Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 1 March 2011 at 22:15:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Chelsea vs Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- Expected ------------------------- Percentage chance ------------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 28 60 +35 80.76 3.82 47.06 67.21 94.42 99.66 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 56 +30 77.85 4.29 41.05 30.05 82.55 97.12 99.59 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 50 +19 67.10 4.01 24.31 0.08 1.98 17.59 67.04 99.84 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 27 48 +25 71.91 3.86 39.80 2.62 20.01 76.74 94.63 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 47 +7 65.18 4.21 11.89 0.04 1.04 8.88 38.28 99.19 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 39 +1 54.38 4.17 3.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.42 49.04 0.01R 0.00 Bolton 28 37 +1 49.20 4.09 -1.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 8.55 0.39R 0.00 Sunderland 28 37 -2 50.18 4.04 -3.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 11.94 0.24R 0.01 Newcastle 28 36 +4 49.73 4.09 3.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 12.85 0.34R 0.01 Stoke 28 34 -3 45.43 3.97 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33 3.94R 0.30 Everton 27 33 -1 49.37 4.39 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 10.87 0.73R 0.06 Aston_Villa 28 33 -12 47.23 4.14 -11.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.62 2.25R 0.20 Fulham 28 32 +0 44.89 4.03 -1.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50 4.90R 0.40 Blackburn 28 32 -11 43.37 3.99 -15.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 12.12R 1.33 Blackpool 28 32 -13 41.53 3.81 -21.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 24.44R 4.01 Birmingham 26 30 -10 43.50 4.32 -14.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82 12.83R 1.91 West_Brom 28 29 -17 38.31 3.98 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 57.20R 17.26 Wolverhampton 28 28 -15 39.20 4.04 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 44.07R 10.92 West_Ham 28 28 -16 38.32 3.87 -22.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.26R 16.71 Wigan 28 27 -22 35.69 3.72 -30.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.28R 46.88 Adjustments: Plymouth -10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Derby vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 34 67 +36 88.08 4.64 42.75 73.62 90.49 99.96 93.29P 0.00 0.00 Swansea 34 62 +18 81.09 4.68 21.83 9.22 36.59 95.94 51.88P 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 34 61 +17 81.36 4.77 22.85 11.61 39.69 96.42 55.81P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 34 59 +16 78.18 4.66 20.08 3.07 16.83 87.43 36.50P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 34 59 +12 77.42 4.70 15.12 2.06 12.49 83.37 27.56P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 34 54 +7 71.41 4.86 8.39 0.16 1.19 37.24 8.34P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 34 52 +0 69.11 4.73 0.98 0.02 0.29 19.12 4.29P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 50 +10 71.49 5.25 13.35 0.22 2.17 40.51 11.87P 0.00 0.00 Hull 34 49 +3 65.85 4.65 3.76 0.00 0.04 6.68 1.62P 0.00 0.00 Reading 34 48 +12 68.24 4.73 17.71 0.00 0.14 18.56 5.28P 0.00 0.00 Millwall 34 47 +7 63.38 4.74 7.03 0.00 0.00 3.15 0.72P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 34 47 +1 65.02 4.74 3.30 0.00 0.03 5.35 1.44P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 33 46 +8 64.33 4.99 8.53 0.00 0.04 5.48 1.24P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 33 42 +0 59.63 4.87 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 0.25R 0.00 Barnsley 34 42 -11 56.26 4.59 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.70R 0.01 Doncaster 34 42 -14 56.41 4.62 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 1.52R 0.00 Bristol_City 34 41 -8 56.12 4.65 -9.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.38R 0.01 Coventry 33 40 -4 56.05 4.80 -6.55 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 1.66R 0.01 Derby 34 39 -5 53.20 4.58 -8.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 4.99R 0.05 Middlesbrough 33 37 -7 54.67 4.86 -7.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 3.25R 0.03 Crystal_Palace 34 35 -21 48.66 4.49 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.77R 1.50 Scunthorpe 33 31 -27 43.78 4.63 -35.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.68R 14.20 Sheff_Utd 34 29 -24 42.63 4.50 -28.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.40R 17.80 Preston 33 24 -26 37.57 4.73 -33.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.37R 66.38League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Brentford vs Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brighton 31 62 +34 87.88 5.33 41.91 75.52 90.72 99.90 93.29P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 58 +23 78.42 5.03 26.81 5.98 28.90 91.95 43.33P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 33 56 +16 77.69 4.97 21.92 4.59 21.73 89.14 39.93P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 32 53 +12 75.56 5.35 17.36 2.13 13.24 77.09 27.26P 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 52 +25 79.38 5.25 35.57 11.28 40.33 93.24 61.22P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 34 52 -1 67.96 4.72 -1.89 0.02 0.40 19.41 3.76P 0.00 0.00 Colchester 33 48 -1 67.24 4.89 1.19 0.03 0.24 16.39 3.58P 0.01R 0.00 Charlton 31 47 +3 70.20 5.44 6.88 0.26 2.42 38.04 11.14P 0.01R 0.00 Oldham 33 46 -1 62.60 4.90 -2.69 0.00 0.02 3.43 0.60P 0.42R 0.00 Carlisle 32 45 +8 65.05 5.15 9.12 0.02 0.17 11.06 2.40P 0.13R 0.00 Rochdale 30 45 +8 66.33 5.67 7.04 0.07 0.68 17.93 3.93P 0.08R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 44 +9 67.79 5.65 11.66 0.09 0.94 25.30 5.50P 0.07R 0.00 Hartlepool 33 44 -14 59.39 4.79 -17.93 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.12P 3.13R 0.01 Brentford 32 43 -3 59.79 5.03 -6.40 0.00 0.01 1.27 0.23P 2.03R 0.00 Exeter 33 43 -7 59.35 4.90 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.11P 3.06R 0.04 Sheff_Wed 31 40 +3 64.84 5.43 9.36 0.01 0.16 10.55 2.87P 0.36R 0.00 Notts_County 29 39 +1 60.93 5.81 -0.99 0.00 0.05 3.65 0.72P 2.39R 0.05 Tranmere 32 38 -6 55.33 5.01 -8.87 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 12.27R 0.48 Yeovil 32 36 -15 52.09 4.93 -19.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 34.28R 2.24 Plymouth 33 36 -18 52.04 4.93 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 35.23R 2.18 Walsall 34 34 -17 47.83 4.59 -21.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.07R 9.27 Swindon 33 31 -16 48.20 4.89 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.35R 9.25 Bristol_Rovers 33 30 -30 43.29 4.70 -37.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.79R 45.71 Dag_&_Red 30 29 -13 44.71 5.32 -23.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.32R 30.77League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Aldershot vs Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected -------------------- Percentage chance --------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 34 65 +26 84.77 4.81 30.94 71.52 95.28 99.90 96.50P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 33 56 +8 76.44 5.03 12.01 6.73 46.42 89.90 57.32P 0.00 0.00 Bury 32 54 +22 76.95 5.15 27.66 11.71 56.26 93.18 66.12P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 33 54 +17 75.05 5.02 21.84 5.60 39.20 87.31 51.92P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 33 52 +16 72.92 4.91 20.63 1.97 24.02 77.28 38.42P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 32 51 +7 72.21 5.11 10.11 1.62 18.00 68.43 28.89P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 34 49 +6 68.24 4.76 10.08 0.11 4.05 39.09 13.31P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 47 +5 69.79 5.25 10.30 0.50 9.33 51.39 21.18P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 47 +0 62.24 4.70 -1.65 0.00 0.25 6.25 1.28P 0.02R 0.00 Stevenage 32 45 +12 65.72 5.18 14.34 0.05 2.28 24.71 7.86P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 32 45 +10 64.74 5.18 10.82 0.08 1.69 19.08 5.67P 0.00R 0.00 Cheltenham 34 44 -7 58.65 4.71 -9.99 0.00 0.02 1.28 0.27P 0.25R 0.01 Crewe 32 42 +8 65.17 5.29 14.39 0.06 1.85 22.38 6.80P 0.02R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 30 42 -1 63.93 5.66 -1.18 0.04 1.25 15.11 3.44P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 41 -14 55.82 4.94 -20.55 0.00 0.02 0.52 0.10P 1.52R 0.06 Northampton 33 40 -4 58.29 4.97 -3.30 0.00 0.02 1.38 0.39P 0.38R 0.02 Aldershot 33 38 -8 55.44 4.91 -8.45 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 1.76R 0.14 Hereford 31 37 -7 54.49 5.23 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.08P 3.50R 0.25 Morecambe 33 37 -10 53.32 4.93 -12.48 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 4.64R 0.33 Bradford 32 37 -11 54.21 5.08 -13.74 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 3.36R 0.23 Macclesfield 30 35 -9 53.11 5.41 -14.86 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 5.82R 0.52 Burton_Albion 28 32 -5 56.08 6.06 -6.13 0.00 0.05 1.67 0.33P 3.00R 0.42 Barnet 33 30 -20 42.93 4.72 -27.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.08R 21.80 Stockport 34 28 -41 38.58 4.37 -51.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.58R 76.21Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 March 2011, Darlington vs Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- Expected ---------------- Percentage chance ---------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 AFC_Wimbledon 36 71 +30 87.32 4.26 34.00 7.45 99.55 28.99P 0.00 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 67 +36 94.48 5.50 44.63 60.86 99.96 71.71P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 35 62 +13 76.17 4.36 11.41 0.05 54.75 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 61 +34 91.03 4.95 49.57 31.52 99.83 62.24P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 34 59 +12 79.06 4.50 17.56 0.12 79.28 15.19P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 36 54 +13 69.36 4.23 15.51 0.00 8.40 1.34P 0.00 0.00 York 33 51 +3 71.00 4.82 6.49 0.00 14.61 2.62P 0.00 0.00 Rushden_&_D'mnds 32 49 +9 69.81 5.04 11.66 0.00 13.42 2.77P 0.00 0.00 Darlington 32 47 +14 69.97 5.10 19.53 0.00 14.79 3.65P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 47 +6 64.05 4.75 6.96 0.00 1.12 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 45 +9 68.50 5.18 15.66 0.00 9.42 2.14P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 32 45 +4 63.72 5.13 3.10 0.00 1.31 0.13P 0.00R 0.00 Bath_City 35 45 -4 58.55 4.51 -6.79 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Mansfield 31 43 +4 65.52 5.39 6.82 0.00 3.43 0.58P 0.00 0.00 Kettering 33 42 -6 59.80 4.77 -6.05 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 35 38 -7 53.73 4.43 -5.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.01 Tamworth 33 38 -11 52.80 4.64 -16.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43R 0.06 Southport 33 35 -4 49.93 4.73 -8.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.88R 0.56 Forest_Green 34 35 -18 48.76 4.53 -22.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.71R 0.83 Histon 34 32 -24 43.30 4.32 -32.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.54R 9.13 Hayes_&_Yeading 35 32 -28 41.82 4.06 -37.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.89R 16.91 Barrow 32 29 -17 44.11 4.82 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.15R 9.00 Altrincham 33 29 -37 43.50 4.71 -42.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.16R 13.47 Eastbourne_Boro 33 26 -31 38.56 4.57 -40.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.57R 50.03