Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Aston_Villa vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         30   63  +34      79.52     3.41    43.43    73.34    93.20    99.67   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         29   58  +30      75.18     3.90    37.86    19.52    66.17    94.41    99.45   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.46     3.84    23.15     0.21     3.55    18.71    79.52    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.60     3.68    40.22     6.93    36.67    84.22    97.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       29   49   +7      63.13     3.74     9.80     0.01     0.40     2.95    21.77    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.58     3.95     6.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.40    67.54     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          30   40   +1      50.42     3.76     0.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.53     0.07R    0.00  
Everton         30   40   +1      51.59     3.66     1.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.03     0.02R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.65     3.89    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    10.29     0.18R    0.01  
Stoke           30   37   -2      45.99     3.50    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.74     2.22R    0.14  
Newcastle       30   36   -1      46.39     3.54    -2.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14     2.08R    0.14  
Fulham          30   35   +0      45.20     3.55    -1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72     3.70R    0.27  
Blackburn       30   33  -12      41.43     3.50   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    28.41R    5.57  
Aston_Villa     30   33  -14      43.83     3.65   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18    11.61R    2.02  
Blackpool       30   33  -15      41.19     3.44   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.36R    7.85  
West_Brom       30   33  -15      40.87     3.56   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    36.56R    8.35  
West_Ham        30   32  -13      40.44     3.45   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.87R   10.57  
Wolverhampton   30   32  -14      41.48     3.63   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    28.01R    5.80  
Birmingham      29   31  -13      40.55     3.62   -17.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.51R    9.34  
Wigan           30   30  -22      37.00     3.33   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.40R   49.94  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Barnsley vs Reading; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              38   76  +37      89.99     3.74    41.40    96.92    99.64   100.00    99.75P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          38   67  +15      79.38     3.76    17.21     1.71    43.10    96.57    54.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   66  +17      78.27     3.70    18.91     0.92    32.73    94.51    48.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          38   63  +14      76.00     3.82    17.03     0.37    14.04    84.50    32.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     38   61   +9      71.72     3.87     8.50     0.02     1.71    41.99     9.70P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    38   60  +13      72.53     3.74    15.34     0.01     3.33    54.02    16.70P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          37   57  +18      72.92     4.00    23.47     0.03     4.24    61.40    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          37   57   +7      69.79     4.10     7.62     0.00     0.87    26.17     6.70P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          38   56  +14      67.87     3.87    15.25     0.00     0.20    14.87     3.57P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   56   +4      67.33     3.72     4.65     0.00     0.08     8.25     1.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   55   +0      66.38     3.78     0.57     0.00     0.01     5.74     1.21P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         38   54  +11      66.25     3.79    12.96     0.00     0.04     6.68     1.49P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       38   54   +2      66.04     3.76     3.58     0.00     0.02     5.12     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     38   50   -4      60.81     3.76    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          38   49   -1      59.69     3.70    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Barnsley         38   47  -11      56.46     3.67   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.31R    0.00  
Derby            38   44   -5      53.12     3.63    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    37   44   -8      56.56     3.96    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.39R    0.00  
Doncaster        38   44  -18      53.78     3.72   -19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.33R    0.02  
Coventry         38   42   -9      51.28     3.63   -11.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.07  
Crystal_Palace   38   39  -22      48.83     3.67   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.13R    0.90  
Sheff_Utd        38   35  -25      44.23     3.58   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.92R   10.78  
Scunthorpe       38   34  -35      40.83     3.38   -41.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.31R   43.25  
Preston          37   31  -23      40.26     3.82   -28.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.26R   44.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         35   74  +39      93.22     4.47    45.13    86.06    97.43   100.00    98.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     38   67  +19      79.80     3.76    21.73     0.54     9.55    96.92    34.04P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.30     4.37    30.91     2.61    28.19    98.24    48.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      35   64  +34      84.89     4.33    43.11    10.73    61.88    99.63    77.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      37   61  +21      75.31     4.09    23.80     0.02     1.48    79.91    17.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.83     4.03     6.58     0.02     0.78    60.68    11.51P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    35   56  +14      72.64     4.53    16.22     0.02     0.69    52.56    10.23P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         37   52   +3      64.43     4.04     3.13     0.00     0.00     3.52     0.63P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale         35   51   +5      64.77     4.51     3.06     0.00     0.00     4.59     0.81P    0.03R    0.00  
Hartlepool       38   50  -14      59.14     3.60   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.10R    0.00  
Brentford        37   49   -6      59.70     3.87    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.80R    0.00  
Exeter           37   49   -8      60.92     4.02    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.61R    0.00  
Charlton         35   48   -1      63.73     4.53    -0.14     0.00     0.00     2.97     0.68P    0.13R    0.00  
Colchester       37   48   -7      61.13     3.98    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.32R    0.00  
Oldham           37   46   -7      57.79     4.00    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.53R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        36   43   -4      59.37     4.30    -0.08     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    2.05R    0.04  
Plymouth         38   43  -18      52.63     3.73   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.83R    1.11  
Notts_County     34   42   -3      56.95     4.59    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.12R    0.17  
Tranmere         36   42   -8      54.55     4.14    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.56R    0.47  
Yeovil           36   41  -17      52.95     4.14   -19.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.71R    1.74  
Dag_&_Red        34   39   -9      51.04     4.48   -16.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.77R    4.44  
Walsall          38   39  -16      47.78     3.62   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.97R   12.84  
Bristol_Rovers   37   36  -31      44.83     3.78   -37.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.22R   48.27  
Swindon          37   34  -17      45.58     3.96   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.24R   30.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.85     3.80    37.31    97.05    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 37   61  +24      75.67     3.96    27.50     2.00    65.34    95.25    73.69P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              37   61   +8      74.93     4.07    10.47     0.71    50.43    89.55    60.11P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           37   57  +12      71.76     4.00    15.64     0.09    23.39    73.38    36.24P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           38   57  +10      70.30     3.76    13.40     0.02    12.16    60.91    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.07     4.09    13.56     0.03    13.59    57.97    24.99P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              37   55  +17      68.71     4.07    19.07     0.03     8.89    48.27    18.79P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            36   55   +4      69.96     4.18     5.91     0.05    11.73    53.08    20.85P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            37   54  +12      67.28     4.01    13.44     0.00     4.09    32.04    10.79P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           38   53   +0      63.00     3.73    -1.40     0.00     0.20     4.64     1.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   35   52   +5      67.48     4.57     5.42     0.02     5.44    32.89    10.24P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                37   51  +12      66.73     4.07    17.52     0.01     3.24    30.07    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.58     4.06     9.38     0.00     1.49    19.56     6.78P    0.00     0.00  
Aldershot            37   48   -5      60.31     4.01    -4.95     0.00     0.03     1.43     0.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           37   47  -10      58.05     4.01   -12.22     0.00     0.01     0.40     0.07P    0.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         37   46  -16      55.29     3.81   -20.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    0.49R    0.00  
Bradford             36   44  -11      56.60     4.23   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P    0.40R    0.00  
Macclesfield         35   43   -8      55.55     4.35   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.66R    0.00  
Morecambe            37   43  -10      54.52     3.98   -11.34     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.05R    0.02  
Northampton          37   41   -7      53.42     4.08    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.62R    0.06  
Hereford             35   40  -14      51.98     4.33   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.97R    0.16  
Burton_Albion        33   37   -8      53.77     4.91    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    3.44R    0.16  
Barnet               37   34  -21      42.74     3.78   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.20R   18.05  
Stockport            38   32  -44      38.63     3.38   -51.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.05R   81.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 March 2011, Altrincham vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       35   80  +47      99.29     4.48    53.37    92.10   100.00    94.62P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.11     3.54    29.84     0.06    98.05    20.61P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.45     3.73    14.75     0.00    75.50    11.80P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.62     4.38    47.77     7.84    99.86    49.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            38   66  +13      78.84     3.63    15.83     0.00    81.20    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     39   60  +15      71.42     3.47    17.72     0.00    10.39     1.50P    0.00     0.00  
York               37   58   +4      71.20     3.88     5.37     0.00     8.17     1.37P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   36   53   +9      65.71     4.22     7.44     0.00     1.25     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.71     4.64    19.81     0.00    13.10     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            35   51  +10      69.99     4.49    16.04     0.00     9.48     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     37   51   +5      62.71     4.01     4.09     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          37   49   -3      59.80     3.97    -5.75     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.18     4.70     3.37     0.00     0.45     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.05     4.96     8.28     0.00     2.38     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          38   46   -9      56.19     3.58   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      39   43   -7      54.06     3.49    -4.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Barrow             37   42  -11      51.56     3.71   -15.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.13R    0.01  
Tamworth           38   41  -16      49.34     3.49   -20.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.56R    0.06  
Hayes_&_Yeading    39   39  -29      45.78     3.27   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.99R    1.38  
Southport          37   37   -9      46.20     3.76   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.89R    1.74  
Forest_Green       39   37  -21      45.17     3.44   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.77R    2.18  
Altrincham         38   36  -36      44.53     3.50   -39.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.35R    6.47  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.64     3.95   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.80R   19.56  
Eastbourne_Boro    37   29  -32      37.50     3.72   -39.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.28R   68.59