Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.03     3.57    44.55    63.96    90.21    99.23    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.36     4.12    39.18    29.01    73.44    95.36    99.40   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.52     3.85    23.27     0.20     3.13    17.35    72.75    99.85     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.67     3.68    40.32     6.77    32.43    82.61    96.63   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.50     3.99    11.46     0.06     0.79     5.41    30.14    98.67     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.44     3.96     6.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.07    65.57     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.68     3.85    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.50     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.78     3.88    -1.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.77     0.10R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.30     3.91     1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.66     0.15R    0.01  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.03     3.82     2.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.82     0.84R    0.02  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.20     3.76    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.69     1.92R    0.08  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.03     3.72    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     7.55R    0.78  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      46.01     3.91   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.01     4.13R    0.47  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.44     3.77   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.49R    2.40  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.99     3.67   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    32.33R    6.43  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.48     3.77   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    38.17R    7.00  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.83     3.87   -16.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    23.07R    3.76  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.99     3.62   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.83R    8.56  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.15     3.85   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.90R   12.22  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.34     3.61   -29.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R   58.26  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 14 March 2011, Norwich vs Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.57     3.99    40.70    92.65    98.61   100.00    98.99P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          37   66  +15      79.53     3.99    16.87     4.24    44.16    94.50    55.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.73     3.97    18.08     1.15    20.64    83.84    37.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.32     4.07    16.93     1.16    16.66    81.10    33.79P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.30     4.11    10.85     0.32     4.79    52.60    14.43P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.67     3.98    16.07     0.19     6.92    59.05    21.09P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   56   +9      72.41     4.56    10.93     0.21     4.77    44.94    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   55   +4      67.96     3.97     5.01     0.01     0.26     9.95     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      68.03     4.04     1.99     0.00     0.17    10.92     2.64P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.55     4.26    22.85     0.07     2.58    42.60    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   53  +12      67.11     4.35    12.45     0.01     0.32    10.81     2.61P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +11      66.59     4.05    12.97     0.00     0.12     7.60     1.86P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.06     4.01     2.04     0.00     0.01     1.80     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     37   47   -6      58.93     4.01    -6.52     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -10      57.76     3.95   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Ipswich          36   46   +0      60.44     4.25     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   44  -17      54.96     3.95   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.23R    0.00  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.34     3.89    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.00  
Coventry         36   41   -8      52.43     4.11   -11.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.67R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -9      54.94     4.23    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.43R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.16     3.92   -23.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.41R    0.39  
Scunthorpe       36   34  -30      43.45     3.90   -36.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.52R   11.45  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.52     3.85   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.92R   14.58  
Preston          35   25  -27      36.72     4.29   -32.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.41R   73.54  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.82     4.72    44.47    83.87    96.17   100.00    97.27P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   63  +18      79.39     4.26    22.04     1.40    14.37    94.31    37.04P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   62  +22      80.31     4.62    27.21     2.26    21.58    95.12    41.24P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.75     4.56    41.87    12.07    59.36    99.08    75.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.75     4.30    24.95     0.31     5.49    86.09    22.67P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.90     4.06     6.68     0.03     1.39    59.60    12.06P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   53  +14      72.43     5.00    16.31     0.06     1.61    49.26    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool       36   50  -10      62.02     4.14   -12.77     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.09P    0.15R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.64     4.26    -7.23     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.10P    0.15R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   48   +2      63.66     4.52     2.81     0.00     0.00     3.15     0.57P    0.08R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.60     4.77     1.60     0.00     0.03     6.75     1.59P    0.05R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.57     4.21    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.12P    0.11R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.90     4.21    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.42R    0.00  
Brentford        35   46   -6      59.34     4.38    -8.41     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.03P    1.17R    0.00  
Rochdale         33   45   +3      61.24     4.95     0.58     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.22P    0.52R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        34   43   +1      62.17     4.74     4.92     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.37P    0.40R    0.00  
Notts_County     32   42   -1      60.42     5.10    -2.01     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.17P    1.56R    0.02  
Plymouth         36   42  -17      54.39     4.27   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.26R    0.23  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.69     4.39   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.22R    0.67  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.78     4.31   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.39R    2.52  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      49.01     4.72   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.79R    5.54  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.01     3.87   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.49R   14.40  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.16     4.17   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.12R   20.36  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.52     3.97   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.10R   56.26  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         37   71  +28      85.85     4.09    31.75    79.47    99.04   100.00    99.27P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61  +26      79.59     4.43    31.28    17.24    83.77    98.99    87.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.19     4.29    10.34     1.85    41.96    89.85    53.68P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   56  +16      71.69     4.31    18.91     0.43    17.82    73.02    32.87P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.28     4.27    15.87     0.34    20.86    76.67    34.58P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.85     4.04    13.69     0.15    10.62    65.83    25.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.65     4.44     9.40     0.44    15.40    68.60    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              35   51  +16      67.30     4.51    17.81     0.05     4.24    36.33    12.44P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   50   +0      62.67     4.24    -1.47     0.00     0.19     6.11     1.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                35   48  +12      66.85     4.59    18.07     0.02     3.17    33.28    10.63P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   48  +10      64.30     4.50    11.88     0.00     0.72    14.85     4.09P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             35   48   +3      65.51     4.58     6.57     0.00     1.35    20.81     6.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   46   +0      63.73     4.99    -0.34     0.01     0.85    12.51     2.82P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.21     4.25    -5.10     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.22P    0.13R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   45  -15      56.22     4.23   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    0.78R    0.01  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.59     4.19   -14.53     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    1.22R    0.04  
Bradford             35   43  -11      57.00     4.49   -12.45     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P    0.79R    0.01  
Macclesfield         33   41   -8      56.47     4.83   -11.53     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.10P    1.35R    0.03  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.73     4.31    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    2.99R    0.20  
Hereford             34   40  -10      53.25     4.58   -14.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    4.83R    0.25  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.65     4.21   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.84R    0.31  
Burton_Albion        31   36   -6      55.47     5.41    -7.78     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.14P    3.56R    0.26  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.18     4.07   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.26R   16.57  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.49     3.62   -51.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.19R   82.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       33   74  +42      97.25     4.90    50.34    81.63   100.00    87.30P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   71  +28      84.19     3.76    31.40     0.79    98.16    21.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.46     3.73    14.70     0.01    71.18    11.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.09     3.88    16.67     0.04    84.30    15.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   65  +36      90.34     4.64    48.22    17.53    99.83    54.85P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.84     3.73    16.79     0.00     4.87     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   55   +4      71.08     4.36     5.66     0.00     8.31     1.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      66.95     4.42     8.77     0.00     2.07     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.64     4.64    19.74     0.00    11.10     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.68     4.75    17.56     0.00    15.80     3.41P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.13     4.29     4.09     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.04     4.66     3.17     0.00     0.31     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.24     5.18     9.03     0.00     3.89     0.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.98     4.23    -7.09     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          36   43   -9      56.66     4.07    -9.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.72     3.78   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.90R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      37   39   -8      52.50     3.99    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.02  
Southport          35   36   -7      47.66     4.22   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.74R    1.24  
Barrow             35   36  -15      47.45     4.20   -21.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.99R    1.37  
Forest_Green       37   36  -20      46.87     3.99   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.89R    2.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   36  -27      44.53     3.70   -33.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.81R    4.86  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.42     4.15   -36.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.32R   16.71  
Altrincham         36   30  -39      41.36     4.02   -42.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.83R   28.18  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.28     4.04   -36.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.61R   45.59