Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 20 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 30 63 +34 79.53 3.40 43.43 72.32 92.20 99.70 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 58 +30 75.11 3.87 37.79 18.33 61.47 94.85 99.42 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 29 54 +29 73.56 3.42 41.23 9.27 44.46 92.15 99.15 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 53 +18 66.71 3.68 22.14 0.07 1.62 10.58 74.75 99.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 49 +7 63.15 3.75 9.83 0.01 0.26 2.64 23.58 97.84 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 45 +5 58.21 3.70 8.24 0.00 0.00 0.08 3.05 81.82 0.00 0.00 Bolton 30 40 +1 50.50 3.74 0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 6.25 0.07R 0.00 Everton 30 40 +1 51.58 3.66 1.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 9.82 0.03R 0.00 Sunderland 30 38 -4 49.31 3.66 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.73 0.28R 0.01 Stoke 30 37 -2 45.98 3.48 -5.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42 2.02R 0.11 Newcastle 30 36 -1 46.36 3.54 -2.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 2.22R 0.13 Fulham 30 35 +0 45.18 3.54 -1.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.40 3.87R 0.32 Blackburn 30 33 -12 41.43 3.50 -16.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 28.57R 5.67 Aston_Villa 30 33 -14 43.77 3.65 -14.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 12.01R 2.02 Blackpool 30 33 -15 41.19 3.44 -21.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.44R 7.98 West_Brom 30 33 -15 40.90 3.58 -20.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 36.15R 8.34 West_Ham 30 32 -13 40.48 3.46 -17.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.63R 10.29 Wolverhampton 30 32 -14 41.48 3.63 -16.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.12R 5.97 Birmingham 29 31 -13 40.54 3.60 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 37.31R 9.38 Wigan 30 30 -22 37.00 3.35 -28.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.30R 49.77Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 38 76 +37 89.96 3.71 41.33 96.99 99.65 100.00 99.76P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 67 +15 79.36 3.75 17.15 1.67 43.40 96.49 55.14P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 66 +17 78.24 3.73 18.88 0.92 32.86 94.35 48.24P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 63 +14 75.94 3.82 16.91 0.34 13.59 84.08 32.08P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 61 +9 71.81 3.85 8.65 0.02 1.74 42.87 9.82P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 60 +13 72.52 3.73 15.31 0.02 3.26 54.12 16.89P 0.00 0.00 Reading 37 57 +18 72.87 3.99 23.43 0.03 4.27 61.05 21.52P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 37 57 +7 69.82 4.08 7.64 0.01 0.90 26.25 6.83P 0.00 0.00 Watford 38 56 +14 67.84 3.86 15.19 0.00 0.18 14.55 3.36P 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 56 +4 67.43 3.71 4.77 0.00 0.07 8.68 2.16P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 38 55 +0 66.42 3.77 0.64 0.00 0.02 5.78 1.37P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 38 54 +11 66.15 3.78 12.86 0.00 0.02 6.39 1.38P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 38 54 +2 66.09 3.75 3.65 0.00 0.04 5.21 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 38 50 -4 60.73 3.75 -4.28 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 38 49 -1 59.73 3.73 -1.31 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Barnsley 38 47 -11 56.51 3.66 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31R 0.00 Derby 38 44 -5 53.14 3.63 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.67R 0.01 Middlesbrough 37 44 -8 56.57 3.97 -7.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.36R 0.00 Doncaster 38 44 -18 53.82 3.70 -19.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.14R 0.01 Coventry 38 42 -9 51.31 3.63 -11.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.53R 0.05 Crystal_Palace 38 39 -22 48.78 3.65 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.40R 0.93 Sheff_Utd 38 35 -25 44.22 3.58 -27.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.05R 10.75 Scunthorpe 38 34 -35 40.87 3.40 -41.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.19R 42.85 Preston 37 31 -23 40.23 3.81 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.34R 45.41League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 35 74 +39 93.18 4.46 45.09 86.02 97.44 100.00 98.23P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 38 67 +19 79.78 3.75 21.71 0.49 9.45 96.82 33.97P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 36 65 +25 82.23 4.34 30.80 2.43 27.34 98.24 47.62P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 35 64 +34 84.97 4.32 43.22 11.02 62.86 99.68 78.67P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 37 61 +21 75.31 4.07 23.81 0.02 1.56 79.99 17.82P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 61 +6 73.83 4.03 6.59 0.01 0.70 60.37 11.45P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 35 56 +14 72.65 4.55 16.23 0.01 0.65 52.47 9.97P 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 37 52 +3 64.46 4.03 3.14 0.00 0.00 3.61 0.59P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 35 51 +5 64.83 4.50 3.14 0.00 0.01 4.76 0.84P 0.00R 0.00 Hartlepool 38 50 -14 59.14 3.60 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.33R 0.00 Brentford 37 49 -6 59.74 3.89 -8.21 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.33R 0.00 Exeter 37 49 -8 60.88 4.01 -8.79 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.02P 0.22R 0.00 Charlton 35 48 -1 63.75 4.53 -0.13 0.00 0.00 3.14 0.73P 0.05R 0.00 Colchester 37 48 -7 61.10 3.98 -5.80 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.12R 0.00 Oldham 37 46 -7 57.75 3.98 -7.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 1.73R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 36 43 -4 59.35 4.35 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 1.16R 0.01 Notts_County 34 42 -3 56.92 4.63 -5.04 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 3.90R 0.05 Tranmere 36 42 -8 54.57 4.16 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 8.62R 0.15 Yeovil 36 41 -17 52.93 4.11 -19.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.77R 0.47 Dag_&_Red 34 39 -9 51.05 4.47 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.25R 2.16 Walsall 38 39 -16 47.81 3.62 -19.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.52R 6.65 Bristol_Rovers 37 36 -31 44.88 3.80 -36.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.53R 26.45 Swindon 37 34 -17 45.55 3.98 -18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.23R 17.77 Plymouth 38 33 -18 42.64 3.74 -20.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.24R 46.29 Adjustments: Plymouth -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 38 74 +33 87.83 3.80 37.29 97.02 99.97 100.00 99.97P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 61 +24 75.65 3.98 27.49 2.06 65.08 95.25 73.28P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 61 +8 74.94 4.06 10.48 0.67 50.53 89.75 60.39P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 37 57 +12 71.73 4.02 15.60 0.08 23.15 73.08 35.71P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 38 57 +10 70.35 3.75 13.48 0.04 12.44 61.38 26.51P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 37 56 +11 70.08 4.09 13.58 0.03 13.62 57.75 24.85P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 37 55 +17 68.78 4.07 19.12 0.04 9.27 48.68 19.33P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 36 55 +4 69.83 4.20 5.76 0.05 11.13 51.66 19.96P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 54 +12 67.33 4.03 13.52 0.00 4.20 32.51 11.08P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 38 53 +0 63.06 3.70 -1.31 0.00 0.24 4.67 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 35 52 +5 67.46 4.54 5.38 0.01 5.32 32.54 10.04P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 37 51 +12 66.80 4.07 17.63 0.00 3.54 30.67 10.49P 0.00 0.00 Southend 37 51 +6 65.69 4.04 9.48 0.00 1.49 19.87 7.00P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 37 48 -5 60.28 3.98 -5.00 0.00 0.02 1.31 0.30P 0.01R 0.00 Cheltenham 37 47 -10 58.02 4.01 -12.27 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.07P 0.08R 0.00 Lincoln_City 37 46 -16 55.23 3.76 -20.77 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.45R 0.00 Bradford 36 44 -11 56.55 4.21 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.39R 0.00 Macclesfield 35 43 -8 55.54 4.36 -11.94 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.80R 0.01 Morecambe 37 43 -10 54.55 4.00 -11.32 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.94R 0.02 Northampton 37 41 -7 53.40 4.05 -6.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.72R 0.08 Hereford 35 40 -14 52.03 4.36 -18.73 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.04R 0.22 Burton_Albion 33 37 -8 53.74 4.94 -9.77 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 3.54R 0.21 Barnet 37 34 -21 42.76 3.78 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.98R 17.91 Stockport 38 32 -44 38.62 3.38 -51.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.04R 81.56Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Altrincham vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 35 80 +47 99.32 4.52 53.43 91.79 100.00 94.44P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 71 +26 83.07 3.53 29.77 0.05 98.95 20.50P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 66 +36 89.69 4.39 47.85 8.16 99.93 49.81P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 66 +13 78.79 3.62 15.75 0.00 86.91 15.53P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 38 62 +14 73.44 3.72 14.72 0.00 36.86 5.85P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 60 +15 71.42 3.48 17.72 0.00 18.67 2.66P 0.00 0.00 York 37 58 +4 71.13 3.90 5.28 0.00 14.58 2.25P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 36 53 +9 65.81 4.21 7.58 0.00 2.32 0.40P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 34 51 +15 70.68 4.66 19.77 0.00 21.40 4.85P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 51 +10 69.87 4.49 15.86 0.00 15.14 2.98P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 51 +5 62.74 4.03 4.11 0.00 0.29 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 37 49 -3 59.91 4.01 -5.58 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 47 +4 63.11 4.70 3.25 0.00 0.82 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 46 +5 66.02 4.97 8.22 0.00 4.11 0.62P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 38 46 -9 56.22 3.58 -10.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 39 43 -7 54.03 3.49 -4.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Barrow 37 42 -11 51.58 3.72 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77R 0.00 Tamworth 38 41 -16 49.32 3.48 -20.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.44R 0.01 Hayes_&_Yeading 39 39 -29 45.81 3.28 -33.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.63R 0.43 Southport 37 37 -9 46.21 3.75 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.83R 0.53 Forest_Green 39 37 -21 45.13 3.43 -23.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.77R 0.90 Altrincham 38 36 -36 44.59 3.52 -39.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.83R 2.32 Eastbourne_Boro 37 29 -32 37.53 3.75 -39.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.92R 43.49 Histon 36 27 -30 36.68 3.98 -36.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.66R 52.32 Adjustments: Histon -5 Kidderminster -5