Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 March 2011, Liverpool vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         29   60  +33      79.00     3.58    44.46    64.36    91.42    99.36    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.40     4.12    39.21    29.89    76.42    95.86    99.42   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.49     3.86    23.22     0.23     3.32    20.21    73.09    99.81     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   48  +25      71.92     3.87    39.76     5.48    27.91    77.95    95.29    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       28   48   +7      64.50     3.97    11.45     0.04     0.93     6.57    31.05    98.37     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       29   42   +3      56.46     3.94     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.05    62.97     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.67     3.86    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     8.79     0.06R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.75     3.90    -1.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.86     0.10R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.06     3.83     2.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.63     0.82R    0.01  
Everton         28   36   +0      51.45     4.15     2.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    13.81     0.12R    0.00  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.14     3.78    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.48     2.04R    0.09  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.05     3.72    -9.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     7.34R    0.69  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      46.01     3.92   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89     4.32R    0.46  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.43     3.80   -15.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    18.64R    2.44  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.53     3.86   -21.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    28.10R    5.38  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.48     3.80   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    37.76R    7.26  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.99     3.64   -19.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.14R    8.99  
Birmingham      27   30  -12      41.54     4.04   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    27.22R    5.26  
Wolverhampton   29   29  -15      39.14     3.83   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    47.95R   12.16  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.39     3.60   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.41R   57.25  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Burnley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              35   70  +37      89.27     4.43    43.08    89.35    97.33    99.99    98.13P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   62  +17      79.09     4.43    19.96     3.54    32.32    91.30    47.27P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   61  +15      79.22     4.52    19.66     4.52    33.15    91.83    49.13P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   60  +12      76.17     4.48    13.70     0.92    12.27    75.23    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   59  +15      76.41     4.45    18.51     1.07    14.93    78.58    32.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   57  +10      72.73     4.62    10.83     0.27     3.48    46.92    12.45P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          33   53  +11      72.51     5.01    13.49     0.29     4.96    46.75    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   52   +4      68.06     4.44     5.54     0.01     0.29    12.60     3.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   52   -1      68.12     4.54     0.52     0.00     0.20    12.96     3.12P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          35   51  +15      69.65     4.50    20.45     0.02     0.81    25.97     8.04P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       35   50   +2      66.27     4.49     3.76     0.00     0.09     7.14     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   49   +9      65.76     4.76     9.26     0.00     0.16     7.85     1.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         35   47   +6      62.14     4.48     6.29     0.00     0.01     1.27     0.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich          34   45   +2      62.08     4.69     2.93     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   44   -5      58.40     4.49    -5.97     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.21R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   43  -11      56.22     4.35   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    1.27R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   42  -17      55.29     4.39   -19.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    2.12R    0.02  
Derby            35   40   -5      52.49     4.32    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.96R    0.07  
Coventry         34   40   -7      54.05     4.60   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    3.96R    0.03  
Middlesbrough    34   37  -10      53.52     4.64    -9.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.84R    0.11  
Crystal_Palace   35   35  -22      47.83     4.31   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.98R    2.14  
Scunthorpe       34   34  -26      45.86     4.43   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.78R    7.13  
Sheff_Utd        35   29  -25      41.66     4.31   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.66R   25.55  
Preston          34   25  -26      37.97     4.54   -31.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.18R   64.95  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         32   65  +35      89.25     5.14    42.52    77.89    92.60    99.97    94.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   61  +26      80.05     4.78    29.85     6.19    33.20    96.38    48.38P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     34   57  +16      77.15     4.72    21.63     1.98    12.79    88.63    33.20P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   56  +15      76.77     5.11    19.61     1.91    13.12    84.49    29.13P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   55  +27      81.02     5.04    37.59    11.85    45.56    96.77    65.88P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      70.16     4.55     1.93     0.03     0.67    33.78     6.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Charlton         32   48   +3      69.23     5.23     5.98     0.08     0.93    31.25     8.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       34   48   -3      65.94     4.71    -0.72     0.00     0.04     9.73     1.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   47  +11      69.28     5.44    13.42     0.08     0.96    33.79     7.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   47  -11      61.23     4.60   -14.60     0.00     0.00     1.27     0.16P    1.12R    0.00  
Oldham           34   46   -4      61.36     4.70    -5.49     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.26P    0.88R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   45   +7      63.82     4.96     8.33     0.00     0.03     7.05     1.47P    0.26R    0.00  
Rochdale         31   45   +5      64.10     5.41     2.68     0.00     0.08     8.34     1.54P    0.34R    0.00  
Brentford        33   43   -6      58.21     4.79    -9.75     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.07P    4.47R    0.03  
Exeter           34   43  -10      58.43     4.72   -11.72     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.03P    4.67R    0.02  
Sheff_Wed        32   40   +1      62.51     5.24     5.90     0.00     0.01     4.18     1.09P    1.02R    0.01  
Notts_County     30   39   -1      59.57     5.54    -2.96     0.00     0.01     1.70     0.30P    4.03R    0.06  
Tranmere         33   39   -6      55.65     4.81    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   11.54R    0.28  
Plymouth         34   39  -16      54.58     4.79   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.38R    0.49  
Yeovil           33   37  -15      52.11     4.72   -19.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.88R    1.76  
Walsall          35   35  -17      47.79     4.38   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.16R    7.41  
Dag_&_Red        31   32  -11      46.99     5.17   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.21R   13.24  
Swindon          34   32  -16      47.33     4.67   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.42R   10.02  
Bristol_Rovers   34   30  -32      41.35     4.43   -40.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.53R   66.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         35   68  +29      86.44     4.57    33.99    78.99    97.77    99.98    98.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   57  +25      78.74     4.92    30.87    12.85    68.12    96.90    75.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57   +8      75.53     4.81    11.22     2.64    36.19    86.52    48.54P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   55  +17      73.74     4.78    20.36     1.79    26.30    80.85    40.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +17      74.83     4.71    22.05     2.00    34.24    86.51    48.06P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   54   +8      73.44     4.87    10.50     1.39    21.31    75.50    33.15P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   52   +8      69.73     4.52    11.89     0.12     5.39    49.32    17.26P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              33   48  +12      66.62     4.97    13.15     0.07     2.75    27.05     8.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             33   47   +4      68.10     5.01     8.82     0.08     3.83    36.29    12.81P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   47   -1      60.36     4.43    -3.42     0.00     0.04     2.11     0.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Crewe                33   45  +11      66.80     5.04    17.42     0.05     2.62    30.39     9.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage            33   45  +10      64.29     4.95    12.24     0.01     0.67    14.51     3.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   44  -10      57.21     4.46   -13.14     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.47R    0.03  
Accrington_Stanley   31   43   -1      63.50     5.42    -1.24     0.01     0.74    11.70     2.58P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   42  -14      55.52     4.70   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    1.50R    0.10  
Northampton          34   40   -5      56.77     4.78    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.10P    0.82R    0.09  
Morecambe            34   40   -9      55.31     4.69   -10.93     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.05P    1.82R    0.15  
Aldershot            34   39   -8      55.60     4.71    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P    1.60R    0.20  
Hereford             32   37  -10      52.97     5.01   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    6.05R    0.87  
Bradford             33   37  -13      53.04     4.86   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    4.81R    0.59  
Macclesfield         31   35  -10      52.07     5.24   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    8.55R    1.36  
Burton_Albion        29   32   -8      54.82     5.83    -8.92     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.12P    4.61R    1.04  
Barnet               34   31  -20      43.17     4.52   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.95R   29.21  
Stockport            35   31  -40      40.61     4.14   -49.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.74R   66.37  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      37   71  +29      86.16     3.99    33.28     3.93    99.33    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       31   70  +41      95.83     5.34    49.13    75.03    99.98    82.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   63  +13      76.56     4.20    12.75     0.02    54.63     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   62  +34      89.82     4.78    48.24    20.88    99.75    55.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   62  +13      79.93     4.30    17.43     0.14    82.70    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     37   57  +15      71.26     4.00    17.91     0.00    13.32     2.07P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   52   +3      70.39     4.56     6.13     0.00     9.04     1.57P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         33   50  +15      71.21     4.82    20.00     0.00    17.35     4.07P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   33   50   +9      68.28     4.82     9.76     0.00     6.29     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   48  +10      70.06     4.90    16.56     0.00    11.88     2.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   47   +4      62.16     4.51     4.15     0.00     0.18     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.29     5.19     9.06     0.00     4.89     0.78P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          33   46   +4      63.31     4.88     3.02     0.00     0.66     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      57.95     4.22    -7.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kettering          35   43   -8      58.00     4.33    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   41  -11      53.06     4.15   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.64R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      36   38   -8      52.81     4.26    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.87R    0.03  
Southport          34   35   -7      48.07     4.46   -12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.36R    1.38  
Forest_Green       35   35  -19      48.19     4.41   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.47R    1.44  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   33  -28      42.44     3.91   -35.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.95R   16.03  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.44     4.14   -36.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.56R   17.17  
Barrow             33   30  -17      44.01     4.60   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.39R   10.87  
Altrincham         34   30  -37      43.21     4.48   -42.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.53R   17.73  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   29  -28      40.48     4.35   -37.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.22R   35.33