Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Arsenal vs Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   60  +35      80.84     3.81    47.23    75.94    95.37    99.67    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         28   57  +30      76.31     4.11    39.09    20.53    74.92    95.06    99.26   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        29   53  +20      67.52     3.86    23.29     0.12     3.06    19.75    69.89    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   48  +25      71.88     3.88    39.68     3.37    25.15    76.13    94.31    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.23     4.21    11.96     0.04     1.50     9.37    36.08    98.96     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          29   40   +2      50.68     3.87    -1.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.86     0.06R    0.00  
Liverpool       28   39   +1      54.40     4.20     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.40    46.81     0.01R    0.00  
Sunderland      29   38   -2      50.75     3.89    -1.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    13.72     0.07R    0.00  
Newcastle       29   36   +3      48.05     3.84     2.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.05     0.94R    0.03  
Everton         28   36   +0      51.30     4.14     2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    18.32     0.14R    0.00  
Fulham          29   35   +1      46.18     3.77    -0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.29     2.05R    0.11  
Stoke           29   34   -6      44.05     3.71    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     7.37R    0.64  
Aston_Villa     29   33  -13      46.01     3.92   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35     4.31R    0.44  
Blackburn       29   32  -12      42.41     3.78   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10    19.00R    2.49  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.52     3.84   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    28.28R    5.32  
West_Brom       29   32  -15      40.50     3.77   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    37.37R    6.93  
West_Ham        29   31  -13      39.96     3.63   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    40.42R    8.81  
Birmingham      27   30  -12      41.58     4.06   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    26.34R    5.25  
Wolverhampton   28   28  -15      39.17     4.08   -18.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    48.40R   13.35  
Wigan           29   27  -23      35.39     3.61   -29.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.26R   56.63  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Burnley vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              35   70  +37      89.29     4.42    43.09    89.51    97.22    99.99    97.99P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          35   62  +17      79.11     4.42    19.98     3.43    32.14    91.40    47.47P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          35   61  +15      79.20     4.51    19.63     4.39    32.84    91.66    48.82P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          35   60  +12      76.23     4.47    13.79     0.98    12.66    75.52    26.33P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    35   59  +15      76.34     4.47    18.41     1.01    14.65    77.61    32.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     35   57  +10      72.80     4.64    10.99     0.30     3.76    47.47    12.66P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          33   53  +11      72.63     5.03    13.59     0.33     5.22    47.65    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             35   52   +4      68.05     4.42     5.55     0.00     0.26    12.35     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        35   52   -1      68.09     4.52     0.47     0.01     0.25    12.57     3.07P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          35   51  +15      69.66     4.49    20.44     0.03     0.76    25.98     8.10P    0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth       35   50   +2      66.32     4.53     3.82     0.00     0.10     7.44     2.10P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          34   49   +9      65.69     4.79     9.16     0.00     0.13     7.63     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         35   47   +6      62.12     4.47     6.24     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Ipswich          34   45   +2      61.96     4.69     2.72     0.00     0.01     1.43     0.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Bristol_City     35   44   -5      58.33     4.47    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.19R    0.00  
Barnsley         35   43  -11      56.22     4.36   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.42R    0.00  
Doncaster        35   42  -17      55.34     4.39   -19.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.25R    0.02  
Derby            35   40   -5      52.49     4.33    -9.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.11R    0.07  
Coventry         34   40   -7      54.05     4.56   -10.50     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.74R    0.05  
Middlesbrough    34   37  -10      53.51     4.68    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.01R    0.08  
Crystal_Palace   35   35  -22      47.82     4.31   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.89R    2.11  
Scunthorpe       34   34  -26      45.89     4.40   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.75R    6.80  
Sheff_Utd        35   29  -25      41.64     4.33   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.51R   26.13  
Preston          34   25  -26      38.02     4.56   -31.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.07R   64.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Bournemouth vs Oldham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         32   65  +35      89.18     5.13    42.43    77.48    92.60    99.98    94.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      34   61  +26      80.06     4.82    29.84     6.46    33.50    96.29    48.60P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     34   57  +16      77.13     4.73    21.62     1.98    12.58    88.21    32.88P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     33   56  +15      76.69     5.11    19.46     1.80    12.59    84.24    28.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   55  +27      81.08     5.01    37.66    12.11    46.13    96.81    66.76P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          35   55   +2      70.16     4.53     1.93     0.03     0.56    33.83     6.59P    0.00     0.00  
Charlton         32   48   +3      69.26     5.19     6.00     0.06     0.87    30.95     8.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       34   48   -3      65.98     4.74    -0.68     0.00     0.02    10.20     1.98P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    31   47  +11      69.30     5.42    13.46     0.08     1.00    34.11     7.13P    0.02R    0.00  
Hartlepool       34   47  -11      61.19     4.55   -14.66     0.00     0.00     1.23     0.19P    1.05R    0.00  
Oldham           34   46   -4      61.38     4.71    -5.49     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.28P    0.93R    0.00  
Carlisle         33   45   +7      63.94     4.97     8.50     0.00     0.03     7.22     1.47P    0.21R    0.00  
Rochdale         31   45   +5      64.05     5.40     2.60     0.01     0.10     8.29     1.46P    0.29R    0.00  
Brentford        33   43   -6      58.17     4.81    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    4.62R    0.02  
Exeter           34   43  -10      58.41     4.69   -11.71     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.03P    4.65R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        32   40   +1      62.56     5.25     5.95     0.00     0.02     4.04     1.05P    0.96R    0.01  
Notts_County     30   39   -1      59.66     5.57    -2.83     0.00     0.01     1.89     0.39P    3.83R    0.08  
Tranmere         33   39   -6      55.60     4.80    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00P   11.59R    0.26  
Plymouth         34   39  -16      54.54     4.78   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.50R    0.53  
Yeovil           33   37  -15      52.01     4.71   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   36.47R    1.91  
Walsall          35   35  -17      47.80     4.35   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.88R    7.56  
Dag_&_Red        31   32  -11      47.01     5.15   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.01R   12.93  
Swindon          34   32  -16      47.38     4.65   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.31R    9.74  
Bristol_Rovers   34   30  -32      41.34     4.43   -40.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.65R   66.92  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Cheltenham vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         35   68  +29      86.37     4.58    33.89    78.60    97.68    99.98    98.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 33   57  +25      78.69     4.90    30.81    12.94    68.08    96.63    75.71P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              34   57   +8      75.60     4.80    11.32     2.70    36.57    86.75    48.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            34   55  +17      73.75     4.78    20.39     1.84    26.12    81.04    40.49P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           34   55  +17      74.79     4.72    21.99     2.09    33.67    86.11    47.43P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            33   54   +8      73.45     4.88    10.52     1.48    21.54    75.53    33.34P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           35   52   +8      69.77     4.54    11.96     0.14     5.59    49.54    17.44P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay              33   48  +12      66.66     4.99    13.22     0.09     2.84    27.53     8.65P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             33   47   +4      68.06     5.02     8.80     0.04     3.73    36.18    12.87P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           35   47   -1      60.35     4.44    -3.42     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.39P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe                33   45  +11      66.80     5.07    17.39     0.07     2.56    30.41     9.40P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            33   45  +10      64.30     4.95    12.27     0.00     0.84    14.42     4.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           35   44  -10      57.17     4.44   -13.19     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.49R    0.02  
Accrington_Stanley   31   43   -1      63.52     5.43    -1.25     0.01     0.73    11.60     2.67P    0.05R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         33   42  -14      55.59     4.70   -20.32     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    1.36R    0.08  
Northampton          34   40   -5      56.73     4.77    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.13P    0.77R    0.09  
Morecambe            34   40   -9      55.41     4.69   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.74R    0.15  
Aldershot            34   39   -8      55.64     4.70    -7.61     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.46R    0.16  
Hereford             32   37  -10      52.82     5.00   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    6.28R    0.84  
Bradford             33   37  -13      53.06     4.88   -15.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    5.17R    0.64  
Macclesfield         31   35  -10      52.18     5.24   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.04R    1.26  
Burton_Albion        29   32   -8      54.59     5.85    -9.28     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.11P    5.12R    1.09  
Barnet               34   31  -20      43.21     4.49   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.87R   29.04  
Stockport            35   31  -40      40.66     4.14   -49.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.63R   66.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 March 2011, Altrincham vs Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      37   71  +29      86.13     4.00    33.25     3.76    99.31    25.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       31   70  +41      95.80     5.32    49.14    74.98    99.99    82.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      36   63  +13      76.62     4.19    12.81     0.02    55.24     8.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              32   62  +34      89.83     4.77    48.29    21.07    99.77    56.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            35   62  +13      79.90     4.32    17.41     0.16    82.37    15.15P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     37   57  +15      71.26     3.99    17.90     0.00    13.27     2.04P    0.00     0.00  
York               34   52   +3      70.37     4.59     6.11     0.00     9.22     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         33   50  +15      71.19     4.85    19.98     0.00    17.10     3.89P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   33   50   +9      68.37     4.85     9.85     0.00     6.62     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            33   48  +10      69.88     4.96    16.32     0.00    11.45     2.44P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     35   47   +4      62.18     4.52     4.16     0.00     0.21     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          32   46   +6      67.26     5.16     9.03     0.00     4.76     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          33   46   +4      63.33     4.90     3.09     0.00     0.69     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          36   46   -4      58.03     4.23    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Kettering          35   43   -8      58.00     4.31    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           35   41  -11      53.07     4.16   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.02  
Cambridge_Utd      36   38   -8      52.82     4.24    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.90R    0.04  
Southport          34   35   -7      48.06     4.46   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.44R    1.28  
Forest_Green       35   35  -19      48.22     4.38   -22.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.94R    1.42  
Hayes_&_Yeading    36   33  -28      42.40     3.89   -35.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.30R   15.98  
Histon             35   32  -29      42.43     4.12   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.72R   17.16  
Barrow             33   30  -17      44.10     4.63   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.77R   10.54  
Altrincham         34   30  -37      43.23     4.47   -42.41     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.61R   17.54  
Eastbourne_Boro    34   29  -28      40.43     4.32   -37.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.66R   36.03