Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.53     3.40    43.43    72.32    92.20    99.70   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.11     3.87    37.79    18.33    61.47    94.85    99.42   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         29   54  +29      73.56     3.42    41.23     9.27    44.46    92.15    99.15   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        30   53  +18      66.71     3.68    22.14     0.07     1.62    10.58    74.75    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.15     3.75     9.83     0.01     0.26     2.64    23.58    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       30   45   +5      58.21     3.70     8.24     0.00     0.00     0.08     3.05    81.82     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.50     3.74     0.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.25     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.58     3.66     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.82     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      30   38   -4      49.31     3.66    -3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.28R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.98     3.48    -5.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     2.02R    0.11  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.36     3.54    -2.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.79     2.22R    0.13  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.18     3.54    -1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.40     3.87R    0.32  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.43     3.50   -16.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    28.57R    5.67  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.77     3.65   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    12.01R    2.02  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.44   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.44R    7.98  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.90     3.58   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.15R    8.34  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.48     3.46   -17.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.63R   10.29  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.48     3.63   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.12R    5.97  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.54     3.60   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.31R    9.38  
Wigan           30   30  -22      37.00     3.35   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.30R   49.77  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.96     3.71    41.33    96.99    99.65   100.00    99.76P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.36     3.75    17.15     1.67    43.40    96.49    55.14P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.24     3.73    18.88     0.92    32.86    94.35    48.24P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.94     3.82    16.91     0.34    13.59    84.08    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.81     3.85     8.65     0.02     1.74    42.87     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.52     3.73    15.31     0.02     3.26    54.12    16.89P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.87     3.99    23.43     0.03     4.27    61.05    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.82     4.08     7.64     0.01     0.90    26.25     6.83P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.84     3.86    15.19     0.00     0.18    14.55     3.36P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.43     3.71     4.77     0.00     0.07     8.68     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.42     3.77     0.64     0.00     0.02     5.78     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.15     3.78    12.86     0.00     0.02     6.39     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.09     3.75     3.65     0.00     0.04     5.21     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.73     3.75    -4.28     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.73     3.73    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.51     3.66   -13.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.14     3.63    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.57     3.97    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.82     3.70   -19.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.14R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.31     3.63   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.53R    0.05  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.78     3.65   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.40R    0.93  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.22     3.58   -27.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.05R   10.75  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.87     3.40   -41.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.19R   42.85  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.23     3.81   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.34R   45.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         35   74  +39      93.18     4.46    45.09    86.02    97.44   100.00    98.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.78     3.75    21.71     0.49     9.45    96.82    33.97P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.23     4.34    30.80     2.43    27.34    98.24    47.62P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   64  +34      84.97     4.32    43.22    11.02    62.86    99.68    78.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.31     4.07    23.81     0.02     1.56    79.99    17.82P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.83     4.03     6.59     0.01     0.70    60.37    11.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   56  +14      72.65     4.55    16.23     0.01     0.65    52.47     9.97P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.46     4.03     3.14     0.00     0.00     3.61     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.83     4.50     3.14     0.00     0.01     4.76     0.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.14     3.60   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.33R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.74     3.89    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.33R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.88     4.01    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.02P    0.22R    0.00  
Charlton         35   48   -1      63.75     4.53    -0.13     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       37   48   -7      61.10     3.98    -5.80     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.12R    0.00  
Oldham           37   46   -7      57.75     3.98    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.73R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.35     4.35    -0.13     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    1.16R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   42   -3      56.92     4.63    -5.04     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.90R    0.05  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.57     4.16    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.62R    0.15  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.93     4.11   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.77R    0.47  
Dag_&_Red        34   39   -9      51.05     4.47   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.25R    2.16  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.81     3.62   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.52R    6.65  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.88     3.80   -36.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.53R   26.45  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.55     3.98   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.23R   17.77  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.64     3.74   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.24R   46.29  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.83     3.80    37.29    97.02    99.97   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.65     3.98    27.49     2.06    65.08    95.25    73.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.94     4.06    10.48     0.67    50.53    89.75    60.39P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.73     4.02    15.60     0.08    23.15    73.08    35.71P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.35     3.75    13.48     0.04    12.44    61.38    26.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.08     4.09    13.58     0.03    13.62    57.75    24.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              37   55  +17      68.78     4.07    19.12     0.04     9.27    48.68    19.33P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   55   +4      69.83     4.20     5.76     0.05    11.13    51.66    19.96P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            37   54  +12      67.33     4.03    13.52     0.00     4.20    32.51    11.08P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.06     3.70    -1.31     0.00     0.24     4.67     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   52   +5      67.46     4.54     5.38     0.01     5.32    32.54    10.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   51  +12      66.80     4.07    17.63     0.00     3.54    30.67    10.49P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.69     4.04     9.48     0.00     1.49    19.87     7.00P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   48   -5      60.28     3.98    -5.00     0.00     0.02     1.31     0.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   47  -10      58.02     4.01   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.23     3.76   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.45R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.55     4.21   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.39R    0.00  
Macclesfield         35   43   -8      55.54     4.36   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.80R    0.01  
Morecambe            37   43  -10      54.55     4.00   -11.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.94R    0.02  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.40     4.05    -6.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.72R    0.08  
Hereford             35   40  -14      52.03     4.36   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.04R    0.22  
Burton_Albion        33   37   -8      53.74     4.94    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P    3.54R    0.21  
Barnet               37   34  -21      42.76     3.78   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.98R   17.91  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.62     3.38   -51.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.04R   81.56  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Altrincham vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       35   80  +47      99.32     4.52    53.43    91.79   100.00    94.44P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.07     3.53    29.77     0.05    98.95    20.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.69     4.39    47.85     8.16    99.93    49.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.79     3.62    15.75     0.00    86.91    15.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.44     3.72    14.72     0.00    36.86     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.42     3.48    17.72     0.00    18.67     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.13     3.90     5.28     0.00    14.58     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   53   +9      65.81     4.21     7.58     0.00     2.32     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.68     4.66    19.77     0.00    21.40     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   51  +10      69.87     4.49    15.86     0.00    15.14     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.74     4.03     4.11     0.00     0.29     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.91     4.01    -5.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.11     4.70     3.25     0.00     0.82     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.02     4.97     8.22     0.00     4.11     0.62P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   46   -9      56.22     3.58   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.03     3.49    -4.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.58     3.72   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.32     3.48   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.44R    0.01  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.81     3.28   -33.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.63R    0.43  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.21     3.75   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.83R    0.53  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.13     3.43   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.77R    0.90  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.59     3.52   -39.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.83R    2.32  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   29  -32      37.53     3.75   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.92R   43.49  
Histon             36   27  -30      36.68     3.98   -36.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.66R   52.32  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5