     7.66     0.01     0.91    26.27     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.79     3.88    15.15     0.00     0.21    14.45     3.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +5      67.42     3.71     5.81     0.00     0.08     8.93     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.41     3.75     0.62     0.00     0.01     5.92     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.13     3.78    11.81     0.00     0.04     6.26     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.00     3.75     3.49     0.00     0.03     4.98     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.98     3.78    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.51     3.71    -3.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.37     3.67   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.07     3.61    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.57     3.98    -6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -19      53.75     3.73   -20.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.49R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.42     3.65   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.86     3.66   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.00R    0.87  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.20     3.60   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.14R   11.14  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.85     3.39   -41.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   43.02  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.27     3.84   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.28R   44.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Charlton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         37   80  +41      95.19     4.01    45.22    95.64    99.78   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.76     3.77    21.66     0.18    13.30    98.28    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.87     3.85    28.75     0.13    15.18    98.05    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.33     4.06    42.80     4.04    69.23    99.81    82.58P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.60     3.48     6.90     0.00     1.09    78.87    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      38   62  +21      74.70     3.81    23.48     0.00     1.34    83.46    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    37   57  +10      69.48     4.07    10.08     0.00     0.06    25.84     4.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   54   +7      66.63     4.27     5.38     0.00     0.02    10.39     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Colchester       39   54   -2      63.84     3.50    -1.54     0.00     0.00     1.17     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   52   +2      63.02     3.79     2.06     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        38   52   -5      61.31     3.65    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         37   50   -1      63.50     4.03     0.64     0.00     0.00     2.07     0.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.60     3.31   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Exeter           38   49  -12      59.75     3.79   -12.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.40R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.58     3.76    -8.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.87R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        37   44   -4      58.71     4.05    -0.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.98R    0.00  
Yeovil           37   44  -13      55.51     3.97   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.10R    0.06  
Notts_County     35   42   -4      56.02     4.43    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    5.46R    0.06  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.69     4.17    -9.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.08R    0.13  
Dag_&_Red        36   41   -9      51.15     4.04   -14.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.07R    1.33  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.97     3.40   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.32R    5.46  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.84     3.54   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.08R   25.55  
Swindon          38   34  -18      44.88     3.81   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.23R   22.10  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.75     3.75   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   45.30  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2011, Aldershot vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         39   75  +33      86.87     3.54    36.39    96.00    99.91   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              38   64  +11      76.67     3.78    13.65     1.70    61.57    95.35    70.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 38   62  +24      75.26     3.75    27.41     1.92    54.78    93.78    65.41P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            39   60  +18      70.77     3.52    19.75     0.03    11.31    63.22    24.37P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           38   60  +13      73.28     3.77    16.46     0.18    28.76    81.62    41.94P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              39   59  +18      69.61     3.55    19.48     0.01     7.23    51.06    18.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   59  +17      71.91     3.84    19.88     0.10    20.23    72.05    33.90P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.42     3.75    13.60     0.03     9.26    55.85    22.14P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            38   57   +4      68.79     3.71     5.29     0.02     3.58    35.22    10.44P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   37   54   +5      67.24     4.06     6.31     0.00     2.23    24.18     6.04P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.06     3.74    -1.29     0.00     0.13     3.67     0.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   52  +12      65.93     3.80    16.78     0.00     0.87    17.50     5.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            39   52   -4      61.00     3.49    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             38   51   +5      63.56     3.82     7.35     0.00     0.14     5.64     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   47  -11      57.15     3.80   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.08R    0.00  
Macclesfield         37   46  -11      56.09     3.88   -14.54     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.15R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -22      53.79     3.50   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.43R    0.01  
Bradford             37   44  -12      55.19     3.97   -13.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.35R    0.02  
Morecambe            39   43  -14      51.29     3.43   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.64R    0.15  
Northampton          38   42   -7      52.93     3.82    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.40R    0.11  
Hereford             36   41  -14      52.03     4.15   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.27R    0.29  
Burton_Albion        34   37  -10      52.33     4.71   -11.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.54R    0.65  
Barnet               39   35  -22      41.97     3.31   -26.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.74R   35.45  
Stockport            39   35  -43      40.83     3.15   -49.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   63.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 March 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Rushden_&_D'mnds; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       37   84  +48      99.58     4.00    52.84    95.79   100.00    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      40   74  +27      84.52     3.23    30.49     0.05    99.84    22.23P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              36   69  +36      88.97     3.90    46.29     4.16    99.96    47.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.78     3.62    15.76     0.00    86.68    15.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      39   65  +15      75.52     3.46    16.42     0.00    58.48     9.32P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     40   63  +16      72.85     3.17    18.44     0.00    27.67     3.86P    0.00     0.00  
York               38   61   +5      72.07     3.64     5.32     0.00    16.29     2.50P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            37   53  +10      67.55     4.04    13.35     0.00     3.89     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   38   53   +7      63.55     3.73     6.34     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         36   52  +14      67.30     4.22    16.38     0.00     4.40     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          38   52   -2      61.85     3.74    -4.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.76     4.02     4.15     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          40   50   -7      57.99     3.08    -7.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          35   49   +5      65.69     4.51     7.32     0.00     1.83     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          36   49   +4      63.37     4.27     4.92     0.00     0.40     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      40   44   -7      52.99     3.21    -5.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Barrow             38   42  -12      49.89     3.42   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.83R    0.00  
Tamworth           39   42  -16      49.69     3.31   -18.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.09R    0.00  
Southport          38   40   -8      48.62     3.57   -11.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.85R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    40   39  -30      44.69     3.01   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.62R    0.15  
Altrincham         39   39  -35      47.09     3.37   -37.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.29R    0.06  
Forest_Green       40   38  -21      45.30     3.20   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.87R    0.11  
Eastbourne_Boro    39   29  -35      35.29     3.22   -41.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.06R   47.60  
Histon             38   27  -32      34.70     3.47   -37.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   52.07  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5