Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.00     3.56    44.50    63.92    90.33    99.19    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.37     4.11    39.19    29.08    73.46    95.44    99.37   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.52     3.87    23.29     0.19     3.14    17.67    73.01    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.66     3.67    40.25     6.76    32.31    82.18    96.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.45     3.99    11.35     0.04     0.76     5.49    29.73    98.70     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.46     3.96     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.09    65.68     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.66     3.86    -1.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.55     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.70     3.89    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.63     0.09R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.27     3.90     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.46     0.16R    0.01  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.08     3.85     2.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.14     0.83R    0.03  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.20     3.76    -0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64     2.01R    0.09  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.08     3.71    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.51R    0.71  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.98     3.91   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92     4.22R    0.40  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.45     3.77   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    18.60R    2.22  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.97     3.67   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.65R    6.56  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.53     3.77   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    37.73R    6.80  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.88     3.84   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    22.46R    3.81  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      40.04     3.63   -19.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.50R    8.64  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.14     3.85   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    48.49R   12.30  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.32     3.62   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.70R   58.45  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.51     4.01    40.59    92.87    98.67   100.00    99.04P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   66  +15      79.48     4.00    16.83     4.13    44.47    94.21    55.48P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.69     3.97    18.04     1.07    20.75    83.35    36.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.35     4.07    16.99     1.24    17.16    80.74    34.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.43     4.15    11.05     0.30     5.31    53.47    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.77     3.97    16.21     0.23     7.20    60.15    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   57   +9      71.42     4.33     9.98     0.08     2.67    35.75    10.58P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   56  +15      69.14     4.12    16.06     0.01     0.73    20.53     5.15P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   55   +4      67.98     3.97     5.04     0.00     0.18    10.00     2.40P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      68.00     4.03     1.94     0.00     0.14    10.59     2.59P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.50     4.27    22.77     0.07     2.60    42.17    14.57P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +11      66.58     4.02    12.95     0.00     0.11     7.25     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.08     4.01     2.13     0.00     0.01     1.71     0.41P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     37   47   -6      58.96     4.02    -6.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -10      57.73     3.95   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   46   -3      58.66     3.97    -2.46     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   44  -17      54.94     3.97   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.07R    0.00  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.33     3.88    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.65R    0.00  
Coventry         37   42   -8      52.66     3.89   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -9      54.88     4.24    -8.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.19R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.18     3.90   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.33R    0.57  
Scunthorpe       37   34  -33      41.77     3.64   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.65R   23.98  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.44     3.84   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.41R   19.16  
Preston          36   28  -24      38.70     4.08   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.50R   56.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.90     4.69    44.58    82.05    94.68   100.00    96.30P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   66  +19      80.85     4.01    22.77     1.98    16.85    96.75    38.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.35     4.36    31.01     4.26    31.35    97.70    49.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.84     4.57    41.96    11.38    50.65    98.77    70.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.74     4.29    24.94     0.24     3.81    83.27    20.23P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.85     4.05     6.61     0.01     0.85    52.61     9.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   56  +15      74.14     4.78    17.46     0.09     1.81    60.01    12.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   50  -11      60.65     3.87   -13.75     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   49   +2      62.86     4.29     2.17     0.00     0.00     1.60     0.25P    0.08R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.72     4.28    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.08P    0.17R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   48   +4      62.71     4.71     1.38     0.00     0.00     1.62     0.29P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.52     4.78     1.47     0.00     0.01     5.43     1.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.56     4.24    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P    0.14R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.94     4.22    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    1.32R    0.01  
Brentford        36   46   -7      58.08     4.15    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.87R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        35   43   -2      60.21     4.49     1.03     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P    0.88R    0.01  
Plymouth         37   43  -17      54.27     4.00   -18.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.43R    0.18  
Notts_County     33   42   -2      59.07     4.86    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P    2.24R    0.03  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.73     4.39   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   20.96R    0.65  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.77     4.30   -21.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.85R    2.52  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      48.99     4.72   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.73R    6.00  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.09     3.86   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   13.83  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.25     4.20   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.62R   20.01  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.53     4.00   -39.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.12R   56.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 March 2011, Chesterfield vs Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         38   74  +33      87.70     3.81    37.09    93.28    99.89   100.00    99.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61  +25      77.79     4.22    29.64     5.17    74.92    97.73    81.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.18     4.32    10.33     0.99    44.39    88.21    55.33P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.28     4.27    15.86     0.15    22.77    73.96    35.36P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            37   56  +11      70.15     4.09    13.68     0.02    10.07    56.33    21.83P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.91     4.03    13.79     0.07    12.05    63.27    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.56     4.48     9.26     0.24    16.82    64.60    27.36P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   54  +17      69.32     4.30    19.36     0.06     8.89    51.05    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   51  +13      68.44     4.31    19.04     0.01     5.87    43.79    15.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            36   51  +11      66.04     4.23    12.99     0.00     1.67    21.64     6.54P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   51   +6      65.64     4.06     9.44     0.00     0.93    17.73     5.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   50   -1      61.19     3.99    -2.68     0.00     0.06     2.15     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   49   +2      65.38     4.75     1.70     0.00     1.65    17.64     4.40P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   46  -15      56.16     3.99   -20.34     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.51R    0.01  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.28     4.24    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.20P    0.12R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.65     4.19   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    1.00R    0.03  
Bradford             35   43  -11      56.94     4.46   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P    0.73R    0.01  
Macclesfield         34   42   -8      55.75     4.58   -12.08     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P    1.41R    0.04  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.78     4.33    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.64R    0.19  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.84     4.21   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.12R    0.22  
Hereford             35   40  -14      52.01     4.36   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.96R    0.36  
Burton_Albion        32   36   -8      54.12     5.15    -9.77     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    4.89R    0.38  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.12     4.06   -25.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.63R   16.47  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.43     3.61   -51.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.00R   82.29  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 March 2011, Crawley_Town vs AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       35   80  +47      99.26     4.49    53.30    91.87   100.00    94.43P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      39   71  +26      83.11     3.53    29.84     0.08    97.23    20.34P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.48     3.72    14.75     0.00    71.06    11.11P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.63     4.41    47.77     8.04    99.78    49.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.08     3.86    16.67     0.01    84.01    15.44P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   58   +5      72.42     4.12     6.24     0.00    12.24     1.96P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.83     3.73    16.79     0.00     4.79     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      67.02     4.42     8.91     0.00     2.12     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.65     4.63    19.68     0.00    10.80     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.69     4.72    17.55     0.00    15.54     3.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.18     4.32     4.21     0.00     0.21     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.04     4.68     3.17     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.04     4.97     8.29     0.00     1.95     0.29P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.92     4.24    -7.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          37   46   -8      57.80     3.85    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.75     3.78   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.85R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      38   40   -8      52.49     3.76    -5.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.02  
Barrow             36   39  -13      49.66     3.99   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.89R    0.21  
Southport          36   36   -9      45.72     3.92   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.75R    2.98  
Forest_Green       38   36  -21      45.51     3.71   -23.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.51R    2.94  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   36  -30      44.07     3.56   -34.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.05R    6.32  
Altrincham         37   33  -38      42.93     3.78   -42.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.45R   16.09  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.56     3.95   -36.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.00R   23.21  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.23     4.02   -36.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.86R   48.19