Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 March 2011, Blackpool vs Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.02     3.59    44.54    64.08    90.37    99.21    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.36     4.13    39.18    28.85    73.57    95.32    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.51     3.86    23.25     0.20     3.01    17.67    72.43    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         28   51  +27      72.61     3.68    40.24     6.84    32.13    82.07    96.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.55     3.96    11.52     0.04     0.91     5.70    30.50    98.57     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.49     3.96     6.11     0.00     0.01     0.03     1.03    63.30     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.69     3.87    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.90     0.05R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.75     3.89    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     9.69     0.12R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.10     3.83     2.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.72     0.77R    0.03  
Everton         28   36   +0      51.40     4.14     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    13.47     0.09R    0.00  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.13     3.77    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39     1.91R    0.07  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.06     3.73    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     7.30R    0.68  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      45.96     3.87   -12.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76     4.10R    0.40  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.49     3.79   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    17.88R    2.26  
Blackpool       29   32  -15      41.00     3.67   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    31.76R    6.24  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.45     3.78   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.47R    7.07  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.99     3.63   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.30R    8.58  
Birmingham      27   30  -12      41.49     4.05   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    26.73R    5.30  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.15     3.82   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.38R   11.92  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.36     3.59   -29.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.13R   57.44  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Burnley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              35   70  +37      89.32     4.44    43.13    89.18    97.19    99.99    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   62  +17      79.10     4.43    19.98     3.28    32.19    91.54    47.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   61  +15      79.27     4.54    19.75     4.87    33.57    91.95    49.70P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   60  +12      76.15     4.48    13.65     0.99    12.23    75.06    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   59  +15      76.37     4.45    18.44     1.09    14.63    78.10    32.20P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   57  +10      72.78     4.61    10.95     0.28     3.67    47.26    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          33   53  +11      72.55     5.03    13.53     0.27     5.01    47.19    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   52   +4      68.09     4.45     5.59     0.00     0.26    12.95     3.26P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   52   -1      68.16     4.51     0.60     0.00     0.26    12.98     3.18P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          35   51  +15      69.67     4.50    20.48     0.02     0.74    25.91     8.33P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       35   50   +2      66.29     4.52     3.77     0.00     0.11     7.03     2.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   49   +9      65.65     4.76     9.11     0.00     0.13     7.37     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   47   +6      62.10     4.47     6.23     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.21P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich          34   45   +2      62.02     4.71     2.81     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   44   -5      58.34     4.48    -6.07     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.26R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   43  -11      56.27     4.37   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.28R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   42  -17      55.25     4.40   -19.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.30R    0.02  
Derby            35   40   -5      52.52     4.32    -8.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.85R    0.04  
Coventry         34   40   -7      54.07     4.58   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.79R    0.05  
Middlesbrough    34   37  -10      53.54     4.66    -9.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.10  
Crystal_Palace   35   35  -22      47.82     4.30   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.59R    2.17  
Scunthorpe       34   34  -26      45.85     4.43   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.12R    6.83  
Sheff_Utd        35   29  -25      41.61     4.31   -28.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.83R   26.11  
Preston          34   25  -26      38.00     4.58   -31.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.06R   64.68  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         32   65  +35      89.24     5.13    42.53    77.79    92.78    99.97    94.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   61  +26      80.07     4.76    29.86     6.11    33.21    96.53    48.41P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     34   57  +16      77.06     4.74    21.50     1.91    12.32    88.02    32.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   56  +15      76.71     5.10    19.45     1.85    12.90    84.44    28.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   55  +27      81.07     5.01    37.70    12.17    46.06    96.88    66.58P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      70.16     4.52     1.96     0.04     0.66    33.70     6.46P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   48   +3      69.19     5.21     5.86     0.07     0.89    30.78     8.16P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       34   48   -3      65.96     4.71    -0.72     0.00     0.02     9.82     2.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   47  +11      69.35     5.43    13.56     0.05     1.03    34.18     7.23P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   47  -11      61.16     4.58   -14.68     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.16P    1.10R    0.00  
Oldham           34   46   -4      61.31     4.66    -5.59     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.22P    0.91R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   45   +7      63.90     4.99     8.43     0.00     0.03     7.32     1.37P    0.27R    0.00  
Rochdale         31   45   +5      64.18     5.43     2.78     0.01     0.10     8.57     1.55P    0.30R    0.00  
Brentford        33   43   -6      58.16     4.77    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P    4.44R    0.02  
Exeter           34   43  -10      58.34     4.68   -11.80     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.03P    4.75R    0.05  
Sheff_Wed        32   40   +1      62.59     5.23     5.98     0.00     0.00     4.17     1.07P    0.85R    0.01  
Notts_County     30   39   -1      59.76     5.55    -2.69     0.00     0.01     1.83     0.39P    3.72R    0.07  
Tranmere         33   39   -6      55.56     4.81    -7.89     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.64R    0.28  
Plymouth         34   39  -16      54.56     4.77   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.19R    0.45  
Yeovil           33   37  -15      52.03     4.74   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.64R    1.87  
Walsall          35   35  -17      47.77     4.35   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.52R    7.31  
Dag_&_Red        31   32  -11      46.97     5.13   -20.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.40R   13.46  
Swindon          34   32  -16      47.42     4.68   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.65R    9.65  
Bristol_Rovers   34   30  -32      41.37     4.40   -40.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R   66.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         35   68  +29      86.35     4.57    33.85    78.52    97.72    99.98    98.30P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   57  +25      78.75     4.94    30.92    13.16    68.35    96.79    76.38P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57   +8      75.48     4.80    11.14     2.62    35.49    86.35    47.73P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   55  +17      73.78     4.78    20.41     1.86    26.45    81.09    40.53P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +17      74.78     4.70    21.98     2.04    33.91    86.28    47.71P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   54   +8      73.45     4.90    10.52     1.48    21.66    75.58    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   52   +8      69.76     4.53    11.94     0.12     5.59    49.66    17.28P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              33   48  +12      66.65     4.99    13.20     0.07     2.81    27.35     8.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             33   47   +4      68.03     5.03     8.78     0.04     3.76    35.94    12.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   47   -1      60.46     4.42    -3.28     0.00     0.03     2.12     0.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Crewe                33   45  +11      66.85     5.05    17.48     0.06     2.66    30.45     9.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            33   45  +10      64.30     4.95    12.27     0.01     0.80    14.40     4.23P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   44  -10      57.16     4.43   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.44R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   31   43   -1      63.51     5.41    -1.23     0.02     0.75    11.74     2.64P    0.05R    0.01  
Lincoln_City         33   42  -14      55.48     4.68   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    1.49R    0.10  
Northampton          34   40   -5      56.82     4.77    -4.51     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P    0.78R    0.08  
Morecambe            34   40   -9      55.35     4.69   -10.87     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    1.85R    0.15  
Aldershot            34   39   -8      55.61     4.72    -7.64     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P    1.58R    0.19  
Hereford             32   37  -10      52.88     5.01   -15.02     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    6.28R    0.88  
Bradford             33   37  -13      53.08     4.90   -15.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    5.26R    0.63  
Macclesfield         31   35  -10      52.12     5.24   -15.34     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.20R    1.36  
Burton_Albion        29   32   -8      54.64     5.84    -9.15     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.11P    4.92R    1.07  
Barnet               34   31  -20      43.26     4.49   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.48R   28.49  
Stockport            35   31  -40      40.62     4.16   -49.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.63R   67.02  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      37   71  +29      86.17     4.01    33.30     4.01    99.31    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       31   70  +41      95.72     5.36    49.01    74.44    99.99    81.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   63  +13      76.63     4.18    12.83     0.04    55.16     8.53P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   62  +34      89.83     4.77    48.27    21.34    99.76    56.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   62  +13      79.93     4.30    17.43     0.17    82.44    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     37   57  +15      71.32     3.99    17.99     0.00    13.39     2.05P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   52   +3      70.44     4.61     6.21     0.00     9.43     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         33   50  +15      71.20     4.85    19.97     0.00    17.15     4.03P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   33   50   +9      68.34     4.86     9.84     0.00     6.51     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   48  +10      69.86     4.94    16.25     0.00    11.22     2.29P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   47   +4      62.18     4.50     4.17     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.31     5.18     9.13     0.00     4.80     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          33   46   +4      63.34     4.89     3.12     0.00     0.63     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      58.01     4.24    -7.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          35   43   -8      58.07     4.32    -8.05     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   41  -11      53.13     4.15   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.60R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      36   38   -8      52.84     4.23    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88R    0.03  
Southport          34   35   -7      48.07     4.48   -12.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.26R    1.31  
Forest_Green       35   35  -19      48.14     4.36   -22.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.94R    1.28  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   33  -28      42.35     3.89   -35.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.78R   16.09  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.44     4.14   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.11R   17.04  
Barrow             33   30  -17      44.00     4.60   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.42R   10.48  
Altrincham         34   30  -37      43.23     4.45   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.07R   17.03  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   29  -28      40.37     4.34   -37.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.91R   36.72