Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.47     3.41    43.38    71.48    92.05    99.69   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.14     3.89    37.78    18.87    61.53    94.93    99.45   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.53     3.43    41.17     9.60    44.47    91.80    99.09   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.74     3.67    22.21     0.05     1.59    10.73    75.26    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.16     3.74     9.86     0.00     0.37     2.78    23.08    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.23     3.69     8.30     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.09    82.04     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.41     3.74     0.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.01     0.05R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.56     3.69     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.55     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.34     3.64    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.82     0.27R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      46.03     3.49    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     2.05R    0.14  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.39     3.54    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85     2.21R    0.17  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.54    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     3.97R    0.32  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.48     3.50   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.50R    5.56  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.80     3.65   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    11.72R    1.88  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.42   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.69R    7.92  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.84     3.56   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.02R    8.20  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.51     3.44   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.83R   10.07  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.47     3.62   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.15R    5.99  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.54     3.63   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.73R    9.40  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.97     3.35   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.80R   50.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.89     3.71    41.23    96.99    99.65   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.43     3.75    17.28     1.73    43.36    96.33    55.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.29     3.71    18.95     0.87    32.79    94.24    48.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      76.01     3.81    17.02     0.33    13.82    83.69    32.36P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.82     3.86     8.67     0.03     1.77    42.21     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.50     3.72    15.29     0.01     3.19    52.76    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.91     3.97    23.44     0.03     4.12    60.37    21.49P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.88     4.10     7.73     0.01     0.85    25.86     6.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   57   +6      68.53     3.72     6.96     0.00     0.17    13.98     3.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.82     3.86    15.17     0.00     0.19    13.93     3.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.39     3.79     0.60     0.00     0.03     5.71     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.10     3.80    11.76     0.00     0.02     5.88     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.99     3.75     3.51     0.00     0.04     4.64     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.93     3.78    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.48     3.72    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.04R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.39     3.67   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.23R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.08     3.61    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.46R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.62     3.97    -6.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.40     3.63   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.07  
Doncaster        38   42  -20      51.55     3.70   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.24R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.86     3.67   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.44R    0.87  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.21     3.60   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.12R   11.00  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.83     3.39   -41.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.90R   43.56  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.29     3.83   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.38R   44.39  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 March 2011, Brentford vs Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         36   77  +40      94.29     4.25    45.31    93.67    99.33   100.00    99.51P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.79     3.75    21.70     0.35    13.60    97.02    37.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     38   66  +24      79.83     3.81    28.70     0.26    14.94    96.87    38.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.22     4.08    42.62     5.69    68.31    99.64    81.62P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          39   65   +7      74.59     3.49     6.92     0.00     1.01    71.30    13.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.36     4.06    23.88     0.02     2.31    80.63    19.59P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   57  +14      71.71     4.31    15.41     0.00     0.49    41.93     8.05P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         36   54   +7      66.69     4.28     5.51     0.00     0.01     8.32     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         38   52   +2      63.06     3.79     2.09     0.00     0.00     1.28     0.19P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford        38   52   -5      61.37     3.65    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       38   51   -6      62.42     3.73    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       39   50  -16      57.65     3.32   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Charlton         36   49   -1      63.55     4.28     0.17     0.00     0.00     2.10     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.88     4.04    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.01P    0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.66     3.74    -8.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.33     4.33    -0.15     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.03P    1.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     35   42   -4      56.08     4.44    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.02R    0.05  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.57     4.17    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.94R    0.13  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.96     4.12   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.76R    0.57  
Dag_&_Red        35   40   -9      51.35     4.31   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.90R    1.66  
Walsall          39   40  -16      47.91     3.40   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.41R    5.75  
Bristol_Rovers   38   37  -31      44.96     3.53   -36.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.57R   25.19  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.53     3.96   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.57R   18.71  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.63     3.74   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.32R   47.93  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 March 2011, Lincoln_City vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.77     3.81    37.18    96.83    99.95   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.77     3.97    27.64     2.23    63.82    94.69    72.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      75.03     4.07    10.62     0.65    48.97    88.67    58.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            38   59  +17      71.93     3.83    19.91     0.09    24.03    74.46    37.50P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   58  +18      69.97     3.83    19.46     0.05    11.99    57.20    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            38   57  +14      69.07     3.77    15.64     0.00     6.62    45.74    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.65     4.02    15.48     0.08    20.47    69.55    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.32     3.77    13.43     0.05    10.93    57.16    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56   +4      69.06     3.96     5.17     0.01     6.57    40.75    13.71P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   +5      67.47     4.33     6.09     0.01     3.93    28.85     8.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.11     3.72    -1.23     0.00     0.20     4.15     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   52  +12      65.96     3.81    16.84     0.00     1.25    19.73     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.61     4.05     9.38     0.00     1.26    16.83     5.88P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   51   -4      61.49     3.74    -4.58     0.00     0.02     1.71     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   47  -11      57.16     3.79   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   46   -7      57.58     4.15   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         38   46  -22      53.78     3.51   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.46R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.57     4.22   -12.54     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    0.20R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   43  -11      52.76     3.73   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.02  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.31     4.08    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.18R    0.06  
Hereford             36   41  -14      51.95     4.14   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.98R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        34   37  -10      52.18     4.69   -12.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.27R    0.34  
Barnet               38   34  -22      41.82     3.56   -26.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   22.41  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.62     3.39   -51.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   77.03  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Darlington vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       36   83  +48     100.20     4.27    53.23    91.70   100.00    94.31P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.11     3.53    29.84     0.02    99.19    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   69  +37      91.16     4.12    48.62     8.28    99.99    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.80     3.62    15.79     0.00    88.59    15.87P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.47     3.70    14.77     0.00    40.14     6.01P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.40     3.48    17.68     0.00    20.55     2.93P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.16     3.86     5.35     0.00    15.97     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   53   +8      64.61     3.99     6.84     0.00     1.25     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         35   52  +15      69.64     4.43    18.79     0.00    15.50     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   52  +10      68.83     4.23    14.84     0.00    10.41     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.72     4.02     4.07     0.00     0.35     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   49   +6      67.49     4.77     9.03     0.00     7.13     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.83     3.99    -5.73     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   48   +4      63.54     4.55     4.57     0.00     0.89     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   47   -9      56.40     3.37    -9.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.05     3.48    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.56     3.71   -15.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.30     3.47   -20.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.23R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.81     3.30   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.39R    0.17  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.24     3.75   -14.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.02R    0.24  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.14     3.43   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.83R    0.45  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.60     3.53   -39.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.60R    1.32  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   29  -33      36.74     3.49   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   40.65  
Histon             37   27  -31      35.44     3.70   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.43R   57.17  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5