Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 9 March 2011, Everton vs Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.03     3.59    44.52    63.63    90.32    99.26    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.40     4.12    39.24    29.25    73.77    95.41    99.43   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.53     3.86    23.30     0.25     3.07    17.73    73.20    99.88     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.65     3.67    40.24     6.83    32.12    82.28    96.75   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.46     3.97    11.38     0.03     0.72     5.30    29.57    98.75     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.46     3.94     6.08     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.03    66.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.69     3.83    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     9.42     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.73     3.89    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    10.53     0.11R    0.00  
Everton         29   37   +0      50.27     3.92     1.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.56     0.13R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.10     3.83     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.95     0.82R    0.05  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.20     3.77    -0.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.57     1.99R    0.09  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.04     3.72    -9.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     7.53R    0.79  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.96     3.92   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     4.37R    0.44  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.42     3.77   -15.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.56R    2.40  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.97     3.66   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    32.59R    6.47  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.46     3.78   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    38.04R    7.03  
Birmingham      28   31  -12      41.87     3.87   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    22.83R    3.87  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      40.03     3.63   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.73R    8.60  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.13     3.85   -18.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.93R   12.39  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.37     3.60   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.33R   57.88  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 March 2011, Cardiff vs Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              37   73  +36      88.55     3.99    40.61    94.07    98.82   100.00    99.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   63  +16      76.76     3.97    18.12     1.17    23.71    83.85    39.09P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          36   63  +13      78.18     4.25    15.30     2.72    34.04    88.29    45.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          37   62  +14      76.37     4.06    17.00     1.29    19.58    81.52    36.33P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     37   61  +11      73.47     4.14    11.10     0.32     6.11    54.29    16.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    37   60  +14      73.63     3.96    16.00     0.18     7.89    58.94    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          35   56   +9      72.30     4.58    10.72     0.16     5.47    44.08    14.80P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             37   56   +6      69.13     3.96     7.29     0.00     0.56    16.09     4.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   55   +1      68.09     4.04     2.08     0.00     0.21    10.99     2.72P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.46     4.27    22.78     0.07     3.09    41.82    14.99P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          36   53  +12      67.08     4.34    12.38     0.01     0.39    10.87     2.66P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         37   53  +10      66.41     4.05    11.68     0.00     0.12     6.90     1.73P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       37   51   +1      64.06     4.03     2.06     0.00     0.01     1.94     0.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     36   48   -2      61.25     4.23    -2.61     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnsley         37   47  -11      57.63     3.92   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Ipswich          36   44   -2      58.17     4.23    -1.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.17R    0.00  
Derby            37   43   -5      53.28     3.89    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.20R    0.00  
Doncaster        37   42  -19      52.72     3.94   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.20R    0.03  
Coventry         36   41   -7      52.61     4.09   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.02  
Middlesbrough    36   41   -8      55.02     4.22    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   38  -22      49.20     3.91   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.96R    0.39  
Scunthorpe       36   34  -30      43.50     3.95   -36.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.33R   11.28  
Sheff_Utd        37   32  -27      42.45     3.88   -29.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.21R   14.94  
Preston          35   25  -27      36.77     4.32   -32.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.12R   73.34  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         34   71  +38      91.80     4.73    44.47    83.50    96.30    99.99    97.45P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     36   63  +18      79.35     4.25    21.98     1.29    13.97    94.15    36.51P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     35   62  +22      80.22     4.61    27.02     2.24    21.21    94.62    40.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   61  +32      83.81     4.55    41.93    12.56    60.03    99.12    76.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      36   61  +22      76.80     4.30    25.03     0.33     5.65    86.20    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          37   61   +6      73.94     4.06     6.74     0.03     1.25    59.78    11.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    33   53  +14      72.53     4.98    16.44     0.06     1.56    50.07    10.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool       36   50  -10      62.03     4.13   -12.74     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.09P    0.15R    0.00  
Exeter           36   49   -7      62.66     4.26    -7.18     0.00     0.00     0.98     0.13P    0.18R    0.00  
Carlisle         35   48   +2      63.65     4.53     2.82     0.00     0.00     3.21     0.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Charlton         34   48   +0      65.57     4.76     1.54     0.00     0.03     6.43     1.45P    0.03R    0.00  
Colchester       36   48   -6      62.49     4.25    -4.77     0.00     0.00     0.73     0.13P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           36   46   -6      58.89     4.24    -7.08     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    1.47R    0.00  
Brentford        35   46   -6      59.33     4.36    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    1.20R    0.01  
Rochdale         33   45   +3      61.18     4.96     0.52     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.25P    0.59R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        34   43   +1      62.14     4.74     4.91     0.00     0.00     1.39     0.33P    0.43R    0.00  
Notts_County     32   42   -1      60.41     5.11    -2.06     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.19P    1.52R    0.02  
Plymouth         36   42  -17      54.32     4.26   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.58R    0.22  
Tranmere         35   39   -9      52.71     4.39   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.96R    0.67  
Yeovil           35   38  -18      50.79     4.32   -21.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.49R    2.48  
Dag_&_Red        33   36  -10      49.04     4.70   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.33R    5.54  
Walsall          37   36  -19      46.06     3.86   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.13R   14.32  
Swindon          36   33  -17      45.13     4.19   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.56R   20.93  
Bristol_Rovers   36   33  -32      42.58     3.98   -39.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.17R   55.81  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         37   71  +28      85.97     4.06    31.88    79.90    99.17   100.00    99.37P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 35   61  +26      79.58     4.48    31.25    16.97    83.52    98.94    87.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              36   60   +8      75.18     4.30    10.31     1.75    42.21    89.85    53.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            36   56  +16      71.66     4.32    18.83     0.48    18.06    73.32    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           36   56  +12      72.26     4.24    15.87     0.32    20.89    76.75    34.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           37   56  +10      70.81     4.01    13.64     0.11    10.58    65.90    25.92P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            35   55   +7      71.60     4.43     9.32     0.38    15.27    68.29    26.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              35   51  +16      67.28     4.52    17.77     0.06     4.19    36.06    12.30P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           36   50   +0      62.64     4.21    -1.53     0.00     0.17     6.09     1.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe                35   48  +12      66.77     4.59    17.98     0.01     3.00    33.00    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            35   48  +10      64.31     4.48    11.89     0.00     0.74    14.88     4.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             35   48   +3      65.56     4.53     6.64     0.01     1.32    21.06     6.75P    0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   33   46   +0      63.67     5.00    -0.39     0.01     0.85    12.62     2.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot            36   45   -6      59.23     4.26    -5.13     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.22P    0.16R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         35   45  -15      56.29     4.23   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.78R    0.01  
Cheltenham           36   44  -11      55.60     4.19   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    1.24R    0.04  
Bradford             35   43  -11      57.02     4.47   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.79R    0.01  
Macclesfield         33   41   -8      56.47     4.83   -11.54     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.09P    1.29R    0.05  
Northampton          36   40   -7      53.71     4.29    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.99R    0.22  
Hereford             34   40  -10      53.30     4.59   -14.83     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    4.94R    0.32  
Morecambe            36   40  -11      52.74     4.22   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.84R    0.24  
Burton_Albion        31   36   -6      55.39     5.35    -7.93     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.10P    3.55R    0.22  
Barnet               36   34  -20      44.21     4.08   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.29R   16.95  
Stockport            37   32  -43      39.57     3.64   -51.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.10R   81.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 March 2011, AFC_Wimbledon vs Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       33   74  +42      97.20     4.88    50.29    81.18   100.00    87.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      38   71  +28      84.20     3.75    31.40     0.73    98.32    22.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      38   67  +14      78.37     3.74    14.59     0.01    70.64    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            37   66  +14      80.08     3.86    16.65     0.03    84.42    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   65  +36      90.43     4.61    48.38    18.05    99.85    55.25P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     38   57  +14      69.87     3.73    16.85     0.00     4.99     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
York               35   55   +4      71.09     4.36     5.67     0.00     8.52     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   35   52   +9      66.99     4.44     8.83     0.00     2.20     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.65     4.62    19.73     0.00    11.15     2.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            34   51  +11      71.71     4.71    17.59     0.00    15.72     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     36   50   +5      63.10     4.30     4.05     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.15     4.70     3.34     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.15     5.19     8.91     0.00     3.69     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.94     4.22    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Kettering          36   43   -9      56.63     4.08    -9.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Tamworth           37   41  -14      50.64     3.78   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.96R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      37   39   -8      52.48     4.00    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.02R    0.02  
Southport          35   36   -7      47.74     4.25   -12.52     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.75R    1.21  
Barrow             35   36  -15      47.45     4.18   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.74R    1.33  
Forest_Green       37   36  -20      46.90     3.98   -22.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.79R    1.76  
Hayes_&_Yeading    37   36  -27      44.55     3.71   -33.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.48R    4.80  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.47     4.14   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.16R   16.04  
Altrincham         36   30  -39      41.33     4.06   -42.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.82R   28.44  
Eastbourne_Boro    36   29  -30      39.20     4.03   -36.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.22R   46.35