Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.49     3.42    43.39    71.56    92.07    99.65   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.16     3.89    37.82    18.95    61.74    94.69    99.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.56     3.42    41.25     9.42    44.36    91.84    99.04   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.78     3.67    22.24     0.07     1.49    10.98    75.02    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.19     3.76     9.88     0.00     0.34     2.76    23.42    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.21     3.71     8.23     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.07    82.17     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.42     3.72     0.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.10     0.05R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.53     3.67     1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.45     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.32     3.65    -3.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     2.73     0.31R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.98     3.46    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     2.09R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.35     3.53    -2.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     2.18R    0.13  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.15     3.56    -1.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51     3.97R    0.30  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.44     3.51   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.24R    5.63  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.79     3.64   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.69R    1.90  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.20     3.43   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.37R    7.82  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.93     3.57   -20.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    36.16R    8.06  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.49     3.48   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.56R   10.45  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.49     3.65   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.17R    5.96  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.57     3.61   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.22R    9.13  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.96     3.34   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.96R   50.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.88     3.70    41.18    96.94    99.71   100.00    99.78P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.43     3.75    17.29     1.73    43.60    96.81    55.21P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.27     3.73    18.93     0.95    32.69    94.42    48.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.98     3.82    16.99     0.29    13.61    84.24    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.85     3.86     8.73     0.04     1.85    43.45    10.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.48     3.76    15.24     0.02     3.25    53.65    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.88     4.00    23.42     0.02     4.08    60.76    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.80     4.09     7.66     0.01     0.90    26.03     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.78     3.87    15.12     0.00     0.19    14.31     3.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +5      67.48     3.71     5.87     0.00     0.06     8.99     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.43     3.79     0.65     0.00     0.01     5.89     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.05     3.78    11.70     0.00     0.03     6.11     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.98     3.77     3.48     0.00     0.02     5.04     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.95     3.75    -1.95     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.51     3.71    -3.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.42     3.66   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.07     3.60    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.62     3.96    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -19      53.69     3.71   -20.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.54R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.41     3.64   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.81     3.64   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.34R    0.98  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.22     3.61   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R   11.31  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.87     3.40   -41.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.25R   43.29  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.33     3.82   -27.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   44.35  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Brighton vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         36   77  +40      94.32     4.23    45.38    93.25    99.17   100.00    99.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.74     3.76    21.61     0.30    11.78    96.66    34.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.29     4.09    42.75     5.72    63.95    99.61    79.45P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   65  +24      80.86     4.10    29.81     0.70    20.83    97.36    42.73P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   64   +7      75.56     3.77     7.76     0.01     1.91    77.62    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.29     4.06    23.80     0.02     1.94    79.41    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   57  +14      71.69     4.32    15.34     0.00     0.40    39.55     7.57P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.46     4.05     3.17     0.00     0.00     3.01     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.71     4.49     2.95     0.00     0.01     3.93     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       38   51   -6      62.49     3.74    -5.16     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.20     3.61   -16.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Charlton         36   49   -1      63.67     4.28     0.35     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.74     3.89    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.91     4.03    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.02P    0.19R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.61     3.73    -8.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.29     4.31    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    1.07R    0.01  
Notts_County     35   42   -4      56.05     4.43    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.08R    0.05  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.55     4.13    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.78R    0.18  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.94     4.09   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.52R    0.50  
Dag_&_Red        35   40   -9      51.29     4.30   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.39R    1.58  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.82     3.61   -19.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.91R    6.55  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.84     3.78   -37.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.75R   26.86  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.52     3.96   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.62R   17.77  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.61     3.75   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R   46.50  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Aldershot vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.80     3.78    37.22    96.99    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.65     3.99    27.50     2.08    65.05    94.78    73.26P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.99     4.06    10.55     0.70    51.01    89.61    60.75P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   58  +18      69.94     3.81    19.40     0.04    12.91    59.00    24.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            38   57  +14      69.06     3.76    15.63     0.01     7.76    47.97    17.61P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.71     4.02    15.58     0.09    22.75    72.00    35.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.29     3.75    13.42     0.04    11.85    59.34    25.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.11     4.08    13.61     0.03    13.58    57.10    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56   +4      69.10     3.95     5.22     0.02     7.39    43.27    15.23P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   +5      67.49     4.30     6.09     0.01     4.54    30.59     9.24P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.04     3.72    -1.34     0.00     0.18     4.47     0.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   52  +12      65.93     3.77    16.82     0.00     1.38    20.78     6.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.60     4.06     9.37     0.00     1.59    18.40     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   51   -4      61.52     3.76    -4.55     0.00     0.04     2.01     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   47  -11      57.20     3.81   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   46   -7      57.53     4.12   -10.35     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.22     3.80   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.49     4.20   -12.65     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.27R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   43  -11      52.81     3.70   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.15R    0.01  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.41     4.07    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.03R    0.07  
Hereford             36   41  -14      52.06     4.17   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.97R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        34   37  -10      52.17     4.71   -12.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     4.26R    0.28  
Barnet               38   34  -22      41.82     3.54   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.14R   22.31  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.63     3.39   -51.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.84R   77.21  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Darlington vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       36   83  +48     100.26     4.27    53.31    91.71   100.00    94.34P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.10     3.54    29.82     0.02    99.20    20.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   69  +37      91.19     4.11    48.64     8.27    99.98    50.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.81     3.63    15.79     0.00    88.54    15.87P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.46     3.71    14.75     0.00    39.78     6.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.42     3.48    17.73     0.00    20.74     3.03P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.11     3.88     5.27     0.00    15.76     2.45P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   53   +8      64.60     3.98     6.83     0.00     1.19     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         35   52  +15      69.72     4.42    18.93     0.00    16.02     3.46P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   52  +10      68.79     4.24    14.73     0.00    10.28     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.71     4.02     4.09     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   49   +6      67.59     4.73     9.18     0.00     7.27     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.83     3.97    -5.69     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   48   +4      63.48     4.49     4.49     0.00     0.83     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   47   -9      56.44     3.36    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.06     3.48    -4.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.54     3.72   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.38     3.49   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.75     3.30   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.45R    0.20  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.12     3.74   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.45R    0.25  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.11     3.41   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.90R    0.54  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.54     3.51   -39.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.49R    1.44  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   29  -33      36.77     3.51   -39.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.55R   40.39  
Histon             37   27  -31      35.44     3.71   -37.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.40R   57.18  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5