Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      78.96     3.60    44.43    63.38    89.94    99.20    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.38     4.12    39.19    29.38    73.29    95.47    99.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.51     3.86    23.27     0.23     3.01    17.52    72.55    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.66     3.67    40.30     6.97    32.94    82.19    96.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.56     3.98    11.54     0.03     0.82     5.60    30.43    98.81     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.44     3.95     6.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.99    65.59     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.65     3.85    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.51     0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.73     3.89    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.53     0.11R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.28     3.92     1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.65     0.17R    0.01  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.10     3.82     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.80R    0.02  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.22     3.77    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.64     2.04R    0.07  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.09     3.72    -9.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     7.29R    0.74  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      46.02     3.88   -12.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.98     4.11R    0.40  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.47     3.79   -15.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.34R    2.31  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.95     3.67   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.44R    6.41  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.42     3.78   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    38.32R    7.10  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.88     3.87   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    22.38R    3.78  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.99     3.65   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.96R    8.85  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.10     3.84   -18.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.34R   12.24  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.35     3.59   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.66R   58.07  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.60     3.99    40.70    93.01    98.69   100.00    99.07P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   66  +15      79.57     3.99    16.96     4.08    45.01    94.45    55.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.75     3.97    18.09     1.16    20.68    83.71    36.72P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.34     4.09    16.98     1.15    17.15    80.72    34.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.46     4.14    11.09     0.27     5.12    53.98    15.04P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.71     3.97    16.12     0.20     7.04    59.38    21.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   57   +9      71.34     4.35     9.91     0.07     2.49    35.17    10.15P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   56  +15      69.11     4.11    16.03     0.01     0.78    20.39     5.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   55   +5      68.02     3.95     6.13     0.00     0.19    10.37     2.71P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      68.06     4.04     2.04     0.00     0.18    11.09     2.79P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.50     4.25    22.79     0.05     2.58    41.95    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +10      66.38     4.03    11.67     0.00     0.09     6.80     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.08     4.01     2.06     0.00     0.01     1.85     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     37   48   -4      60.13     4.03    -4.22     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -11      57.57     3.93   -13.64     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   44   -5      56.40     3.95    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   44  -18      54.77     3.96   -20.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.24R    0.00  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.29     3.88    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.00  
Coventry         37   42   -7      52.73     3.92    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.81R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -8      55.03     4.24    -7.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.17R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.19     3.92   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.29R    0.59  
Scunthorpe       37   34  -33      41.79     3.63   -40.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.45R   24.01  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.42     3.87   -29.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.51R   19.73  
Preston          36   28  -24      38.77     4.11   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.32R   55.64  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.87     4.72    44.52    81.49    94.55    99.99    96.23P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   66  +19      80.88     4.01    22.84     2.09    17.08    96.68    38.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.38     4.35    31.06     4.49    31.12    97.80    49.71P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.82     4.57    41.96    11.56    50.78    98.75    70.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.71     4.29    24.90     0.27     3.86    83.28    20.22P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.85     4.05     6.59     0.02     0.84    52.65     9.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   56  +15      74.15     4.75    17.44     0.08     1.76    60.08    12.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   50  -11      60.61     3.85   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.30R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   49   +2      62.86     4.28     2.21     0.00     0.00     1.52     0.25P    0.07R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.66     4.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.09P    0.16R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   48   +4      62.82     4.72     1.53     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.29P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.58     4.74     1.52     0.00     0.01     5.41     1.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.57     4.23    -4.66     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.09P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.96     4.22    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.38R    0.00  
Brentford        36   46   -7      58.01     4.11    -9.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.79R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        35   43   -2      60.26     4.51     1.14     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.08P    0.96R    0.01  
Plymouth         37   43  -17      54.25     4.02   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.45R    0.19  
Notts_County     33   42   -2      59.13     4.91    -2.87     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    2.34R    0.03  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.75     4.39   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.71R    0.74  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.79     4.31   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.22R    2.49  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      48.91     4.70   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.42R    6.07  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.09     3.86   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.97R   13.97  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.20     4.17   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.97R   19.94  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.53     3.98   -39.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.00R   56.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         37   71  +28      85.94     4.06    31.89    85.99    99.23   100.00    99.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61  +25      77.86     4.21    29.73     9.99    73.85    97.63    80.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.19     4.32    10.33     2.14    42.76    87.94    54.00P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   56  +16      71.66     4.31    18.83     0.57    18.56    69.43    32.20P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.25     4.27    15.82     0.41    21.27    72.79    34.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.89     4.04    13.75     0.19    11.42    62.29    25.65P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.58     4.45     9.28     0.52    15.84    64.23    26.47P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   54  +17      69.34     4.29    19.40     0.14     8.42    50.36    18.79P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   51  +13      68.38     4.29    18.97     0.03     5.28    41.90    14.50P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            36   51  +11      66.11     4.24    13.11     0.01     1.40    21.18     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   50   -1      61.21     3.99    -2.66     0.00     0.05     2.11     0.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   49   +2      65.44     4.77     1.83     0.01     1.53    17.72     4.39P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             36   48   +2      64.24     4.30     5.75     0.00     0.37    10.55     3.23P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   46  -15      56.09     3.99   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    0.60R    0.01  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.20     4.26    -5.13     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.18P    0.15R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.64     4.18   -14.43     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    1.10R    0.05  
Bradford             35   43  -11      56.99     4.48   -12.47     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P    0.75R    0.01  
Macclesfield         34   42   -8      55.82     4.58   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.42R    0.04  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.71     4.32    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.97R    0.23  
Hereford             34   40  -10      53.14     4.58   -15.06     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.77R    0.25  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.74     4.22   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.58R    0.29  
Burton_Albion        32   36   -8      53.95     5.16    -9.99     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.21R    0.45  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.19     4.06   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.46R   16.71  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.51     3.65   -51.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.98R   81.97  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       34   77  +45      97.92     4.73    51.71    87.30   100.00    91.25P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   71  +28      84.14     3.76    31.31     0.60    98.10    21.89P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.38     3.71    14.63     0.01    69.77    10.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.64     4.38    47.79    12.06    99.82    51.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.05     3.88    16.63     0.03    83.55    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   58   +5      72.47     4.13     6.30     0.00    12.53     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.89     3.75    16.85     0.00     4.93     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      67.08     4.41     8.95     0.00     2.18     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.75     4.62    19.86     0.00    11.27     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.67     4.74    17.55     0.00    15.49     3.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.12     4.27     4.09     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.11     4.70     3.24     0.00     0.28     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.09     5.00     8.37     0.00     1.90     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.89     4.23    -7.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          37   46   -8      57.72     3.86    -8.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.76     3.78   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.76R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      38   40   -8      52.49     3.75    -5.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.02  
Barrow             36   39  -13      49.64     3.96   -18.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.93R    0.21  
Southport          36   36   -9      45.78     3.96   -15.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.53R    2.96  
Forest_Green       38   36  -21      45.53     3.73   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.53R    3.04  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   36  -30      44.03     3.59   -34.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.67R    6.35  
Altrincham         37   33  -38      42.90     3.76   -42.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.64R   16.21  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.57     3.94   -36.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.65R   22.88  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.23     4.04   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.69R   48.30