Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.00     3.58    44.47    63.55    90.21    99.19    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.40     4.10    39.22    29.35    73.71    95.44    99.47   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.54     3.85    23.29     0.23     3.06    17.66    72.87    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.68     3.68    40.34     6.85    32.30    82.28    96.84   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.48     3.96    11.41     0.02     0.71     5.39    29.81    98.74     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.51     3.96     6.13     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.03    66.39     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.71     3.84    -0.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.71     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.67     3.90    -1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.23     0.11R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.22     3.93     1.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.20     0.19R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.13     3.82     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.85     0.78R    0.03  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.13     3.77    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.59     2.15R    0.10  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.04     3.73    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.60R    0.72  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.98     3.92   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95     4.30R    0.44  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.47     3.80   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    18.47R    2.46  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      41.00     3.66   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    31.87R    6.41  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.48     3.78   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    37.94R    7.05  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.79     3.87   -16.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    23.13R    4.03  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.96     3.62   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.22R    8.93  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.17     3.84   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.76R   12.25  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.41     3.59   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.44R   57.57  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.59     3.96    40.71    92.99    98.73    99.99    99.09P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   66  +15      79.59     4.00    16.99     4.14    45.42    94.40    56.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.67     3.96    18.00     1.07    20.22    83.31    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.31     4.06    16.92     1.22    16.85    80.72    34.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.42     4.13    11.01     0.26     5.22    53.46    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.73     3.97    16.16     0.18     7.05    59.60    21.65P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   57   +9      71.43     4.33    10.01     0.06     2.66    35.81    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   56  +15      69.13     4.12    16.06     0.01     0.78    20.36     5.18P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   55   +4      67.97     3.95     5.03     0.00     0.20     9.95     2.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      68.04     4.04     2.01     0.00     0.16    10.85     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.53     4.25    22.83     0.06     2.60    41.98    14.95P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +11      66.59     4.06    12.93     0.00     0.10     7.68     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.07     4.02     2.05     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     37   47   -6      58.98     4.03    -6.43     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -10      57.68     3.95   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.11R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   46   -3      58.67     3.96    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   44  -17      54.87     3.94   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.34     3.86    -8.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.54R    0.00  
Coventry         37   42   -8      52.64     3.91   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.95R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -9      54.94     4.25    -8.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.20R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.17     3.91   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.25R    0.63  
Scunthorpe       37   34  -33      41.74     3.61   -40.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.62R   23.79  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.38     3.86   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.72R   19.45  
Preston          36   28  -24      38.72     4.10   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.44R   56.09  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.94     4.70    44.66    82.04    94.79   100.00    96.34P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   66  +19      80.83     4.01    22.76     1.98    16.84    96.58    38.35P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.41     4.33    31.10     4.32    31.74    97.77    50.05P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.77     4.59    41.85    11.31    49.88    98.74    70.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.80     4.32    25.03     0.25     4.19    83.57    21.11P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.91     4.05     6.67     0.01     0.81    52.86     9.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   56  +15      74.18     4.74    17.48     0.09     1.73    60.06    12.19P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   50  -11      60.61     3.87   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.31R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   49   +2      62.81     4.28     2.10     0.00     0.00     1.38     0.22P    0.06R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.65     4.30    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.10P    0.17R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   48   +4      62.73     4.73     1.37     0.00     0.00     1.65     0.27P    0.12R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.61     4.72     1.61     0.00     0.01     5.28     1.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.58     4.24    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.10P    0.14R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.97     4.22    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    1.30R    0.00  
Brentford        36   46   -7      58.05     4.13    -9.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.85R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        35   43   -2      60.33     4.51     1.19     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    0.89R    0.01  
Plymouth         37   43  -17      54.25     4.02   -18.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.42R    0.18  
Notts_County     33   42   -2      59.01     4.88    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    2.31R    0.03  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.74     4.37   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.70R    0.67  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.80     4.33   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.06R    2.59  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      48.89     4.68   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.52R    5.84  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.06     3.84   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.02R   13.88  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.18     4.19   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.03R   20.38  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.54     3.98   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.06R   56.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         37   71  +28      85.99     4.08    31.93    86.23    99.22   100.00    99.42P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61  +25      77.77     4.25    29.62     9.82    73.21    97.48    79.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.17     4.32    10.29     2.01    42.82    87.94    53.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   56  +16      71.59     4.32    18.75     0.58    18.00    68.71    31.58P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.25     4.28    15.84     0.43    21.33    72.84    34.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.89     4.04    13.75     0.19    11.16    62.35    25.30P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.58     4.45     9.30     0.56    16.30    64.37    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   54  +17      69.38     4.35    19.45     0.15     8.94    50.60    19.18P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   51  +13      68.37     4.29    18.95     0.03     5.22    42.24    14.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            36   51  +11      66.13     4.28    13.14     0.01     1.68    21.56     6.65P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   50   -1      61.24     3.95    -2.61     0.00     0.04     2.01     0.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   49   +2      65.46     4.76     1.83     0.00     1.68    17.65     4.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             36   48   +2      64.19     4.31     5.71     0.00     0.38    10.37     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   46  -15      56.09     4.02   -20.45     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.61R    0.00  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.27     4.23    -5.04     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.17P    0.11R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.66     4.20   -14.42     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.02R    0.04  
Bradford             35   43  -11      56.92     4.45   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.71R    0.02  
Macclesfield         34   42   -8      55.81     4.62   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    1.53R    0.03  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.72     4.30    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.86R    0.22  
Hereford             34   40  -10      53.24     4.59   -14.89     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.70R    0.29  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.76     4.24   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.59R    0.28  
Burton_Albion        32   36   -8      53.93     5.15   -10.02     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.40R    0.44  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.17     4.06   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.41R   16.65  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.50     3.63   -51.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.06R   82.00  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       34   77  +45      97.92     4.75    51.72    87.40   100.00    91.21P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   71  +28      84.18     3.78    31.37     0.56    98.14    21.67P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.46     3.74    14.75     0.00    70.64    11.08P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.70     4.34    47.84    12.02    99.79    51.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.06     3.86    16.64     0.02    83.58    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   58   +5      72.47     4.11     6.29     0.00    12.41     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.82     3.74    16.78     0.00     4.80     0.69P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      66.96     4.45     8.80     0.00     2.18     0.42P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.65     4.64    19.75     0.00    10.89     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.66     4.72    17.50     0.00    15.18     3.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.05     4.29     3.99     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.13     4.73     3.29     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.04     4.97     8.29     0.00     1.81     0.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.96     4.25    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   46   -8      57.77     3.87    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.73     3.78   -18.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.88R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      38   40   -8      52.48     3.74    -5.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.69R    0.01  
Barrow             36   39  -13      49.60     3.98   -18.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.10R    0.23  
Southport          36   36   -9      45.77     3.95   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.47R    3.12  
Forest_Green       38   36  -21      45.58     3.72   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.32R    2.85  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   36  -30      44.06     3.57   -34.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.57R    6.41  
Altrincham         37   33  -38      42.91     3.78   -42.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.80R   16.66  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.63     3.95   -36.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.51R   22.58  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.26     4.05   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.66R   48.11