Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 March 2011 at 11:36:12 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.46     3.41    43.36    72.74    92.92    99.60   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.15     3.88    37.82    19.70    65.52    94.28    99.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.44     3.83    23.12     0.23     3.49    18.22    79.26    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.70     3.66    40.42     7.33    37.69    84.85    97.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.17     3.75     9.85     0.00     0.37     3.01    21.98    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.58     3.93     6.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.34    67.33     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.44     3.75     0.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.01     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.51     3.66     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.58     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.68     3.88    -1.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    10.43     0.16R    0.00  
Stoke           30   37   -2      46.02     3.47    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66     2.04R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.40     3.56    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28     2.25R    0.16  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.21     3.55    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70     3.79R    0.31  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.45     3.50   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    27.90R    5.53  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.81     3.64   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    11.64R    1.95  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.18     3.43   -21.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.38R    7.67  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.87     3.57   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.41R    8.24  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.47     3.43   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.48R   10.19  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.51     3.66   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    28.06R    5.78  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.51     3.61   -17.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    37.75R    9.49  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.95     3.33   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.05R   50.57  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      90.02     3.71    41.40    97.11    99.73   100.00    99.80P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.36     3.75    17.20     1.58    43.30    96.51    54.91P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.26     3.75    18.92     0.91    32.69    94.38    47.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.95     3.81    16.96     0.34    13.60    84.06    32.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.76     3.86     8.56     0.02     1.73    42.47     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.51     3.73    15.30     0.01     3.33    53.94    16.93P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.89     4.01    23.45     0.03     4.43    61.26    21.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.82     4.11     7.68     0.00     0.89    26.48     6.68P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.83     3.89    15.19     0.00     0.20    14.72     3.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.36     3.70     4.70     0.00     0.04     8.26     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.41     3.79     0.64     0.00     0.02     6.08     1.44P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.20     3.80    12.91     0.00     0.03     6.72     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.98     3.76     3.50     0.00     0.03     4.96     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.77     3.76    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.74     3.72    -1.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.52     3.68   -13.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.14     3.61    -8.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.67R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.45     3.99    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.47R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.77     3.71   -19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.33     3.64   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.57R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.85     3.66   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.28R    0.99  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.26     3.60   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.96R   10.80  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.86     3.39   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.15R   42.92  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.24     3.83   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.27R   45.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         35   74  +39      93.25     4.45    45.20    86.26    97.41   100.00    98.21P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.78     3.78    21.71     0.54     9.49    96.59    34.17P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.26     4.36    30.84     2.52    27.64    98.17    47.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   64  +34      84.95     4.32    43.18    10.63    62.41    99.66    78.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.33     4.08    23.83     0.03     1.59    79.97    18.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.88     4.04     6.64     0.01     0.76    60.94    11.41P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   56  +14      72.69     4.55    16.27     0.01     0.69    52.87     9.85P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.40     4.04     3.07     0.00     0.00     3.41     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.84     4.51     3.16     0.00     0.00     4.54     0.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.19     3.60   -16.96     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.31R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.78     3.89    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.27R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.90     4.06    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.22R    0.00  
Charlton         35   48   -1      63.69     4.55    -0.21     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.66P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       37   48   -7      61.06     3.99    -5.85     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.14R    0.00  
Oldham           37   46   -7      57.76     4.00    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.78R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.27     4.30    -0.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.97R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   42   -3      56.93     4.63    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.95R    0.05  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.58     4.19    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.77R    0.12  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.93     4.12   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.72R    0.45  
Dag_&_Red        34   39   -9      51.04     4.48   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.52R    2.18  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.79     3.63   -19.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.48R    6.85  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.87     3.78   -36.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.70R   26.21  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.55     3.97   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.06R   17.63  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.62     3.74   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.06R   46.49  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.78     3.80    37.22    97.05    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.68     3.99    27.53     2.04    65.08    95.09    73.15P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.96     4.06    10.49     0.68    50.67    89.81    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.77     4.02    15.66     0.06    23.50    73.17    36.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.27     3.75    13.40     0.02    11.90    60.52    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.14     4.09    13.66     0.03    13.94    58.45    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              37   55  +17      68.79     4.07    19.13     0.03     9.19    48.66    19.15P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   55   +4      69.89     4.19     5.79     0.06    11.29    52.02    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            37   54  +12      67.34     4.04    13.53     0.00     4.10    32.82    11.11P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.03     3.73    -1.37     0.00     0.21     4.74     0.99P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   52   +5      67.51     4.54     5.44     0.01     5.34    32.41    10.22P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   51  +12      66.77     4.06    17.59     0.00     3.27    30.30    10.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.65     4.07     9.44     0.00     1.53    19.57     6.96P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   48   -5      60.28     4.02    -5.00     0.00     0.02     1.48     0.31P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   47  -10      58.08     4.02   -12.17     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P    0.11R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.24     3.80   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.44R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.55     4.23   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.42R    0.00  
Macclesfield         35   43   -8      55.53     4.35   -11.94     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    0.77R    0.01  
Morecambe            37   43  -10      54.50     3.98   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.00R    0.01  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.35     4.06    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.75R    0.05  
Hereford             35   40  -14      52.00     4.34   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.11R    0.16  
Burton_Albion        33   37   -8      53.68     4.92    -9.86     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    3.61R    0.22  
Barnet               37   34  -21      42.79     3.76   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.78R   18.11  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.67     3.39   -51.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.00R   81.43  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Altrincham vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       35   80  +47      99.32     4.48    53.44    92.12   100.00    94.60P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.12     3.56    29.85     0.05    99.00    20.75P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.62     4.40    47.76     7.83    99.95    48.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.86     3.64    15.81     0.00    87.15    15.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   62  +14      73.44     3.69    14.71     0.00    36.53     5.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.41     3.46    17.71     0.00    18.56     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.16     3.90     5.33     0.00    14.78     2.38P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   53   +9      65.78     4.21     7.53     0.00     2.47     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.65     4.63    19.71     0.00    20.79     4.88P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   51  +10      69.99     4.47    16.04     0.00    15.49     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.72     4.00     4.11     0.00     0.24     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.87     3.98    -5.66     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.06     4.68     3.19     0.00     0.74     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.04     4.98     8.26     0.00     4.28     0.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   46   -9      56.17     3.61   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.08     3.49    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.53     3.73   -15.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.73R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.29     3.48   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.54R    0.02  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.86     3.30   -33.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.16R    0.43  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.20     3.76   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.25R    0.58  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.10     3.42   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.73R    1.03  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.57     3.50   -39.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.95R    2.47  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   29  -32      37.54     3.74   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.96R   43.52  
Histon             36   27  -30      36.71     3.98   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.53R   51.94  

Adjustments:
Histon             -5
Kidderminster      -5