Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.50     3.44    43.37    71.42    91.77    99.66    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.15     3.89    37.83    19.02    61.95    95.06    99.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.55     3.44    41.18     9.52    44.55    92.06    99.15   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.68     3.67    22.12     0.04     1.42    10.41    74.42    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.18     3.74     9.91     0.00     0.31     2.73    23.66    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.27     3.69     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.23    82.55     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.49     3.76     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.10     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.54     3.65     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.01     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.27     3.66    -3.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75     0.32R    0.02  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.98     3.47    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     2.09R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.34     3.54    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.83     2.31R    0.14  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.19     3.55    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.48     3.87R    0.38  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.40     3.48   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.33R    5.58  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.75     3.65   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    11.96R    2.06  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.20     3.45   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.21R    7.98  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.91     3.58   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.32R    8.26  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.51     3.45   -17.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.26R   10.06  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.50     3.65   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    28.14R    6.04  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.55     3.61   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.68R    9.35  
Wigan           30   30  -22      37.01     3.35   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.43R   50.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.96     3.71    41.34    97.11    99.72   100.00    99.79P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.36     3.72    17.21     1.61    43.00    96.60    54.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.32     3.72    18.98     0.89    33.49    94.76    49.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.92     3.83    16.88     0.30    13.47    83.93    31.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.83     3.85     8.69     0.02     1.74    43.14     9.95P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.51     3.72    15.31     0.02     3.14    54.03    16.84P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.88     4.01    23.41     0.05     4.26    61.18    21.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.75     4.09     7.58     0.00     0.85    25.55     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.78     3.85    15.14     0.00     0.15    14.21     3.25P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.37     3.72     4.69     0.00     0.09     8.55     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.42     3.76     0.65     0.00     0.02     5.86     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.22     3.83    12.94     0.00     0.03     6.84     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.02     3.77     3.52     0.00     0.03     5.16     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.78     3.78    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.69     3.69    -1.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.49     3.69   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.17     3.63    -7.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.58     3.99    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.38R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.79     3.72   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.34     3.62   -11.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.78     3.64   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.57R    0.96  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.24     3.60   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.94R   10.84  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.85     3.38   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   43.19  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.27     3.82   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.32R   44.94  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Brighton vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         36   77  +40      94.30     4.22    45.34    93.08    99.17   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.78     3.76    21.70     0.37    11.92    96.79    35.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.28     4.06    42.74     5.83    64.21    99.62    79.19P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   65  +24      80.81     4.08    29.69     0.68    20.61    97.54    42.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   64   +7      75.52     3.75     7.70     0.01     1.77    77.33    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.31     4.06    23.83     0.02     1.95    79.29    18.46P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   57  +14      71.66     4.32    15.32     0.00     0.36    39.59     7.60P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.36     4.04     3.04     0.00     0.00     2.84     0.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.84     4.50     3.15     0.00     0.00     4.11     0.67P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       38   51   -6      62.46     3.75    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.15     3.61   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.31R    0.00  
Charlton         36   49   -1      63.59     4.30     0.24     0.00     0.00     2.03     0.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.71     3.89    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.36R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.95     4.01    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.18R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.62     3.74    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.57R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.27     4.32    -0.23     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    1.12R    0.00  
Notts_County     35   42   -4      56.10     4.46    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    5.04R    0.05  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.57     4.16    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.81R    0.14  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.99     4.13   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.49R    0.50  
Dag_&_Red        35   40   -9      51.33     4.28   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.26R    1.49  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.81     3.59   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.00R    6.53  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.85     3.77   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.81R   26.60  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.51     3.98   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.56R   18.04  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.61     3.74   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   46.64  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Aldershot vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.78     3.80    37.22    96.98    99.98   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.75     3.96    27.61     2.13    66.05    95.28    73.98P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.93     4.08    10.44     0.67    50.38    89.15    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   58  +18      69.96     3.83    19.45     0.03    13.30    59.01    24.64P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            38   57  +14      69.03     3.75    15.59     0.01     7.70    47.99    17.73P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.72     4.01    15.58     0.09    22.90    72.23    35.39P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.26     3.77    13.37     0.03    11.60    59.15    24.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.08     4.08    13.57     0.02    13.31    56.96    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56   +4      69.00     3.96     5.08     0.02     7.19    42.48    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   +5      67.47     4.31     6.09     0.01     4.33    30.67     8.95P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.06     3.72    -1.31     0.00     0.21     4.38     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   52  +12      65.93     3.78    16.78     0.00     1.42    21.16     6.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.66     4.06     9.46     0.00     1.57    18.90     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   51   -4      61.52     3.75    -4.56     0.00     0.04     1.95     0.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           38   47  -11      57.15     3.80   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   46   -7      57.59     4.14   -10.29     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.27     3.83   -20.69     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.25R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.55     4.20   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    0.21R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   43  -11      52.78     3.71   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.02  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.39     4.06    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.07R    0.05  
Hereford             36   41  -14      52.07     4.16   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.86R    0.12  
Burton_Albion        34   37  -10      52.21     4.66   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    4.13R    0.26  
Barnet               38   34  -22      41.79     3.53   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.44R   22.80  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.65     3.39   -51.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.76R   76.75  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Darlington vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       36   83  +48     100.32     4.27    53.38    92.06   100.00    94.68P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.13     3.52    29.87     0.01    99.22    20.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   69  +37      91.17     4.10    48.58     7.92    99.99    50.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.82     3.60    15.79     0.00    88.75    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.43     3.71    14.73     0.00    39.49     5.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.41     3.46    17.69     0.00    20.63     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.14     3.86     5.34     0.00    15.78     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   53   +8      64.60     3.99     6.84     0.00     1.19     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         35   52  +15      69.70     4.43    18.88     0.00    15.86     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   52  +10      68.89     4.21    14.89     0.00    10.63     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.69     4.04     4.06     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   49   +6      67.49     4.73     9.04     0.00     7.23     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.82     3.96    -5.77     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   48   +4      63.48     4.51     4.46     0.00     0.88     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   47   -9      56.43     3.36    -9.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.08     3.50    -4.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.53     3.73   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.34     3.49   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.82     3.29   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.99R    0.17  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.13     3.77   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.74R    0.28  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.12     3.43   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.16R    0.51  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.61     3.51   -39.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.11R    1.28  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   29  -33      36.73     3.54   -39.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.52R   40.50  
Histon             37   27  -31      35.38     3.68   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.56R   57.26  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5