Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 March 2011 at 11:25:19 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.46     3.42    43.35    73.06    92.91    99.58    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.17     3.87    37.87    19.41    66.20    94.50    99.48   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.41     3.87    23.09     0.22     3.66    18.76    79.15    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.58     3.69    40.18     7.32    36.82    83.97    97.65   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.16     3.75     9.89     0.01     0.41     3.16    22.25    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.61     3.94     6.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.36    67.67     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.44     3.74     0.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.61     0.06R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.59     3.67     1.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    12.97     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.69     3.87    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    10.29     0.15R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      46.03     3.50    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68     2.09R    0.12  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.38     3.56    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13     2.17R    0.15  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.21     3.55    -1.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65     3.75R    0.32  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.46     3.50   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    27.90R    5.66  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.78     3.65   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    11.93R    2.09  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.45   -21.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.45R    7.91  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.91     3.58   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    35.99R    8.14  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.49     3.44   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.43R    9.83  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.46     3.65   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    28.51R    6.11  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.53     3.61   -17.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.75R    9.29  
Wigan           30   30  -22      36.97     3.33   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.79R   50.38  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.94     3.72    41.28    96.96    99.63   100.00    99.73P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.42     3.77    17.26     1.66    43.77    96.53    55.24P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.26     3.73    18.91     0.96    32.49    94.48    48.04P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      75.97     3.83    16.97     0.33    13.91    84.31    32.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.84     3.85     8.69     0.03     1.78    43.22     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.50     3.77    15.28     0.02     3.26    54.07    16.76P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.87     3.99    23.44     0.03     4.01    60.98    21.76P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.78     4.07     7.60     0.00     0.86    25.90     6.56P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.80     3.86    15.16     0.00     0.17    14.31     3.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.38     3.70     4.72     0.00     0.05     8.46     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.41     3.77     0.61     0.00     0.01     5.82     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.28     3.78    13.00     0.00     0.03     6.88     1.62P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      65.97     3.75     3.47     0.00     0.02     4.85     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.79     3.79    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.72     3.71    -1.34     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.53     3.68   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.11     3.62    -8.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.68R    0.01  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.52     3.98    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.47R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.76     3.73   -19.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.01  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.39     3.64   -11.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.06  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.78     3.64   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.70R    0.88  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.25     3.59   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.53R   10.80  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.89     3.41   -41.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.28R   42.73  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.23     3.81   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.32R   45.50  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         35   74  +39      93.26     4.43    45.19    86.39    97.61   100.00    98.35P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.76     3.75    21.66     0.50     9.35    96.89    33.93P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.28     4.36    30.87     2.56    27.65    98.31    47.91P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   64  +34      84.94     4.33    43.17    10.51    62.39    99.66    78.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.33     4.04    23.84     0.03     1.51    80.29    17.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.86     4.05     6.60     0.00     0.78    60.36    11.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   56  +14      72.72     4.56    16.33     0.02     0.71    52.91    10.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.43     4.04     3.13     0.00     0.00     3.37     0.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.71     4.49     2.98     0.00     0.00     4.40     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.22     3.61   -16.92     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.29R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.78     3.93    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.29R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.88     4.04    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P    0.21R    0.00  
Charlton         35   48   -1      63.81     4.51    -0.03     0.00     0.00     2.94     0.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       37   48   -7      61.17     3.98    -5.72     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.16R    0.00  
Oldham           37   46   -7      57.75     3.99    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.77R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.27     4.30    -0.25     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.97R    0.01  
Notts_County     34   42   -3      56.90     4.61    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.95R    0.06  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.56     4.16    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.89R    0.12  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.90     4.11   -19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.03R    0.53  
Dag_&_Red        34   39   -9      51.07     4.46   -16.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.99R    2.04  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.79     3.62   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.30R    6.63  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.84     3.77   -37.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.73R   26.40  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.54     3.97   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.08R   17.57  
Plymouth         38   33  -18      42.60     3.75   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.31R   46.62  

Adjustments:
Plymouth         -10


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.79     3.79    37.22    97.09    99.96   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.71     3.96    27.55     2.07    65.22    95.32    73.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.99     4.07    10.55     0.63    50.79    89.94    60.84P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.78     4.03    15.70     0.07    23.27    73.31    35.94P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.33     3.74    13.48     0.02    12.06    61.16    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.16     4.10    13.67     0.02    13.89    58.56    25.53P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              37   55  +17      68.80     4.09    19.15     0.03     9.19    48.84    19.31P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   55   +4      69.92     4.19     5.86     0.06    11.48    52.51    20.15P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            37   54  +12      67.23     3.99    13.39     0.00     3.89    31.85    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.00     3.73    -1.41     0.00     0.22     4.74     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   52   +5      67.51     4.56     5.46     0.01     5.39    32.42    10.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   51  +12      66.71     4.05    17.51     0.00     3.14    29.77    10.07P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.61     4.07     9.41     0.00     1.48    19.28     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   48   -5      60.28     4.01    -4.98     0.00     0.02     1.41     0.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   47  -10      58.07     4.00   -12.17     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.07P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.24     3.80   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.47R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.51     4.18   -12.64     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.32R    0.00  
Macclesfield         35   43   -8      55.58     4.38   -11.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.83R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   43  -10      54.51     4.00   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.95R    0.01  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.38     4.06    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.75R    0.08  
Hereford             35   40  -14      51.97     4.38   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.25R    0.20  
Burton_Albion        33   37   -8      53.77     4.94    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    3.54R    0.20  
Barnet               37   34  -21      42.77     3.78   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.87R   17.85  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.62     3.39   -51.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   81.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Altrincham vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       35   80  +47      99.29     4.49    53.36    91.98   100.00    94.54P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.11     3.54    29.83     0.06    98.15    20.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.48     3.71    14.76     0.00    76.06    12.22P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.65     4.40    47.83     7.96    99.87    50.17P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.81     3.61    15.75     0.00    80.92    14.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.46     3.48    17.76     0.00    10.64     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.15     3.88     5.31     0.00     8.08     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   53   +9      65.82     4.23     7.58     0.00     1.31     0.21P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.66     4.62    19.74     0.00    13.07     2.94P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   51  +10      69.92     4.46    15.95     0.00     9.01     1.70P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.74     4.00     4.14     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.85     3.98    -5.68     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.14     4.70     3.32     0.00     0.47     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.04     4.98     8.31     0.00     2.29     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   46   -9      56.18     3.57   -10.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.07     3.49    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.56     3.69   -15.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.34     3.48   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.49R    0.08  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.80     3.28   -33.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.03R    1.34  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.19     3.75   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.84R    1.76  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.15     3.42   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.98R    2.23  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.57     3.52   -39.95     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.15R    6.24  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.59     3.96   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.93R   19.81  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   29  -32      37.51     3.75   -39.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.28R   68.53