Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.00     3.58    44.48    64.14    90.42    99.25    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.29     4.15    39.05    28.83    73.07    95.03    99.36   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.54     3.85    23.29     0.25     3.26    17.79    72.65    99.89     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.61     3.65    40.21     6.73    32.41    82.23    96.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.56     3.96    11.53     0.05     0.83     5.67    30.22    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.50     3.93     6.11     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.02    66.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.70     3.86    -0.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.46     0.04R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.70     3.91    -1.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.34     0.12R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.25     3.93     1.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.39     0.18R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.06     3.86     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.96     0.85R    0.02  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.21     3.77    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.58     1.94R    0.08  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.07     3.72    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     7.48R    0.80  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.97     3.91   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.92     4.27R    0.44  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.42     3.76   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.54R    2.37  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.96     3.67   -22.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    32.92R    6.51  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.52     3.77   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    37.54R    7.07  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.85     3.87   -16.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    22.93R    3.84  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      40.01     3.65   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.02R    8.98  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.16     3.85   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.96R   12.13  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.40     3.64   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.22R   57.77  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Burnley vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.62     3.98    40.69    92.90    98.65   100.00    98.99P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   66  +15      79.58     3.99    16.99     4.30    45.36    94.24    56.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.64     3.98    17.95     1.01    20.23    83.25    36.02P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.29     4.06    16.91     1.20    16.78    80.70    34.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.39     4.12    10.98     0.27     5.03    53.32    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.75     3.98    16.17     0.17     7.36    59.89    21.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          36   57   +9      71.39     4.34     9.95     0.08     2.65    35.44    10.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          37   56  +15      69.14     4.12    16.08     0.02     0.85    20.61     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   55   +5      68.01     3.97     6.09     0.00     0.20    10.39     2.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      67.98     4.06     1.90     0.00     0.14    10.78     2.60P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.54     4.26    22.84     0.04     2.68    42.39    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +10      66.42     4.05    11.71     0.00     0.07     6.95     1.67P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.15     4.03     2.19     0.00     0.01     1.94     0.58P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     37   48   -4      60.16     4.01    -4.16     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -11      57.55     3.92   -13.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.13R    0.00  
Ipswich          37   44   -5      56.43     3.97    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   44  -18      54.83     3.95   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.16R    0.01  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.26     3.86    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.00  
Coventry         37   42   -7      52.72     3.91    -9.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.80R    0.04  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -8      55.03     4.21    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.22     3.90   -23.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.88R    0.59  
Scunthorpe       37   34  -33      41.74     3.61   -40.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.91R   24.26  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.40     3.86   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.75R   19.50  
Preston          36   28  -24      38.78     4.12   -28.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   55.60  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Brentford vs Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.94     4.70    44.65    81.96    94.68    99.99    96.20P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     37   66  +19      80.82     3.98    22.73     1.98    16.63    96.72    38.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     36   65  +25      82.42     4.34    31.13     4.48    31.87    97.82    50.17P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.82     4.56    41.98    11.21    50.18    98.71    70.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.75     4.31    24.94     0.26     4.00    83.15    20.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.88     4.05     6.63     0.03     0.83    53.11     9.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    34   56  +15      74.12     4.79    17.38     0.09     1.79    59.53    12.20P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       37   50  -11      60.60     3.84   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.26R    0.00  
Carlisle         36   49   +2      62.86     4.29     2.19     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.25P    0.06R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.75     4.26    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.06P    0.20R    0.00  
Rochdale         34   48   +4      62.74     4.70     1.43     0.00     0.00     1.72     0.25P    0.11R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.60     4.78     1.58     0.00     0.01     5.54     1.26P    0.04R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.59     4.28    -4.61     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.12P    0.14R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.87     4.22    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    1.46R    0.00  
Brentford        36   46   -7      58.06     4.12    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.80R    0.01  
Sheff_Wed        35   43   -2      60.16     4.50     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    0.95R    0.01  
Plymouth         37   43  -17      54.23     4.01   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.34R    0.20  
Notts_County     33   42   -2      59.14     4.92    -2.88     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P    2.27R    0.01  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.78     4.41   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   20.80R    0.66  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.78     4.31   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.51R    2.56  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      48.86     4.67   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.82R    5.99  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.09     3.89   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.51R   14.35  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.25     4.19   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.70R   19.63  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.52     3.99   -39.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.05R   56.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         37   71  +28      86.03     4.08    31.99    86.65    99.22    99.99    99.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 36   61  +25      77.78     4.21    29.62     9.53    73.52    97.65    80.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.16     4.31    10.29     2.02    43.15    87.92    54.31P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   56  +16      71.61     4.31    18.78     0.56    18.09    69.30    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.27     4.23    15.86     0.39    21.24    73.39    34.22P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.85     4.02    13.70     0.16    11.25    62.16    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.53     4.44     9.23     0.51    15.83    64.04    26.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              36   54  +17      69.31     4.32    19.37     0.13     8.68    50.27    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe                36   51  +13      68.39     4.32    18.96     0.04     5.57    42.44    14.87P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            36   51  +11      66.01     4.27    12.95     0.00     1.49    20.93     6.21P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   50   -1      61.20     4.03    -2.67     0.00     0.05     2.27     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   34   49   +2      65.35     4.75     1.67     0.01     1.52    17.01     4.19P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             36   48   +2      64.25     4.29     5.76     0.00     0.38    10.69     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City         36   46  -15      56.15     3.99   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    0.62R    0.01  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.25     4.24    -5.07     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.16P    0.15R    0.01  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.62     4.21   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.21R    0.03  
Bradford             35   43  -11      56.98     4.46   -12.49     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    0.71R    0.02  
Macclesfield         34   42   -8      55.78     4.57   -12.02     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    1.45R    0.03  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.79     4.31    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.75R    0.23  
Hereford             34   40  -10      53.27     4.58   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.68R    0.24  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.78     4.21   -12.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.46R    0.30  
Burton_Albion        32   36   -8      53.99     5.13    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P    5.24R    0.43  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.19     4.03   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.68R   16.75  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.53     3.64   -51.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.03R   81.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 March 2011, Altrincham vs Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       34   77  +45      97.99     4.73    51.87    87.56   100.00    91.36P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   71  +28      84.14     3.76    31.30     0.56    98.13    21.54P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.42     3.73    14.68     0.01    70.22    10.93P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              34   66  +36      89.65     4.39    47.76    11.84    99.78    51.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.13     3.89    16.74     0.03    84.01    15.12P    0.00     0.00  
York               36   58   +5      72.49     4.14     6.32     0.00    12.61     2.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.85     3.75    16.81     0.00     4.65     0.71P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      66.96     4.41     8.80     0.00     2.08     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.66     4.63    19.73     0.00    10.95     2.56P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.64     4.72    17.47     0.00    15.28     3.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.05     4.29     4.00     0.00     0.15     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.11     4.67     3.26     0.00     0.30     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          33   46   +5      66.15     4.95     8.48     0.00     1.84     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.93     4.22    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          37   46   -8      57.75     3.88    -8.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.70     3.77   -18.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      38   40   -8      52.44     3.76    -5.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.68R    0.02  
Barrow             36   39  -13      49.63     3.95   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.08R    0.22  
Southport          36   36   -9      45.71     3.93   -15.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.80R    3.21  
Forest_Green       38   36  -21      45.57     3.71   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.23R    3.02  
Hayes_&_Yeading    38   36  -30      44.05     3.58   -34.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.50R    6.64  
Altrincham         37   33  -38      42.94     3.77   -42.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.74R   16.47  
Histon             36   32  -30      41.62     3.95   -36.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.28R   22.51  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.27     4.03   -36.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.80R   47.88