Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 4 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   60  +35      80.80     3.82    47.12    67.64    94.79    99.68    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   56  +30      77.81     4.27    41.05    29.57    82.70    97.31    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +19      67.05     4.01    24.25     0.07     1.97    17.46    67.08    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   48  +25      71.86     3.85    39.72     2.68    19.52    76.60    94.57   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.14     4.21    11.83     0.04     1.03     8.94    38.27    99.17     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   39   +1      54.41     4.18     3.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44    49.19     0.01R    0.00  
Bolton          28   37   +1      49.16     4.09    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.35     0.39R    0.01  
Sunderland      28   37   -2      50.15     4.04    -3.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    11.93     0.25R    0.01  
Newcastle       28   36   +4      49.69     4.09     3.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.78     0.31R    0.02  
Stoke           28   34   -3      45.48     3.98    -6.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.35     3.71R    0.29  
Everton         27   33   -1      49.39     4.39     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.94     0.68R    0.03  
Aston_Villa     28   33  -12      47.30     4.14   -11.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.73     2.25R    0.20  
Fulham          28   32   +0      44.89     4.01    -1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.52     4.77R    0.35  
Blackburn       28   32  -11      43.40     4.01   -15.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33    12.07R    1.29  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.53     3.82   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    24.34R    3.89  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.60     4.29   -14.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72    12.37R    1.77  
West_Brom       28   29  -17      38.31     3.96   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    57.17R   17.29  
Wolverhampton   28   28  -15      39.14     4.06   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    44.62R   11.40  
West_Ham        28   28  -16      38.31     3.87   -22.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    55.31R   17.00  
Wigan           28   27  -22      35.69     3.70   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.76R   46.44  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Derby vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              34   67  +36      88.13     4.64    42.76    73.95    90.53    99.93    93.34P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   62  +18      81.18     4.66    21.96     8.89    36.65    96.25    52.50P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   61  +17      81.46     4.73    22.98    11.59    40.20    96.59    56.27P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   59  +16      78.21     4.62    20.13     2.95    16.68    87.61    36.46P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          34   59  +12      77.42     4.73    15.09     2.21    12.08    83.31    27.03P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   54   +7      71.45     4.85     8.47     0.14     1.10    37.28     8.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   52   +0      69.09     4.73     0.93     0.03     0.31    19.11     4.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   50  +10      71.46     5.26    13.32     0.23     2.14    40.48    11.74P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   49   +4      65.95     4.65     4.93     0.00     0.06     7.05     1.79P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          34   48  +12      68.24     4.72    17.73     0.00     0.18    18.52     5.25P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   47   +6      63.20     4.69     5.84     0.00     0.01     2.69     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth       34   47   +1      65.04     4.73     3.33     0.00     0.02     5.35     1.38P    0.01R    0.00  
Watford          33   46   +8      64.29     5.01     8.49     0.00     0.03     5.45     1.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Bristol_City     34   42   -6      57.38     4.66    -7.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.62R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   42  -12      56.19     4.58   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    1.77R    0.01  
Doncaster        34   42  -15      56.11     4.56   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.63R    0.01  
Ipswich          33   40   -2      57.29     4.86    -2.85     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P    1.00R    0.01  
Coventry         33   40   -3      56.17     4.81    -5.28     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    1.47R    0.00  
Derby            34   39   -5      53.04     4.58    -8.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    5.19R    0.04  
Middlesbrough    33   37   -6      54.82     4.88    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.02R    0.04  
Crystal_Palace   34   35  -21      48.70     4.48   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.59R    1.34  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -27      43.70     4.60   -35.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.10R   14.54  
Sheff_Utd        34   29  -24      42.55     4.49   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.15R   17.94  
Preston          33   24  -26      37.58     4.73   -33.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.44R   66.05  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         31   62  +34      87.88     5.33    41.91    75.78    90.66    99.89    93.23P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   58  +23      78.47     5.01    26.87     5.93    29.19    92.10    43.65P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     33   56  +16      77.75     4.94    22.02     4.68    21.99    89.45    40.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   53  +12      75.51     5.31    17.26     2.17    12.76    77.03    26.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +25      79.40     5.23    35.63    10.99    40.28    93.37    61.31P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   -1      67.86     4.72    -2.03     0.03     0.42    18.98     3.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Colchester       33   48   -1      67.14     4.95     1.02     0.02     0.27    16.15     3.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Charlton         31   47   +3      70.29     5.44     6.99     0.22     2.38    38.58    11.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Oldham           33   46   -1      62.51     4.88    -2.81     0.00     0.01     3.40     0.61P    0.44R    0.00  
Carlisle         32   45   +8      65.01     5.16     9.08     0.01     0.11    11.00     2.35P    0.11R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   45   +8      66.29     5.65     6.96     0.06     0.64    17.55     3.87P    0.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   44   +9      67.72     5.66    11.58     0.08     1.01    24.80     5.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   44  -14      59.33     4.79   -18.05     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.08P    3.36R    0.02  
Brentford        32   43   -3      59.76     5.01    -6.43     0.00     0.01     1.23     0.24P    2.06R    0.01  
Exeter           33   43   -7      59.51     4.91    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.09P    2.74R    0.04  
Sheff_Wed        31   40   +3      64.95     5.42     9.54     0.02     0.18    11.01     3.13P    0.34R    0.00  
Notts_County     29   39   +1      61.06     5.84    -0.81     0.01     0.06     3.80     0.87P    2.34R    0.04  
Tranmere         32   38   -6      55.26     5.00    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   12.54R    0.41  
Yeovil           32   36  -15      52.11     4.95   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.72R    2.33  
Plymouth         33   36  -18      52.09     4.98   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.06R    2.26  
Walsall          34   34  -17      47.87     4.63   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.89R    9.19  
Swindon          33   31  -16      48.12     4.89   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.29R    9.38  
Bristol_Rovers   33   30  -30      43.22     4.68   -37.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.85R   46.32  
Dag_&_Red        30   29  -13      44.74     5.33   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.09R   29.99  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Aldershot vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         34   65  +26      84.87     4.80    31.08    72.47    95.35    99.92    96.50P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   56   +8      76.35     5.01    11.91     6.35    45.97    89.87    56.77P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   54  +22      76.92     5.16    27.60    11.66    55.99    93.04    65.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   54  +17      74.99     5.00    21.73     5.17    38.99    87.19    51.66P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   52  +16      72.85     4.92    20.56     1.89    23.65    76.80    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   51   +7      72.29     5.10    10.21     1.62    18.63    68.77    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           34   49   +6      68.20     4.77    10.03     0.16     4.13    39.01    13.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47   +5      69.79     5.27    10.30     0.43     9.41    51.26    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   47   +0      62.28     4.71    -1.60     0.01     0.28     6.41     1.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            32   45  +12      65.76     5.18    14.40     0.09     2.43    24.84     7.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              32   45  +10      64.83     5.23    10.92     0.08     1.89    19.43     6.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   44   -7      58.61     4.69   -10.07     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.21P    0.25R    0.01  
Crewe                32   42   +8      65.21     5.31    14.47     0.05     1.94    22.53     6.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   42   -1      63.86     5.63    -1.27     0.03     1.20    14.78     3.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   41  -14      55.85     4.96   -20.54     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.07P    1.43R    0.07  
Northampton          33   40   -4      58.28     5.00    -3.30     0.00     0.04     1.41     0.38P    0.44R    0.02  
Aldershot            33   38   -8      55.54     4.88    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    1.65R    0.15  
Hereford             31   37   -7      54.46     5.27   -11.71     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.06P    3.45R    0.23  
Morecambe            33   37  -10      53.45     4.93   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    4.32R    0.39  
Bradford             32   37  -11      54.24     5.08   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    3.16R    0.23  
Macclesfield         30   35   -9      53.01     5.40   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P    5.91R    0.49  
Burton_Albion        28   32   -5      56.11     6.06    -6.17     0.00     0.06     1.72     0.35P    3.05R    0.38  
Barnet               33   30  -20      42.87     4.69   -28.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.63R   21.95  
Stockport            34   28  -41      38.57     4.36   -51.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.59R   76.09  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 March 2011, Tamworth vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      36   71  +30      87.39     4.25    34.08     7.37    99.61    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   67  +36      94.58     5.51    44.80    61.52    99.96    72.53P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   62  +13      76.23     4.36    11.47     0.07    55.05     8.69P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   61  +34      91.03     4.97    49.58    30.90    99.85    61.43P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   59  +12      79.01     4.53    17.52     0.15    78.96    14.89P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     36   54  +13      69.32     4.23    15.47     0.00     8.26     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   51   +3      71.01     4.81     6.50     0.00    14.63     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   32   49   +9      69.82     5.05    11.68     0.00    13.61     2.84P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         32   47  +14      70.03     5.07    19.63     0.00    15.07     3.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   47   +6      64.03     4.76     6.90     0.00     1.21     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.42     5.20    15.54     0.00     9.08     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          32   45   +4      63.80     5.12     3.24     0.00     1.48     0.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          35   45   -4      58.62     4.53    -6.73     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.33     5.41     6.56     0.00     3.17     0.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   42   -8      58.28     4.56    -8.31     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.03R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   41   -9      54.60     4.41   -13.84     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.38R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      35   38   -7      53.74     4.43    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.02  
Southport          33   35   -4      49.89     4.78    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.15R    0.58  
Forest_Green       34   35  -18      48.76     4.55   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.85R    0.76  
Histon             34   32  -24      43.27     4.29   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.69R    9.14  
Hayes_&_Yeading    35   32  -28      41.80     4.05   -37.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.43R   16.59  
Barrow             32   29  -17      44.20     4.83   -23.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.57R    8.75  
Altrincham         33   29  -37      43.51     4.71   -42.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.08R   13.54  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   26  -31      38.50     4.56   -41.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.11R   50.60