Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --         Expected      ------------------------- Percentage chance -------------------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd         28   60  +35      80.77     3.81    47.11    67.52    94.51    99.64    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal         27   56  +30      77.83     4.26    41.03    29.60    82.56    97.18    99.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City        28   50  +19      67.08     4.02    24.29     0.09     2.03    17.54    67.28    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea         27   48  +25      71.92     3.88    39.83     2.76    19.85    76.85    94.50    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham       27   47   +7      65.18     4.21    11.88     0.03     1.04     8.76    38.09    99.16     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool       28   39   +1      54.40     4.18     3.42     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.46    49.17     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          28   37   +1      49.17     4.09    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.43     0.30R    0.00  
Sunderland      28   37   -2      50.20     4.03    -3.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    12.24     0.20R    0.01  
Newcastle       28   36   +4      49.75     4.09     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    12.84     0.30R    0.01  
Stoke           28   34   -3      45.44     3.96    -6.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32     3.71R    0.31  
Everton         27   33   -1      49.35     4.39     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    10.60     0.73R    0.04  
Aston_Villa     28   33  -12      47.29     4.16   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.81     2.22R    0.20  
Fulham          28   32   +0      44.86     4.01    -1.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39     4.81R    0.34  
Blackburn       28   32  -11      43.39     3.95   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30    11.85R    1.28  
Blackpool       28   32  -13      41.48     3.82   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    24.70R    4.06  
Birmingham      26   30  -10      43.52     4.32   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77    12.71R    1.96  
West_Brom       28   29  -17      38.29     3.99   -24.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    57.35R   17.59  
Wolverhampton   28   28  -15      39.18     4.04   -18.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    44.34R   11.01  
West_Ham        28   28  -16      38.26     3.88   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    55.92R   17.37  
Wigan           28   27  -22      35.78     3.72   -30.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.87R   45.82  

Adjustments:
Plymouth        -10


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Derby vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
QPR              34   67  +36      88.11     4.64    42.72    73.92    90.55    99.95    93.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   62  +18      81.13     4.67    21.88     9.03    36.53    96.10    52.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cardiff          34   61  +17      81.42     4.72    22.93    11.38    39.82    96.63    55.86P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    34   59  +16      78.21     4.67    20.12     3.14    16.94    87.44    36.74P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich          34   59  +12      77.42     4.70    15.09     2.16    12.23    83.48    27.43P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United     34   54   +7      71.46     4.87     8.48     0.14     1.19    37.68     8.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        34   52   +0      69.07     4.70     0.94     0.02     0.32    18.66     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          32   50  +10      71.43     5.26    13.23     0.19     2.10    40.06    11.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             34   49   +4      65.91     4.66     4.84     0.00     0.03     6.94     1.63P    0.00     0.00  
Reading          34   48  +12      68.28     4.73    17.77     0.01     0.19    18.98     5.49P    0.00     0.00  
Millwall         34   47   +6      63.14     4.69     5.74     0.00     0.02     2.61     0.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth       34   47   +1      65.06     4.74     3.37     0.00     0.02     5.52     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   46   +8      64.37     5.01     8.65     0.00     0.05     5.50     1.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Bristol_City     34   42   -6      57.45     4.68    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    0.64R    0.00  
Barnsley         34   42  -12      56.11     4.58   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    1.92R    0.01  
Doncaster        34   42  -15      56.27     4.61   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    1.58R    0.01  
Ipswich          33   40   -2      57.35     4.89    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.04P    1.04R    0.01  
Coventry         33   40   -3      56.01     4.76    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.64R    0.02  
Derby            34   39   -5      53.12     4.55    -8.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.01R    0.05  
Middlesbrough    33   37   -6      54.84     4.84    -5.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    3.03R    0.03  
Crystal_Palace   34   35  -21      48.70     4.47   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.62R    1.33  
Scunthorpe       33   31  -27      43.71     4.65   -35.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.96R   14.68  
Sheff_Utd        34   29  -24      42.54     4.50   -28.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R   18.10  
Preston          33   24  -26      37.58     4.76   -33.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   65.75  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Brighton         31   62  +34      87.92     5.33    41.94    75.93    90.77    99.86    93.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth      33   58  +23      78.47     5.02    26.87     5.93    29.26    91.97    43.11P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield     33   56  +16      77.72     4.98    21.97     4.72    22.16    89.23    40.55P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     32   53  +12      75.58     5.34    17.38     2.13    13.40    77.47    27.24P    0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   52  +25      79.32     5.23    35.48    10.81    39.37    93.18    60.72P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          34   52   -1      67.95     4.73    -1.90     0.03     0.39    19.44     3.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Colchester       33   48   -1      67.13     4.94     1.04     0.03     0.29    16.07     3.47P    0.03R    0.00  
Charlton         31   47   +3      70.29     5.43     7.01     0.26     2.35    39.08    11.25P    0.01R    0.00  
Oldham           33   46   -1      62.59     4.87    -2.70     0.00     0.02     3.44     0.52P    0.43R    0.00  
Carlisle         32   45   +8      65.05     5.16     9.11     0.01     0.14    10.83     2.41P    0.15R    0.00  
Rochdale         30   45   +8      66.28     5.64     6.96     0.06     0.70    17.47     3.94P    0.08R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    30   44   +9      67.68     5.64    11.48     0.08     0.92    24.47     5.16P    0.07R    0.00  
Hartlepool       33   44  -14      59.33     4.77   -18.01     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.08P    3.16R    0.02  
Brentford        32   43   -3      59.71     5.01    -6.47     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.21P    2.29R    0.01  
Exeter           33   43   -7      59.39     4.88    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.10P    2.93R    0.03  
Sheff_Wed        31   40   +3      64.93     5.44     9.50     0.00     0.17    11.25     3.23P    0.34R    0.00  
Notts_County     29   39   +1      60.94     5.76    -0.93     0.01     0.05     3.50     0.74P    2.29R    0.04  
Tranmere         32   38   -6      55.36     5.00    -8.79     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   12.50R    0.45  
Yeovil           32   36  -15      52.10     4.96   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    34.15R    2.23  
Plymouth         33   36  -18      52.12     4.95   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   34.56R    2.24  
Walsall          34   34  -17      47.83     4.60   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.02R    9.32  
Swindon          33   31  -16      48.15     4.89   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.04R    9.31  
Bristol_Rovers   33   30  -30      43.21     4.71   -37.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.93R   46.63  
Dag_&_Red        30   29  -13      44.79     5.34   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.03R   29.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Aldershot vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --         Expected      -------------------- Percentage chance ---------------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Chesterfield         34   65  +26      84.82     4.81    31.00    71.85    95.28    99.88    96.47P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              33   56   +8      76.55     5.03    12.14     6.82    47.45    90.29    57.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   54  +22      76.93     5.16    27.60    11.57    55.82    93.16    65.78P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            33   54  +17      75.05     4.99    21.82     5.39    39.03    87.32    51.58P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           33   52  +16      72.89     4.94    20.59     1.81    23.73    76.79    38.01P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   51   +7      72.25     5.09    10.15     1.69    17.95    68.68    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           34   49   +6      68.25     4.75    10.10     0.14     4.00    39.28    13.47P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47   +5      69.80     5.24    10.32     0.47     9.18    51.38    21.12P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   47   +0      62.21     4.67    -1.69     0.00     0.17     6.09     1.16P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage            32   45  +12      65.78     5.17    14.46     0.07     2.45    24.94     8.04P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay              32   45  +10      64.70     5.19    10.74     0.07     1.71    18.80     5.73P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           34   44   -7      58.68     4.70    -9.97     0.00     0.03     1.30     0.23P    0.20R    0.01  
Crewe                32   42   +8      65.18     5.34    14.40     0.07     1.90    22.60     6.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   30   42   -1      63.87     5.64    -1.25     0.04     1.22    14.80     3.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Lincoln_City         32   41  -14      55.85     4.95   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P    1.58R    0.05  
Northampton          33   40   -4      58.29     4.97    -3.31     0.00     0.02     1.38     0.34P    0.36R    0.01  
Aldershot            33   38   -8      55.42     4.90    -8.47     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P    1.81R    0.14  
Hereford             31   37   -7      54.39     5.26   -11.82     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.07P    3.50R    0.28  
Morecambe            33   37  -10      53.34     4.90   -12.41     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.57R    0.35  
Bradford             32   37  -11      54.22     5.07   -13.73     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    3.17R    0.21  
Macclesfield         30   35   -9      53.13     5.40   -14.79     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.04P    5.63R    0.47  
Burton_Albion        28   32   -5      56.08     6.02    -6.15     0.00     0.04     1.62     0.37P    2.90R    0.38  
Barnet               33   30  -20      42.89     4.71   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.48R   21.95  
Stockport            34   28  -41      38.58     4.35   -51.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.65R   76.15  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 March 2011, Tamworth vs Kettering; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --         Expected      ---------------- Percentage chance ----------------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
AFC_Wimbledon      36   71  +30      87.42     4.26    34.15     7.43    99.60    29.28P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town       30   67  +36      94.55     5.49    44.78    61.67    99.95    72.30P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      35   62  +13      76.19     4.36    11.44     0.05    54.72     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              31   61  +34      91.00     4.93    49.56    30.72    99.84    61.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            34   59  +12      78.99     4.51    17.49     0.14    78.50    14.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town     36   54  +13      69.36     4.23    15.52     0.00     8.40     1.31P    0.00     0.00  
York               33   51   +3      71.01     4.82     6.50     0.00    14.68     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rushden_&_D'mnds   32   49   +9      69.83     5.03    11.70     0.00    13.69     2.92P    0.00     0.00  
Darlington         32   47  +14      70.03     5.10    19.68     0.00    15.26     3.74P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     34   47   +6      64.04     4.77     6.94     0.00     1.15     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            32   45   +9      68.47     5.21    15.61     0.00     9.53     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead          32   45   +4      63.77     5.13     3.17     0.00     1.39     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bath_City          35   45   -4      58.52     4.50    -6.83     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield          31   43   +4      65.37     5.43     6.62     0.00     3.27     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kettering          34   42   -8      58.24     4.54    -8.37     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Tamworth           34   41   -9      54.70     4.43   -13.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      35   38   -7      53.74     4.44    -5.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.70R    0.02  
Southport          33   35   -4      49.96     4.74    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.70R    0.51  
Forest_Green       34   35  -18      48.67     4.51   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.99R    0.77  
Histon             34   32  -24      43.26     4.31   -32.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.00R    9.25  
Hayes_&_Yeading    35   32  -28      41.80     4.05   -37.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.08R   16.69  
Barrow             32   29  -17      44.23     4.83   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.57R    8.53  
Altrincham         33   29  -37      43.45     4.71   -42.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.75R   13.69  
Eastbourne_Boro    33   26  -31      38.52     4.55   -40.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.78R   50.54