Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 March 2011, Blackpool vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.01     3.57    44.51    64.19    90.62    99.25    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.36     4.11    39.16    28.82    73.67    95.28    99.41   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.51     3.88    23.30     0.23     3.18    17.95    72.91    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.60     3.66    40.20     6.73    31.72    81.88    96.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.49     3.99    11.43     0.04     0.81     5.61    29.82    98.39     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.44     3.97     6.05     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.02    63.01     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.70     3.84    -1.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.83     0.03R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.76     3.89    -1.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    10.07     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.07     3.84     2.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76     0.82R    0.03  
Everton         28   36   +0      51.40     4.15     2.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    13.37     0.14R    0.01  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.18     3.76    -0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.41     1.95R    0.09  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.08     3.72    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     7.23R    0.74  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.98     3.91   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.94     4.12R    0.38  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.46     3.78   -15.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    18.07R    2.21  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      40.98     3.65   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    31.60R    6.12  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.48     3.78   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    37.14R    7.07  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      40.02     3.66   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    39.17R    8.71  
Birmingham      27   30  -12      41.51     4.06   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    26.51R    5.31  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.11     3.84   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.03R   12.23  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.38     3.60   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.10R   57.11  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2011, Barnsley vs Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              36   70  +35      87.59     4.19    40.60    86.65    96.07    99.96    97.19P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   63  +17      78.31     4.18    19.39     3.94    28.87    88.66    43.87P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          36   63  +13      78.18     4.25    15.29     3.56    25.51    86.66    38.46P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          36   61  +14      77.45     4.28    18.09     3.16    21.56    84.00    38.34P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     36   60  +11      74.26     4.41    11.74     0.89     6.90    56.99    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    36   59  +14      74.65     4.21    16.95     0.64     8.85    63.66    23.89P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          34   56  +12      74.53     4.77    15.02     1.04    10.14    60.51    22.90P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          36   54  +17      71.53     4.21    22.85     0.11     1.87    37.88    13.00P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             36   52   +3      66.40     4.20     4.12     0.00     0.05     4.69     1.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        36   52   -2      66.43     4.31    -0.99     0.00     0.04     5.37     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          35   50   +9      65.85     4.58     9.94     0.01     0.10     6.00     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         36   50   +8      64.17     4.28     8.81     0.00     0.01     2.46     0.56P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       36   50   +1      64.74     4.27     2.49     0.00     0.02     2.69     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     36   47   -4      60.03     4.24    -4.97     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Barnsley         36   46  -10      57.44     4.14   -13.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Ipswich          35   45   +0      60.43     4.43     0.47     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.10R    0.00  
Doncaster        36   43  -17      54.74     4.14   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.75R    0.02  
Coventry         35   41   -7      53.85     4.33   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.20R    0.01  
Derby            36   40   -6      51.33     4.10    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.50R    0.06  
Middlesbrough    35   40   -9      54.91     4.45    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.70R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   36   38  -21      49.92     4.06   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.44R    0.41  
Scunthorpe       35   34  -27      44.86     4.22   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.24R    8.55  
Sheff_Utd        36   32  -24      43.55     4.09   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.74R   11.75  
Preston          35   25  -27      36.68     4.28   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.75R   79.19  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2011, Brentford vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         33   68  +36      90.78     4.91    43.37    83.99    95.77   100.00    97.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      35   61  +24      78.16     4.56    27.09     1.59    17.03    91.95    34.53P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     35   60  +17      78.24     4.48    21.80     1.71    14.86    91.66    35.79P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     34   59  +16      78.42     4.86    20.61     1.88    17.84    89.63    34.84P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   58  +30      81.98     4.80    39.60    10.71    51.73    97.75    70.27P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          36   58   +4      71.81     4.27     4.01     0.03     0.92    43.02     8.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient    32   50  +13      71.12     5.19    15.77     0.09     1.49    43.82     9.51P    0.00     0.00  
Carlisle         34   48   +8      65.17     4.73     8.93     0.00     0.02     8.34     1.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Charlton         33   48   +1      67.76     5.02     3.75     0.01     0.29    17.70     4.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       35   48   -4      64.13     4.45    -2.36     0.00     0.00     3.42     0.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       35   47  -12      60.21     4.35   -15.05     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.05P    1.23R    0.01  
Oldham           35   46   -5      59.97     4.45    -6.55     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.07P    1.24R    0.01  
Exeter           35   46   -8      60.39     4.46    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P    1.21R    0.00  
Rochdale         32   45   +4      63.25     5.21     2.52     0.00     0.02     4.72     0.86P    0.32R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed        33   43   +2      64.34     5.00     7.16     0.00     0.01     5.85     1.49P    0.21R    0.00  
Brentford        34   43   -7      56.99     4.56   -10.49     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.84R    0.07  
Plymouth         35   42  -15      56.01     4.52   -16.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     9.68R    0.16  
Notts_County     31   39   -2      58.13     5.32    -4.05     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.08P    5.60R    0.17  
Tranmere         34   39   -7      53.67     4.55    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.53R    0.72  
Yeovil           34   37  -18      51.33     4.57   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    3.35  
Dag_&_Red        32   35  -10      48.86     4.91   -18.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.28R    8.99  
Walsall          36   35  -19      46.27     4.11   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.97R   17.76  
Bristol_Rovers   35   33  -31      43.57     4.22   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.10R   49.86  
Swindon          35   32  -17      46.12     4.41   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.72R   18.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2011, Accrington_Stanley vs Stockport; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         36   71  +30      87.63     4.33    34.32    82.67    99.16   100.00    99.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 34   60  +26      79.93     4.68    31.25    12.72    77.82    98.98    83.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              35   60   +9      76.97     4.57    11.89     2.65    48.90    94.31    60.01P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           35   56  +17      74.05     4.49    21.50     0.74    27.60    87.20    43.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            35   55  +16      72.07     4.56    18.90     0.38    15.42    75.32    31.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            34   55   +8      73.48     4.66    11.06     0.76    20.96    80.75    34.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           36   53   +8      69.44     4.28    12.03     0.05     4.17    52.65    17.18P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              34   48  +11      65.13     4.75    11.98     0.01     1.20    20.67     5.83P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   48   +4      67.43     4.81     8.43     0.01     2.42    35.27    11.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   47   -1      60.41     4.46    -3.35     0.00     0.03     2.73     0.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   32   46   +2      64.83     5.22     1.26     0.01     1.23    18.73     4.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe                34   45  +10      64.99     4.82    15.73     0.01     0.86    21.35     6.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            34   45   +9      62.35     4.72    10.45     0.00     0.20     8.44     2.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   44  -10      57.23     4.44   -13.11     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    0.39R    0.01  
Aldershot            35   42   -7      57.44     4.48    -6.35     0.00     0.00     0.56     0.11P    0.43R    0.03  
Lincoln_City         34   42  -16      54.34     4.46   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P    1.90R    0.08  
Northampton          35   40   -6      55.73     4.54    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.79R    0.06  
Hereford             33   40   -9      55.18     4.85   -13.10     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.07P    1.91R    0.09  
Morecambe            35   40  -10      54.37     4.45   -11.22     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    1.94R    0.11  
Bradford             34   40  -12      54.97     4.69   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    1.67R    0.08  
Macclesfield         32   38   -9      54.12     5.01   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    2.88R    0.19  
Burton_Albion        30   35   -6      56.29     5.61    -7.17     0.00     0.02     1.31     0.23P    1.98R    0.23  
Barnet               35   31  -21      42.05     4.25   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.69R   29.56  
Stockport            36   31  -43      39.51     3.90   -52.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36R   69.57  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 March 2011, Barrow vs Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Crawley_Town       32   71  +41      95.45     5.10    49.12    72.30    99.99    80.79P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon      37   71  +29      86.11     4.03    33.22     3.64    99.32    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              33   65  +36      90.38     4.62    48.31    23.89    99.87    57.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            36   65  +14      80.64     4.10    16.93     0.16    88.10    16.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      37   64  +13      76.19     3.93    12.74     0.00    52.94     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     37   57  +15      71.30     4.00    17.96     0.00    13.98     2.24P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   52   +3      70.40     4.57     6.14     0.00     9.67     1.66P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         34   51  +15      70.69     4.63    19.78     0.00    14.33     3.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   34   51   +9      67.03     4.63     8.37     0.00     3.50     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   48  +10      70.00     4.93    16.44     0.00    12.26     2.63P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   47   +4      62.17     4.51     4.14     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          34   47   +4      63.15     4.65     3.34     0.00     0.44     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.35     5.20     9.22     0.00     5.38     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.93     4.25    -7.17     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          35   43   -8      57.99     4.32    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           36   41  -13      52.69     4.02   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      36   38   -8      52.84     4.23    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.85R    0.03  
Forest_Green       36   36  -19      48.65     4.22   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.38R    0.74  
Southport          34   35   -7      48.11     4.47   -12.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.06R    1.31  
Barrow             34   33  -16      45.27     4.37   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.26R    5.00  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   33  -28      42.40     3.91   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.25R   15.06  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.43     4.13   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.29R   16.31  
Altrincham         35   30  -38      42.08     4.23   -43.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.92R   23.06  
Eastbourne_Boro    35   29  -29      39.92     4.17   -36.88     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.31R   38.48