Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 16 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 29 60 +33 79.00 3.58 44.47 63.55 90.21 99.19 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 57 +30 76.40 4.10 39.22 29.35 73.71 95.44 99.47 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 53 +20 67.54 3.85 23.29 0.23 3.06 17.66 72.87 99.89 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 28 51 +27 72.68 3.68 40.34 6.85 32.30 82.28 96.84 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 48 +7 64.48 3.96 11.41 0.02 0.71 5.39 29.81 98.74 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 42 +3 56.51 3.96 6.13 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.03 66.39 0.00 0.00 Bolton 29 40 +2 50.71 3.84 -0.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 9.71 0.04R 0.00 Sunderland 29 38 -2 50.67 3.90 -1.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.23 0.11R 0.00 Everton 29 37 +0 50.22 3.93 1.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 8.20 0.19R 0.00 Newcastle 29 36 +3 48.13 3.82 2.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.85 0.78R 0.03 Fulham 29 35 +1 46.13 3.77 -0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.59 2.15R 0.10 Stoke 29 34 -6 44.04 3.73 -9.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 7.60R 0.72 Aston_Villa 29 33 -13 45.98 3.92 -12.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95 4.30R 0.44 Blackburn 29 32 -12 42.47 3.80 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 18.47R 2.46 Blackpool 29 32 -15 41.00 3.66 -22.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 31.87R 6.41 West_Brom 29 32 -15 40.48 3.78 -21.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 37.94R 7.05 Birmingham 28 31 -12 41.79 3.87 -16.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 23.13R 4.03 West_Ham 29 31 -13 39.96 3.62 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 40.22R 8.93 Wolverhampton 29 29 -15 39.17 3.84 -18.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 47.76R 12.25 Wigan 29 27 -23 35.41 3.59 -29.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.44R 57.57 Adjustments: Plymouth -10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 37 73 +36 88.59 3.96 40.71 92.99 98.73 99.99 99.09P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 37 66 +15 79.59 4.00 16.99 4.14 45.42 94.40 56.02P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 37 63 +16 76.67 3.96 18.00 1.07 20.22 83.31 35.99P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 37 62 +14 76.31 4.06 16.92 1.22 16.85 80.72 34.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 37 61 +11 73.42 4.13 11.01 0.26 5.22 53.46 14.91P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 37 60 +14 73.73 3.97 16.16 0.18 7.05 59.60 21.65P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 36 57 +9 71.43 4.33 10.01 0.06 2.66 35.81 10.61P 0.00 0.00 Watford 37 56 +15 69.13 4.12 16.06 0.01 0.78 20.36 5.18P 0.00 0.00 Hull 37 55 +4 67.97 3.95 5.03 0.00 0.20 9.95 2.49P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 37 55 +1 68.04 4.04 2.01 0.00 0.16 10.85 2.70P 0.00 0.00 Reading 36 54 +17 71.53 4.25 22.83 0.06 2.60 41.98 14.95P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 37 53 +11 66.59 4.06 12.93 0.00 0.10 7.68 1.79P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 37 51 +1 64.07 4.02 2.05 0.00 0.01 1.83 0.48P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 37 47 -6 58.98 4.03 -6.43 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.03R 0.00 Barnsley 37 47 -10 57.68 3.95 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.11R 0.00 Ipswich 37 46 -3 58.67 3.96 -2.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.06R 0.00 Doncaster 37 44 -17 54.87 3.94 -19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.08R 0.00 Derby 37 43 -5 53.34 3.86 -8.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54R 0.00 Coventry 37 42 -8 52.64 3.91 -10.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.95R 0.03 Middlesbrough 36 41 -9 54.94 4.25 -8.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 37 38 -22 49.17 3.91 -23.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.25R 0.63 Scunthorpe 37 34 -33 41.74 3.61 -40.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.62R 23.79 Sheff_Utd 37 32 -27 42.38 3.86 -29.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.72R 19.45 Preston 36 28 -24 38.72 4.10 -28.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.44R 56.09League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 34 71 +38 91.94 4.70 44.66 82.04 94.79 100.00 96.34P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 37 66 +19 80.83 4.01 22.76 1.98 16.84 96.58 38.35P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 36 65 +25 82.41 4.33 31.10 4.32 31.74 97.77 50.05P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 34 61 +32 83.77 4.59 41.85 11.31 49.88 98.74 70.08P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 36 61 +22 76.80 4.32 25.03 0.25 4.19 83.57 21.11P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 61 +6 73.91 4.05 6.67 0.01 0.81 52.86 9.86P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 56 +15 74.18 4.74 17.48 0.09 1.73 60.06 12.19P 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 37 50 -11 60.61 3.87 -13.79 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 0.31R 0.00 Carlisle 36 49 +2 62.81 4.28 2.10 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.22P 0.06R 0.00 Exeter 36 49 -7 62.65 4.30 -7.18 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.10P 0.17R 0.00 Rochdale 34 48 +4 62.73 4.73 1.37 0.00 0.00 1.65 0.27P 0.12R 0.00 Charlton 34 48 +0 65.61 4.72 1.61 0.00 0.01 5.28 1.20P 0.03R 0.00 Colchester 36 48 -6 62.58 4.24 -4.65 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.10P 0.14R 0.00 Oldham 36 46 -6 58.97 4.22 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 1.30R 0.00 Brentford 36 46 -7 58.05 4.13 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.85R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 35 43 -2 60.33 4.51 1.19 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 0.89R 0.01 Plymouth 37 43 -17 54.25 4.02 -18.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.42R 0.18 Notts_County 33 42 -2 59.01 4.88 -3.04 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 2.31R 0.03 Tranmere 35 39 -9 52.74 4.37 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.70R 0.67 Yeovil 35 38 -18 50.80 4.33 -21.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.06R 2.59 Dag_&_Red 33 36 -10 48.89 4.68 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.52R 5.84 Walsall 37 36 -19 46.06 3.84 -22.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.02R 13.88 Swindon 36 33 -17 45.18 4.19 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.03R 20.38 Bristol_Rovers 36 33 -32 42.54 3.98 -39.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.06R 56.40League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 37 71 +28 85.99 4.08 31.93 86.23 99.22 100.00 99.42P 0.00 0.00 Bury 36 61 +25 77.77 4.25 29.62 9.82 73.21 97.48 79.96P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 36 60 +8 75.17 4.32 10.29 2.01 42.82 87.94 53.82P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 36 56 +16 71.59 4.32 18.75 0.58 18.00 68.71 31.58P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 36 56 +12 72.25 4.28 15.84 0.43 21.33 72.84 34.01P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 37 56 +10 70.89 4.04 13.75 0.19 11.16 62.35 25.30P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 35 55 +7 71.58 4.45 9.30 0.56 16.30 64.37 27.02P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 36 54 +17 69.38 4.35 19.45 0.15 8.94 50.60 19.18P 0.00 0.00 Crewe 36 51 +13 68.37 4.29 18.95 0.03 5.22 42.24 14.68P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 36 51 +11 66.13 4.28 13.14 0.01 1.68 21.56 6.65P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 37 50 -1 61.24 3.95 -2.61 0.00 0.04 2.01 0.34P 0.00R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 34 49 +2 65.46 4.76 1.83 0.00 1.68 17.65 4.52P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 36 48 +2 64.19 4.31 5.71 0.00 0.38 10.37 3.15P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 36 46 -15 56.09 4.02 -20.45 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.61R 0.00 Aldershot 36 45 -6 59.27 4.23 -5.04 0.00 0.01 0.80 0.17P 0.11R 0.00 Cheltenham 36 44 -11 55.66 4.20 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.02R 0.04 Bradford 35 43 -11 56.92 4.45 -12.58 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.06P 0.71R 0.02 Macclesfield 34 42 -8 55.81 4.62 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.03P 1.53R 0.03 Northampton 36 40 -7 53.72 4.30 -6.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.86R 0.22 Hereford 34 40 -10 53.24 4.59 -14.89 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 4.70R 0.29 Morecambe 36 40 -11 52.76 4.24 -12.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.59R 0.28 Burton_Albion 32 36 -8 53.93 5.15 -10.02 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 5.40R 0.44 Barnet 36 34 -20 44.17 4.06 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.41R 16.65 Stockport 37 32 -43 39.50 3.63 -51.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.06R 82.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Crawley_Town 34 77 +45 97.92 4.75 51.72 87.40 100.00 91.21P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 38 71 +28 84.18 3.78 31.37 0.56 98.14 21.67P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 38 67 +14 78.46 3.74 14.75 0.00 70.64 11.08P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 66 +36 89.70 4.34 47.84 12.02 99.79 51.61P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 37 66 +14 80.06 3.86 16.64 0.02 83.58 14.98P 0.00 0.00 York 36 58 +5 72.47 4.11 6.29 0.00 12.41 2.18P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 38 57 +14 69.82 3.74 16.78 0.00 4.80 0.69P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 35 52 +9 66.96 4.45 8.80 0.00 2.18 0.42P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 34 51 +15 70.65 4.64 19.75 0.00 10.89 2.61P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 34 51 +11 71.66 4.72 17.50 0.00 15.18 3.21P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 36 50 +5 63.05 4.29 3.99 0.00 0.23 0.03P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 47 +4 63.13 4.73 3.29 0.00 0.33 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 33 46 +5 66.04 4.97 8.29 0.00 1.81 0.27P 0.00 0.00 Bath_City 36 46 -4 57.96 4.25 -7.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kettering 37 46 -8 57.77 3.87 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Tamworth 37 41 -14 50.73 3.78 -18.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 38 40 -8 52.48 3.74 -5.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.69R 0.01 Barrow 36 39 -13 49.60 3.98 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.10R 0.23 Southport 36 36 -9 45.77 3.95 -15.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.47R 3.12 Forest_Green 38 36 -21 45.58 3.72 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.32R 2.85 Hayes_&_Yeading 38 36 -30 44.06 3.57 -34.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.57R 6.41 Altrincham 37 33 -38 42.91 3.78 -42.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.80R 16.66 Histon 36 32 -30 41.63 3.95 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.51R 22.58 Eastbourne_Boro 36 29 -30 39.26 4.05 -36.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.66R 48.11