Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.51     3.42    43.41    71.75    91.97    99.70   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.16     3.87    37.83    18.71    61.39    94.95    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.60     3.41    41.29     9.49    44.81    92.22    99.20   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.69     3.66    22.14     0.05     1.50    10.53    74.73    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.14     3.73     9.83     0.00     0.32     2.53    23.52    97.83     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.29     3.68     8.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     3.04    82.37     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.49     3.77     0.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     6.35     0.08R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.52     3.67     1.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.24     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.32     3.66    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.78     0.29R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.99     3.48    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     2.19R    0.15  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.36     3.52    -2.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     2.16R    0.16  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.17     3.55    -1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     4.01R    0.37  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.47     3.50   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.93R    5.45  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.77     3.64   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12    11.83R    2.04  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.18     3.44   -21.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.45R    8.05  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.83     3.55   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.05R    8.30  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.49     3.43   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.17R   10.07  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.50     3.64   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    27.72R    5.93  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.52     3.61   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.71R    9.13  
Wigan           30   30  -22      37.01     3.34   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.38R   50.35  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.93     3.72    41.26    97.05    99.71   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.38     3.74    17.19     1.70    42.97    96.55    54.72P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.30     3.71    18.97     0.88    32.96    94.55    48.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.97     3.81    16.97     0.28    13.84    84.22    32.17P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.83     3.87     8.69     0.03     1.83    43.30    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.47     3.76    15.23     0.01     3.22    53.35    16.47P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.87     4.00    23.39     0.04     4.19    60.89    21.49P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.87     4.11     7.76     0.01     0.96    26.54     7.16P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.79     3.90    15.15     0.00     0.18    14.54     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +5      67.43     3.70     5.79     0.00     0.07     8.63     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.40     3.79     0.62     0.00     0.03     5.86     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +10      66.05     3.80    11.71     0.00     0.02     6.12     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.06     3.75     3.55     0.00     0.04     5.10     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   51   -2      61.96     3.76    -1.92     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   47   -3      57.48     3.70    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -12      56.43     3.64   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.04     3.62    -8.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -7      56.58     3.99    -6.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -19      53.70     3.72   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.48R    0.02  
Coventry         38   42   -8      51.45     3.64   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.13R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.83     3.66   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.00R    0.92  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.22     3.60   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.24R   10.85  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.87     3.40   -41.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.20R   43.05  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.28     3.84   -28.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.30R   45.10  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Brighton vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         36   77  +40      94.26     4.24    45.25    93.03    99.21   100.00    99.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.83     3.75    21.76     0.38    12.18    96.98    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   65  +34      84.28     4.07    42.73     5.94    64.46    99.62    79.28P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     37   65  +24      80.77     4.07    29.65     0.62    20.16    97.36    42.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          38   64   +7      75.45     3.76     7.63     0.01     1.74    76.62    15.11P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.30     4.06    23.81     0.01     1.83    79.70    18.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    36   57  +14      71.68     4.34    15.35     0.00     0.43    39.74     7.52P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.41     4.05     3.10     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.77     4.48     3.08     0.00     0.00     4.06     0.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       38   51   -6      62.43     3.75    -5.23     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.19     3.62   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.31R    0.00  
Charlton         36   49   -1      63.65     4.27     0.31     0.00     0.00     2.11     0.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.77     3.89    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.32R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.89     4.04    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.23R    0.00  
Oldham           38   46   -8      56.60     3.76    -8.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.25     4.31    -0.27     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.13R    0.01  
Notts_County     35   42   -4      56.11     4.42    -5.24     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     4.99R    0.03  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.56     4.19    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.22R    0.15  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.92     4.11   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.84R    0.57  
Dag_&_Red        35   40   -9      51.36     4.32   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.90R    1.60  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.79     3.63   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.26R    6.96  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.90     3.78   -36.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.65R   26.53  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.58     3.97   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.24R   17.65  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.67     3.74   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.17R   46.49  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Aldershot vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.78     3.80    37.20    97.00    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.70     3.99    27.55     2.08    65.54    95.13    73.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.96     4.04    10.50     0.70    50.53    89.61    60.47P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              38   58  +18      69.93     3.81    19.38     0.05    13.07    58.97    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            38   57  +14      68.99     3.76    15.55     0.00     7.55    47.34    17.28P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.74     4.02    15.62     0.09    23.02    72.16    35.27P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.30     3.75    13.44     0.02    11.88    59.57    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.15     4.06    13.68     0.03    13.61    57.55    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            37   56   +4      69.05     3.95     5.15     0.02     7.20    42.71    14.86P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   36   53   +5      67.40     4.32     5.98     0.00     4.38    29.98     9.03P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.02     3.72    -1.34     0.00     0.23     4.46     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                38   52  +12      65.93     3.81    16.81     0.00     1.51    21.12     6.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.65     4.04     9.44     0.00     1.49    18.71     6.58P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            38   51   -4      61.52     3.73    -4.54     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           38   47  -11      57.10     3.80   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield         36   46   -7      57.61     4.12   -10.27     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.27     3.80   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.52     4.21   -12.59     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.24R    0.00  
Morecambe            38   43  -11      52.77     3.70   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.27R    0.02  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.41     4.05    -6.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.06R    0.07  
Hereford             36   41  -14      52.01     4.15   -18.16     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.08R    0.14  
Burton_Albion        34   37  -10      52.30     4.71   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.19R    0.33  
Barnet               38   34  -22      41.85     3.54   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.06R   22.37  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.64     3.40   -51.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.77R   77.07  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 March 2011, Darlington vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       36   83  +48     100.32     4.25    53.39    92.05   100.00    94.57P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.16     3.53    29.92     0.01    99.22    21.04P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              35   69  +37      91.12     4.14    48.51     7.94    99.99    50.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.79     3.62    15.75     0.00    88.59    15.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.46     3.71    14.72     0.00    40.16     6.02P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.38     3.47    17.65     0.00    20.58     2.88P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.13     3.87     5.31     0.00    15.90     2.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   37   53   +8      64.68     3.95     6.93     0.00     1.17     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         35   52  +15      69.69     4.42    18.90     0.00    16.06     3.48P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            36   52  +10      68.80     4.25    14.75     0.00    10.13     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.70     4.01     4.05     0.00     0.33     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          34   49   +6      67.44     4.72     8.91     0.00     6.94     0.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.86     3.98    -5.65     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          35   48   +4      63.51     4.52     4.55     0.00     0.88     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          39   47   -9      56.45     3.38    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.06     3.49    -4.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.54     3.70   -15.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.75R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.35     3.49   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.82     3.29   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.88R    0.18  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.18     3.75   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.17R    0.29  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.10     3.42   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.25R    0.45  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.60     3.53   -39.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.52R    1.28  
Eastbourne_Boro    38   29  -33      36.74     3.52   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   40.52  
Histon             37   27  -31      35.40     3.67   -37.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.62R   57.27  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5